
mesmart
12 points
I enjoy the 4+ tabling videos you make, the 40 minute length is nice, although I would probably watch 1 1/2 hours.
Your discussion around 12:50 @ bottom right table was my favorite part of the video.
Jan. 7, 2020 | 3:38 a.m.
4:41 example - I did the math if anyone would like the work shown. Also, loved this vid, thanks a lot Mr. Galfond!
Variables:
P$ => Pot Size = 2550
S$ => Effective stack size = 3600
F% => Chance opponent folds = .307 aka 30.7%
W% => Our equity vs opponents stack off range = 0.30 or 30%
EV(Shove) = [P(Fold)*EV(Fold)] + [P(ALLIN) * EV(ALLIN)]
EV(Shove) = (1) + (2)
(1)==> P(Fold) * EV(Fold) = F% * P$ = 0.307 * 2550 = 782.85
(2)==> P(ALLIN) * EV(ALLIN),
P(ALLIN) = (1-F%) = 0.693
EV(ALLIN) = (W%(P$+S$))-((1-W%)S$)
(W%(P$+S$))=0.30(2550+3600) = 0.30(6150) = 1845
-((1-W%)S$) = -(0.703600) = -2520
(2) = P(ALLIN) * EV(ALLIN) = 0.693 * (1845 - 2520) = 0.693 * (-675) = -467.78
EV(Shove) ==> (1) + (2) = 782.85 + (-467.78) = 315.07
Dec. 27, 2019 | 2:39 a.m.
I agree, I don't think it's necessary to post the results. I imagine it also adds a tension that undermines your enjoyment of the game and that can affect the entertainment value of your videos. What does matter to me is that the coach provides a unique perspective, either by thoroughly teaching to their strengths, or exploring their weak spots.
A video I'd like to see from a coach is one that looks for solver GTO strategy deviation from the current player population's meta.
Dec. 25, 2019 | 8:54 p.m.
I think the best thing to do right now is take a break and revisit this with a clear head when you're not frustrated. If you feel like things are frustrating and hard to control, reflect on your life and look for things in your life you do have control over that you can take care of to get an emotional win. Your perspective is draining your emotional bank account right now.
I believe it appears you are focusing too much on your results - instead try to focus each hand in each moment. You're beating yourself up over your losses, and the fact that you mentioned that you're running under EV might indicate you think the cause is something you can't control. If you continue to beat yourself up you will burn yourself out.
If you are upset about how much you are losing, move down in stakes and play where you're comfortable. If things go well, you will move up comfortably; if things don't go well, you will have lost less money and will be less frustrated (the goal here is to prevent the frustration you're feeling so you can enjoy the game). Don't force yourself to move up too quickly. Just enjoy the game and don't try so hard.
I hope this was helpful for you. Good luck.
Dec. 22, 2019 | 12:16 a.m.
Preface: I play low-stakes, not high-stakes PLO so my opinion may be out of touch for your stakes.
Nice call on the river. I probably would have folded, but the high-card Qh blocker and 4 hearts on board make a very good case for a call in hindsight.
However, I would have played the hand differently some of the time, by checking back flop and re-evaluating on turn. My reason for the check is I don't feel like getting 3 streets of value with this hand, although I still like betting this hand on the flop. I'd feel more comfortable forcing the other person to decide whether to lead out or check, and potentially hope I can glean some information.
Dec. 4, 2019 | 3:13 a.m.
I loved this series, thanks so much!
Dec. 4, 2019 | 2:50 a.m.
Great video, thank you. Your comments on evaluating the portion of hands that fold vs the portion of hands that call when you bet was a lightbulb moment for me in understanding postflop strategy and covering my leak of overplaying some hands, but also for selecting better spots for targeted aggression.
I'm enjoying every video, thanks for putting them out!
Jan. 24, 2020 | 3:55 a.m.