klondike
22 points
Great video.
Just for clarification. I asume when you say chance of flopping 2 pair, it means chance of flopping 2 pair or better. Since the chance of flopping 2 pair exactly is much lower than 3.4 % ?
Aug. 25, 2015 | 9:12 a.m.
18 minutes.
K9o on AQA Sb vs BB. what is your plan if he calls flop ?
Its really hard for him to have anything worse to call a bet with ??
So we bet for protect our hand, and bluff catch turn ?
and likewise what do we do on rivers with K high if we check call turn ?
What do you think about X-call Flop, instead of Cbet ?
Aug. 23, 2015 | 11:46 p.m.
Maybe a bit basic question. This is something I sometimes have wondered what is best to play hands like these smaller PP's
About 13 minutes in with 66 from highjack.
I wonder if we imagine its a more general question, and not only aplying to this specific table. Lets say we are ITM with 2-3 tables left. So there are no huge ICM considerations.
What is the plan with 3 stacks behind with 12-15 bb + 1 guy with a +50 bb stack that we cover.
Lets say the situation is more or less readless, or we dont have any reads that one of these guys are very nit tight with their 3B range.
How do we proceed if a 12-15 bb stack shove ?
And how do we proceed vs say a 2,2x - 2,5x 3B from the + 50 bb guy ?
Also I gues that BB he can flat our click opening a lot here. Where we will have to play postflop with him quite often.
I realise there are so many diferent flop combinations, that this can be rather difficult to discuss Certain flop textures might not have hit him that well, for example brodway / Axx textures since he may 3B shove a lot of those Ax or brodway hands preflop.
But I think flop is also sometimes pretty ankward, as we wil be torn between Cbet for protection or check behind giving him a free turn. I dont think on most flops there is much we can get value from. So when we Cbet its eather sorta a bluff / deny him his turn / river equity ( He will realise this quite often too if he X-raise us ) Or we Cbet into him having flopped a better hand than 66 ?
Also one last question, are we still opening hands like 22-55 here 100 % of the time readless or with good reg's behind us ?
And would u say its a big leak to open fold for example 22-55 here ?
Aug. 18, 2015 | 10:16 a.m.
Very nice video.
Im curious.
How come you have so few hands vs oponents in HEM and you are just using a standard HUD
Shouldent almost dont make to much sense to put to much value into those stats with so litle sample, also considering ranges changes a lot as the tournament progresses ?
July 31, 2015 | 12:50 p.m.
Not so much a fan of flop raise K3s BB vs SB on 10106. You rep like nothing and even if u are trying to balance with 10x, you have 10x like once in a blue moon there. And Why would you even raise 10x there. When its like 10 times better to let him barrel of hands that are worse
Like float / call a lot more, and see what happens on turn.
Or even 3B pre, he may fold a bunch, and even if called you can win it post quite a lot of the time being IP and repping the stronger range.
And K3s its not like such a good hand that its to good to 3B bluff preflop.
Anyway just my opinion.
July 11, 2015 | 2:17 p.m.
Think its WP if you call.
Would need a very specific read on player, that he will never bluff, or raise for value with worse, for me to fold.
Jan. 8, 2015 | 3:39 p.m.
Not sure i like the 3B with that hand. I play's sorta bad postflop. Dunno though, its a bit ankward. Fold seems not good vs active HJ. flat is not so atractive if players behind are good with squeeze.
You say he is not folding much to 3B and has a wide range. If his range is that wide then he proberly should not fold much on that board vs Cbet.
His range has a lot better hands than yours, all PP's better Ax, some set's some hh's.
Think check behind is best on that flop. There are a lot of other textures that are better to Cbet, and also some where you can barrel turn better with more credability. This is sorta the problem with A10o you cant barrel it a lot as you can with other combo's.
Also dont like a flop shove unless you have some agro history between you. Smaller bets are better for your whole range, cheaper to bluff / gets payd more often when you have it.
Think Check behind is best.
Dec. 26, 2014 | 2:25 a.m.
I liked it.
Looking forward to see more from you.
Hopimh to see some MTT viedo footage also.
I prefer a format where you start with some presentation of theory, and then some Play / Analys prefer deep analys from just like 1-2 tables rather than many tables.
