lancemarx
3 points
As an aside I only included the PFR not raising any hands for an hour as the justification for not squeezing pre, which I believe to be the standard play here
June 27, 2017 | 7:22 a.m.
This guy is not the PFR
June 27, 2017 | 4:35 a.m.
Sorry if this is the wrong forum for this.
Readless on villain (been at table for less than an hour and haven't seen him showdown) but he's like a 40 year old white dude who has clearly played before. OTTH
Raise from LJ to 10 and Villain calls, BU calls, to hero in SB with AdQd calls and BB calls. I think squeezing here is fine but I'm usually calling here OOP and I'd rather use AQo as a squeeze since it plays so poorly multiway. Also, the guy who is raising in the LJ hasn't open raised before and have seen him limping. So yeah, squeezing is standard and so is flatting and that's not what I'm really worried about in this hand.
Flop: Qx8d2x rainbow
Hero checks (I think leading out is just as good or better but pot controlling is fine and I'm expecting a bet most of the time anyways). Villains bets 50 into ~50 Hero calls rest fold. Pot ~150
Turn 6 completing the rainbow. Hero checks and villain bets 200. Hero has 260 behind approximately. Hero?
It's a spot where we have to jam or fold imo. I think this spot will seem like a snapjam to most people, and I understand that, but at the same time villain never has any bluffs here so we should be way overfolding. His range is something like 22, 88, KQ, AQ or something like that and I doubt this exact player has QQ or KK or AA. The pot flop 5 ways and overbet turn is a super nutted fish line and it's hard to imagine him vbetting a worse hand (maybe KQ but I doubt that's overbetting here). If I'm not calling with this hand I'm only calling sets but against this line maybe an exploit fold isn't that bad?
Hero tanks for ~4 minutes and jams.
Thought process for jamming turn is as follows: Villain is probably betting all his hands that beat me on river and I'm just never going to be able to fold except on maybe a K. I don't think many 1/2 villains are going to be folding KQ if they have it for the price they are getting and probably not AQ either and if this assumption is true and they're likely to check back a weaker queen on the river but call my turn jam then I'd rather just jam turn if my money is going in by the river against all better hands anyway.
Aug. 3, 2017 | 7:13 a.m.