mozzie17

Hey guys I am studying a SB vs BTN 3bet spot.

Flop : As Ks 8d
SB picks 30% size OTF and barrels the '3c' turn for a 65% size.

IP defends KTs 100% but KQs only 35% and KJs 65%

I can think this is because Qx and Jx block OOPs bluffs with QJ/QT/JT
but so does Tx too with QT/JT/T9 (?)

Could someone explain whats going on here?

OOP turn strategy: https://gyazo.com/516f77f4e73282d34f8fb6b279df9e7c
IP Turn strategy: https://gyazo.com/db0b1b907b40f8f02d6efb540d0d2939

I'm studying a SB 3bet vs BTN defend flop spot where SB picks 65% bet size.

The flop is 8s 4s 2d

I'm looking at how does PIO plays KQ combos

IP defends 100% of KsQx hands but its folding when we have spades+diamonds

I understand why non spade combos are folded but why does it fold spade+diamond combos?

KsQd folds 55%
KdQs folds 90%

Can someone explain whats going on here please- attached screenshot of the same

https://gyazo.com/d2e191ab0b1b04f664845a91de03058e

Hey friends,

I recently ran a SB vs BTN 3bet spot w 2.5% rake 2bb cap.
I gave BTN a calling range of what I feel my reg opponents usually call and gave SB a generic 17% 3b range.

SB 3bet range: https://gyazo.com/f568b9f48626d6b8ee0763e506da8446
BTN calling range: https://gyazo.com/790bea5045464109103ac6f82867b808

The 3bet size from SB is 10.5BBs. Now folding a hand preflop yields '-0.5bbs' so every hands EV should atleast be 10bb (10.5bb-0.5bb) to make it a more profitable 3bet than open folding it.

So i ran a script and these were the 'Preflop Hands EV' which PIO spit out-
https://gyazo.com/f90b16db5a4ea67402ec012331d4e8fd

Strangely enough the only hands in SB which make over 10bb on average are [66+ AQs+], Thats only 5.58% range.

Everything else like AQo,AJs, KQs were better preflop folds than 3bets(?)

This seems strange. Could someone shed light on why is this happening.

Am i understanding something wrong or Is it because of the rake structure or the fact that IP is slowplaying some AA/KK/AK that hits OOP's EV or the 3bet size is just way too big for 100bbs.

Thanks for reading thus far and I'm grateful for comments if any,

Hey guys.

I am trying to run a bunch of scenarios where BTN minraises and BB 3bets.
I want to see how different 3bet sizes and rake structures affect BTN's calling ranges and what are the thresholds.

In my first scenario: BTN minraises and BB 3bets to 11bbs.
BTN needs to call 9bb to see a flop.

In my sim 1bb= 100 chip.

When I ran the sim over 184 subsets- this is what the handEV were in the reports (for some of the hands)

Preflop Hands IP
Hand EV
JJ 1773.5386
AKs 1768.28155
TT 1313.86625
AQs 1227.04607
KQs 1104.29705
99 1058.01257
KJs 1001.47532
AQo 994.181706
AJs 991.1797
T8s 771.121889
A7s 769.167032
A8s 764.15229
J8s 759.291123
A6s 747.975671
ATo 720.756744

We need to call 9bbs pre (900 chips)- So every hand that has a higher eV than 900 I assume is a clear call
but the worst hand IP has here (eV wise) is ATo which has an eV of 720 chips.

Which means everytime we call the 3bet with ATo we lose 180 chips on average or 1.8bb/hand.
That to me seems like better than raise-folding ATo (because we lose 2bb/hand by raise folding)

Does this mean I need to raise-call ATo preflop - and even widen my calling range even versus this big 3bet-size?
(because the worst hand in my ranges is doing better as a R-C than a R-F)

Is this logic correct? Please share what u think of this.
Also how do we compare the EV of open-folding(0eV) vs that of raise calling (-1.8bb/hand in case of ATo)

TIA