Nov. 4, 2014 | 2:39 p.m.
Nice video.
Im a small volume player who pay much lower ABI.
But not to crazy about opening 22 from EP around 44 minutes in FTops.
I would proberly rather open a rag Ax or Kx just for the blocker value + those will be more easy to play if for example big blinds desides to flat the opening.
Do you think it is + Ev to open small PP's with those stack sizes ?
I realise every situation is sorta unique, so maybe here it was the better play, but in general from your database are you winning with small PP's from EP when stacks are like these ?
Oct. 31, 2014 | 11:23 p.m.
Very slow when watching videos, and no option to selct full screen in internet explorer.
Aslo I agre have the greayed out / big play icon in the midle of screen when pausing is bad.
Oct. 24, 2014 | 4:33 a.m.
Just curious.
In Party table around 26 minutes. You cold 4B AQo from SB vs UTG and UTG+1 3B.
Then mention that you think their ranges are really wide, but your plan is to 4B fold. And you dont think they will call with much worse hands like A4s.
Why not just flat Aqo then ?
Proberly beating a dead horse here. But arent you mostly just folding out worse with the cold 4B. Your hand selection seems a bit odd to me, why not just 4B fold some worse Ax, maybe some brodway's, that can block top of their ranges.
I gues its because you dont want to be 4B squeezed of by UTG, or play 3 way OOP postflop.
Any comments ?
Sept. 15, 2014 | 3:59 p.m.
Where is part 1 ?
Sept. 6, 2014 | 5:21 a.m.
Hi Paul
Can u explain what is your HUD stats ?
Asuming its VPIP/RFI/3B
What is second line CB flop / turn /river or ?
Feb. 24, 2014 | 2:07 p.m.
Lucas u mentioned pro poker tools.
I wonder if you would consider making a video about pro poker tools. Maybe 30-45 minutes about the software how to get the most out of it ?
Dec. 4, 2013 | 1:59 a.m.
Hi there
Thanks for the hint
Nov. 2, 2013 | 1:40 p.m.
Hi,
I wonder would you consider giving essential members a free of choise Elite video each month instead of the Galofond video.
I dont want to disrepect Galfold. Its just that for people like me who dont play PLO or cash, I would much rather be able to see one elite MTT video each month.
Oct. 30, 2013 | 1:55 a.m.
Dont want to sound like a jerk.
But the sound is really bad in this video. There is some sort of echo or after vibration when you speak.
Oct. 28, 2013 | 12:28 p.m.
I agre with Andre Bilenky
About first had when you bet the turn. I dont think that is good. He is almost never calling with worse. Ill rather check that down too.
Oct. 27, 2013 | 2:25 a.m.
Nice video. Liked the change to something diferent onec in a while
Oct. 5, 2013 | 9:17 a.m.
I really like this video a lot. My background is as a hobby player playing smaller stakes MTT from about 10-50 $ BI range. I have ocasionally played higher with decent results but mostly i just play smaller stakes.
The 106s hand was very fine analys. My only comment would be for people like my self who play lower stakes this move are less likely to work in the player pools on lower stakes, since there are many people in these player pools who will never fold TP vs your push.
On the final 98s hand. Im not sure I have much to add that havent been sayd already.
First i like the idea to keep a clifhanger in there alot. It really gives us viewers a lot to think about and spawns a lot off good interesting analys in the thread.
My own thoughts about this hand are...
If being brutal and harsh was something i wanted to be I would say there is something fundementaly wrong with your overall strategy to raise BTN with Q6o but limp 89s. But you already know that :-)
If you wanted to have a theoretecly sound aproach to this spot I think you have to call some 9x but maybe folding 89s is ok.
1. The flop is unlike to have hit you often, most hands you have will fold I think, since floating is not so apeling to you when its 3 way, your on FT buble vs big stack and so on. So this could be a good spot for him to stab at.
Also another reason I dont think you would floats this flopa particularry wide is maybe this is a great spot for SB to CR since its very unlikely eather of you hit that board, and SB could have limped strong hands preflop with the hope that the agresive chip leader big blind would raise the both of you when you limped.
