marsius666

Good video, Dylan! Waiting for the next video ;)

hi, great video. 43,30s why you think pocket 10 is fold if the second player range you think is 77+?

yeah, and 17-18% interacts fantastically with this board :)

Tyler, I'm not quite sure how to reply to messages. I can't find the reply button under your reply so I'll just post my reply here.

So thanks for the comment. I'd say any 54s that gets to the river could be jamming, although it might have a shred of check down equity with the rivered pair vs some AQ combos or something, and yeah, A4s seems a fine bluff as do some combos of A9s/A8s. It is possible that A9/A8s combinations have less EV as bluffs than A3s otr though due to the fact blocking 98s isn't a big deal since we can reasonably expect villain to have raised plenty on previous streets, and it might have poor blocking effect once we neglect that. My guess is it wouldn't be bad though. I'm not saying A3dd is a brilliant jam, I think it's probably a reasonable turn barrel in a 3bet spot and a slightly above break even river jam on this river. I think it's probably the next best bluff we have on this runout after hands like Acx or AxJc/AxQc, although that's not saying it's good, it's more owing to the fact our range isn't going to be particularly wide here on this river.

I have to say it does feel strange having this sort of old style forum debate about a hand in 2017 when Pio is alive. Anyway, nice video.

Hi Tyler. I think you're incorrect about the A3dd hand @ 8:30. Of course everything depends on range construction, but I'd bet if you ran a reasonable simulation of BTN vs CO 3bet spot you'd find the barrel is OK. A3dd unblocks a lot of Tx combos that are folding otr. It doesn't interfere with your large 8x-Jx folding range otr, whereas say J9s does and that's more likely a check back on the river.

His main mistake appears to be bet sizing selection, I think he should probably go larger on the turn and jam the river. That might have actually made your hand fold too so the bot should improve.

Hey Sauce. Great video, you manage to clearly articulate your thoughts consistently each video, so huge props for that.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but shouldn't the coupling of villain
(a) 4 betting an ultra low frequency hand and
(b) taking the CB (large), check, jam line with the same hand, which again should be a close-to-zero frequency line,
make us conclude that villain is very likely to be bluffing too much on this river, making our call significantly +EV?

Of course the coupling-effect may not be the only important factor to consider here, perhaps there's some saucy 4 bet dynamics, history dynamics etc.

It's likely you did not have all of this information in-game, so again props for integrating all of those inputs quickly and reaching a (imo) optimal solution.

Tyler, nice video. In response to your curiosity as to why AxQd isn't bluffing the river @ ~ 15:30, well I think the reason is IP seems to have some AT & AJ left in his range, making our blockers quite poor. If we remove AT + AJ from villain's range I think we'll find AQo becoming a more neutral bluff, similar to QT.