horsetranquilizer

thanks!

i dont like your jam. hj will sometimes show up kings. everything else i guess he folds. bn can indeed be quite wide, so i prefer a flat. it keeps your range widest

im amazed by the q9hh hand... like you would ever slowplay on that turn and with that spr..
it worked though, so i may underestimate how much "tourney life" and threatening it plays a role on the FT bubble

pretty much never calling this down on the first hand vs an unknown reg

check back turn. bet river if he checks again. his hand looks like Qx or a decent sd value pair and when you bet twice, you look kinda polarized on this dry of a board bvb even though you might not be. id prefer betting this twice with a hand like t9cc

if he folds a decent amount of his Ax hands to a river barrel, which is likely, you probably dont loose much by checking this river.

that said, i probably still barrel 99% of the time

agree mostly. it might get ugly though if villain fires a blank big after you call and fish folded

call turn, evaluate river. i dont think he will bluff 6, t, and j rivers since all of these cards hit your range pretty hard when you take this line.

i would also call most rivers.

some thoughts:

i dont think you need to have a gto calling range here...
QT might be a better bluffcatcher than kx no kicker
yes, i think QJ and all boats should be check-raised on the river

think youre pretty high in your range here and probably have to call.

BAD.
take this line when you have a set. he wont fold shit.

i'd just barrel this turn thinking i have 12to15 outs. as played, you can check-call

think im calling, too. you have a decent bluffcatcher and i think this line is a bluff quite a lot.
if ppl get tricky, they tend to c/c this turn imo

also bet bigger on turn.

edit: wtf at his river bet. looks like ak now to be honest

villain will perceive you as FOS or very drawheavy on this board a lot, but with the fish in the pot and these preflop positions, he probably knows you have A2, 22 and strong draws like axcc or broadway+cc.

the fact that he is a tilter and non believer makes me bet-call turn. even though his range is much stronger than yours at this point

you have a bluffcatcher, sir. i dont think people can help you find a clear decision here..

not knowing more about villain, i would tend to believe, you are beat more often than not. but that beeing said, he might not play his value hands by raising flop and barreling... the fact that you just won a big pot might also make him think you'd give up on this one more easily

first instinct said fold vs this guy and esp vs utg.
might be a close call depending on the range though

de.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ah8h9s2s7d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 30.00% 30.00% 0.00% { AsTh }
MP3 70.00% 70.00% 0.00% { 99-88, AQs+, QJs, JTs, 98s, 76s, KhQh, KsQs, AKo }


let me know if you disagree with the range... (just calling ak utg standard in the zoom games?)
because removing 76s from it already makes this a fold and im already assuming that he will bluff 100% given the opportunity


de.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Ah8h9s2s7d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 22.22% 22.22% 0.00% { AsTh }
MP3 77.78% 77.78% 0.00% { 99-88, AQs+, QJs, JTs, 98s, KhQh, KsQs, AKo }

nh. probably the best hand to bluff with although a bit high in absolute handvalue

pretty interesting play with the AK utg. whats your thought process of why you think its profitable/good to have a limping range utg (and in other positions)?

it looks like you took a very exploitative approach in your match against jungle..

its a bit of a shame that there are no "thin" range vs range spots in this vid and you pretty much had a good hand all of the time... so i wonder how you ended up without showdown vs him... and how you would use your image.. i assume you took a lot of bet-check-bet lines?

pretty easy fold against most live players

actually an ugly runout even though you block a lot of flush combos.
still calling

im never folding this in game. i expect my opponent to see my river range as any ax, some kx and a lot of pp...
someone mentioned, that we are unlikely to have 3x and 2x which is a very good point and put a lot more 8x in our perceived range. so it might actually be a fold

i assume youre talking HU here?
if this betsize is good depends totally on your gameplan and you opponents bb range. but there are certain advantages it will have in most scenarios:
1. better price for bluff - 8 high just cant continue
2.higher bluffing frequency possible
3.even if opp calls and floats these boards a lot, you can still rep stronger
4. sets up future bluff opportunities and streets... if you see an opponent regularly getting to the river with ace or king high, this enables you to bluff and vbet very frequently and successfully
or the opposite. they dont get to the river light ever. also a good thing. now the flop bet is probably profitable in itself

taking positions into account, i think you played it just fine.
more info on the opponent might change the whole hand though

against described opponent, i would call turn, call river all day. im also not unhappy if he bets one of the flush rivers. especially on spades he might bluff too wide.
re-raising here would just shut out his bluffs and isolate you against very nutty hands..
after all, he might just react on your line which looks very FOS