2. Given the reasons in 1 he should not expect you to have many pure floats where you would bet turn with hands that are worse than his value range. Hence check call turn dont seem to be a good plan for him with any part of his range.
3. You percived range is very capped with 9x being in the top IMO. He would likely think you raised A9, K9s and 1010+ peflop there are not many draws you can have on the flop.
4. He can bet his entire range on the turn with plan on betting river when you fold the top you can have.
Wich hands do you have on the river that are worse than 98 ?
With his river sizing he has to win the hand roughly 42 % of the time, wich means you have to call 58 % of your river combinations to keep him honest. Given the way you played the hand I think its safe to asume that he thinks you wont do that if you fold 9x.
Maybe folding 89s is ok, as long as you call some better 9x.
I really have no idea about your limping range. You are the best to answer. But say you turn range is somehting like this..
77, K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s, 97s = 30 combinations
Of those you have to call 58 % = 17 combinations
So you can call K9s, Q9s, J9s, T9s wich is 16 combinations wich should be ok.
Also even if you have some stronger combinations like 33,44 or overpairs on river folding 89s still seems ok.
However folding 89s becomes problematic if you have to many floated hands like spade draws and so on, in your river range but I dont think you can have those given floating the flop dont seem so atractive.
Also there are also other considertions to take into acount mainly ICM. The chips he lose are not worth as much as those you lose. So maybe fold is ok.
When you call and win you will goto 3 place in chips with a really strong chance of finishing among the top 3. But still some play left and some deeper stacks where anything can happen.
When you call and lose you will goto 8-9 place with about 25ish bb left wich will sorta make it a lot harder to make top 3 since you wont have much room for manuvering with the smaller stack. You will also often end in a raise situation with the other 2 shortstacks about not being the first one to bust. A situation wich will hand cuff you even more.
When you fold you will be in 7 place with about 40 bb left, where you will still have a good chance of making it to top 3. but ofcourse the chance are smaller compared to call and win and being in top 3.
So maybe fold is the best option here. Its really hard to say. Im sorta getting dizzy about thinking about this hand :-)
Anyway I think the best point we can make about this whole hand is try to have a better overall strategy where we dont open our self up for being exploited so easy. With very good oponents being deep in a MTT this is not something we can just get because we wish for it, but we should try and have a gameplan where we minimise tough spots for our self.
With that in mind I think raise preflop is way better. Im sure we all already know but basicly just to mention a few reasons in no particular order.
1. Giving your self a chance to win the pot outright when they both fold.
2. You allow a lot of hands that would just fold preflop to beat you. Basicly you expand his range of trash hands that he can play profitable since you allow them to play at no cost.
3. Your postflop range will be much better balanced when you raise, oposed to when you raise your strong hands and limp your please I would like to see a cheap flop range.
4. You can see a flop IP where you have a much better idea about your oponents range. Where often you can win with a bet or check behind if you dont flop much EQ and you think the texture is not one you oponent will fold on to often.
5. You will be a tougher oponent to play against when you are agresive rather than passive.
Sept. 28, 2013 | 9:41 p.m.
+ 1 To satellites
Sept. 27, 2013 | 11:33 a.m.
Nice Video.
I like the 1 tabling. So much more time to analys hands in deepth.
Sept. 26, 2013 | 9:23 a.m.
Like the format with only 2 tables. Makes it much more interesting too discuss hands in deepth, rather than auto pilot eveyrthing.
About 6 minutes in K2s on BTN. Not sure why you think SB would ever shove + 50 bb vs a BTN open. Ofcourse the bb he may shove here wide. But when sb know that, then he may even tighten up more vs your BTN opens. Or he may even try to induce the BB to shove by flatting stronger hands, where you may play a pot in position with deeper stacks.
Sept. 20, 2013 | 12:07 p.m.
8 minutes in I think open fold 77 from EP is better than raise-fold with those stacks at table. But Im a nit though :-)
Sept. 10, 2013 | 11:44 p.m.
Dont like the 99 flop raise around 48 minutes in. Im sure you know why :-)
And if you play it like you do I think river is a call.
Sept. 5, 2013 | 2:59 a.m.
Nice video Espen :-)
I prefer to see all hands and stats. It makes it much more interesting to see dynamics and playing patterns from everyone at the tables, because then its easyer to follow your reasoning for making the decisions you do.
Also I dont mind if the series you make are longer. Ill rather quality analys for each hand, than quickly aotupilot reasoning.
Maybe not sure if this is the right place to do it. But may I request maybe some ideas for future videos. Some more theory stuff would be great once in a while between live.
Maybe some theory series on subjects such as Push/fold, Preflop range/strategy, ICM and so on. I would love too see your take on those subjects. Maybe each subject could be a 2-3 part video. Anyway just a sugestion :-)
I too liked the way you played the Q4s your analys was exactly to the point.
One Hand i was not a big fan of is opening 33 from EP with those stack sizes at table ( But I admit I am also a nit)
How I see it when you open 33 there are a rejam stacks you will have to call off ( might not be the end of the world with a PP, but his range crush you), Also like it actually happened you cant do anything other than fold if you get 3B by a larger stack, and If someone flats you will sit with a crap hand OOP when there are likely no good flops. Especially since if one player flat its likely the blinds may come in also for the good price or that someone think its a good spot to squeeze. So you will end in a multiway pot where you cant Cbet profitable so often as you would want too
Anyway I may see it from a negative perspective, because there are ofcourse also good things about opening.
You can take the blinds fairly often when everyone folds, or win the pot with a Cbet on many textures if HU. You can hit a monster with a set and have a well disguised hand and so on.
So maybe I am just a bit to nitty generally when I would just muck that hand my self. This is one reason it would be cool if you could someday make a Video on preflop range/strategy.
Aug. 31, 2013 | 12:32 p.m.
Hi thanks for a nice video :-)
Maybe its a silly question, But i am a bit stuborn sometimes and I like to talk about spots wich seems obvious most of the time too sorta just check if we are really taking the best action.
77 vs UTG SB 13 minutes in upper right table.
You have a really small stack, and maybe its just a "Standard" spot but when he 4x UTG with such a tiny stack we never has any FE, and we are proberly hoping for a flip at best. Do you think in hindsight that a fold is ever good here, even our stack is so short. But if we fold we could get to push a hand or 2 the next orbit with a litle bit of FE, and maybe if lucky we have a whole orbit to get a premium hand to push, even if we dont get the oportunity to push ?
When we push I think we do it most as some sort of gamble hoping he has Ax or some other combination of overcards, because I dont see him opening 4x with many smaller pairs than 77 from UTG with his stack.
Anyway what do you think about this. What I am saying and creating and argument for folding is it just really bad not to push 77 here or what ?
Aug. 27, 2013 | 10:42 p.m.
Hi Espen very nice video again :-)
Maybe I am wrong but I am not so sure about the KK hand. I dont want to come off like I am a pro or something. You are a much better player than me, no doubt about that, but I just like to talk about poker strategy and theory so here is my take on the KK hand :-)
I think we should just 4B get it in preflop.
Even he seems nitty, but after that hand his 3B was +7 % even for it was UTG you raised from so he is proberly not that wide vs UTG with his 3B, But then again getting KK in preflop dosent ever seem to be a big mistake at this stack deepth.
Also the sample size is way to small to really conclude anything, maybe the guy was just really card dead for the session or something like that. He is +99 % on OPR and plays in a 109 $ MTT and proberly aware that you are not a random donk. So I think he can 3B here other than AK+KK+.
When you play it like you do, your essentially hoping he has AK, and you will see a non A high flop/turn, and that he will then give up with everything on the turn. If that is our strategy here with KK then I think it is very close that fold preflop is better, or we can setmine. Although setmining dosent seem so appeling eather since stacks are not the largest, we will be out of position, and we asume he is just giving up on turn when he miss.
Anyway. I like this series as a whole. I think it is important too see early stage play also, instead of always FT/deepruns. So I hope you will do more of this in future.
Aug. 27, 2013 | 6:09 p.m.
Hi
Is it posible you could add a link to other parts of video series ?
So for example when watching part 1 of a series there is a clickable link to part 2. So we dont have to go back and search for part 2 and so on.
Alright thanks :-)
Aug. 25, 2015 | 5:39 p.m.