guljo
22 points
UTG: UTG: $25.66
HJ: Hero: $36.10
CO: CO: $4.21
BN: BTN: $7.67
SB: SB: $28.39
His SB 3b is 27%!
CO: 31/22/5
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.60, CO calls $0.60, BTN folds, SB raises to $1.80, BB folds, Hero calls $1.20, CO folds
What do you think about bluff raising here? Or calling one more and bluff catching I need to be good 20% of the time here.
March 16, 2014 | 10:52 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $24.97
HJ: MP: $52.15
CO: Hero: $20
BN: BTN: $35.01
SB: SB: $27.84
stats: 21/18/9 1,3k hands
I have a note on him that pot sized bet was strong hand OTR, but he should be balancing this with bluffs.
Another note is a river push AI with a missed draw, but I wrote this note after this hand took place.
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.60, BTN folds, SB folds, BB folds, MP calls $1
I need to be good more than 29%. Should I just close my eyes and click call and write a note later? I just hate it when he turns over the nuts and there is a voice in my head "I knew it"
I appreciate your thoughts.
March 16, 2014 | 10:20 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $30.65
HJ: MP: $20
CO: CO: $12.82
BN: Hero: $24.20
SB: SB: $21.39
positionally unaware as his UTG open is 25%,
his fold to 3b is 44% in total on UTG 50%.
CB 74%
UTG raises to $0.60, MP folds, CO folds, Hero calls $0.60, SB folds, BB folds
It is hard to think of his calling range here, I think that he should shove his made hands as the board is this drawy. Draws with extra equity probably call and they should be folding to this river a lot, except clubs obviously.
If I draw a line here I actually like this play but think I should do it with hands that have some equity so I could improve on this river.
I appreciate your thoughts!
March 16, 2014 | 9:57 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $20.46
HJ: MP: $31.42
CO: Hero: $26.68
BN: BTN: $13.53
SB: SB: $13.47
20/17/8,6 557 hands
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, BTN folds, SB calls $0.50, BB folds
March 14, 2014 | 9 p.m.
I think he has more Qs in his range, AQ, KQs, QJs maybe QTs sometimes.
March 13, 2014 | 12:17 p.m.
March 13, 2014 | 11:44 a.m.
We don't have enough info on the player. But as Eddie said it makes not much sense to value raise the flop, in his shoes it is much better to call behind with his strong holdings and leave your bluffs in. So yeah as this play doesn't make much sense from thinking opponent I think we have some FE here and when called a decent equity. But we are basically shooting in the dark as we have no real info on the villain, I would just fold this PF and wait for more hands to make plays like this.
March 13, 2014 | 11:43 a.m.
UTG: UTG: $20.83
HJ: MP: $42.49
CO: CO: $6.65
BN: BTN: $41.76
SB: Hero: $20
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB raises to $1.80, Hero calls $1.20
March 12, 2014 | 9:29 p.m.
Can you explain your bet sizing please, I am suprised to see you betting less than 1/2 pot on all streets. What is the pourpuse for this?
March 10, 2014 | 11:36 p.m.
Imho it really depends on his 5b% and fold to 4b%. In general I would be 4b-ing a lot here with many AQs/AQo, AJs, ATs, not always but frequently. With JJ I would 4b as well and call AI depending on his 5b/F4b stats. Other holdings I would just fold. I don't like playing OOP especially when calling 3b.
March 10, 2014 | 11:05 p.m.
I would just 4b this PF, BB is bluffing a bunch and btn doesn't hold a monster often, so we can just take it down here and avoid situations like this.
Like played, I think both players would be slow playing a lot on this board. 9T, 88, 77, are possible for both players. Of course KJs, QJs is possible but we block this. I think BTN doesnt float that much here since BB can CR. BBs check/call is suspicious as well, he is getting good price for many holdings so I guess he has many hands with backdoor equity but he can be trapping as well and waiting to CR turn. I think check here is best and see what they do, but I would lean towards folding.
March 10, 2014 | 10:56 p.m.
March 9, 2014 | 1:59 a.m.
I think my 3b range looks something like JJ+, AKs, A9s-A2s, AKo, I dont add more bluffs as I think there is a high possibility that the fish might just push AI.
March 7, 2014 | 10:06 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $20
HJ: MP: $5.93
CO: CO: $22.04
BN: Hero: $23.71
SB: SB: $47.63
I was 3b-ing him quite a lot this session. Just one hand before he donked with MP and x/c turn.
UTG folds, MP calls $0.20, CO raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.80, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, CO calls $1.20
What do you guys think?
thanks!
March 5, 2014 | 12:52 a.m.
March 3, 2014 | 1:03 p.m.
March 3, 2014 | 2:05 a.m.
March 2, 2014 | 11:26 p.m.
Can you explain this calculation to me. I am getting a different result????
(4.2/6)*(3.5+0.5+11)+(1.8/6)*(0.428*200) = 0,7*15 + 0,3*85,6 = 10,5 + 25,68=36,18
Also there is a mistake JJ+, AK+is actually 3% not 1,8%
About the situation it is true that the sample is small, but I don't think that the numbers will change much, even if we hypothetically assume this are his actual stats, than I would assume his 4b/call range to be much tighter something like QQ+ perhaps even without AK. I think it might be more profitable for us to 3b PF and play against his flatting range and just exploitably fold to his 4b. What do you think about this?
March 2, 2014 | 10:16 p.m.
When we 3b PF and he 4b what do we do?
March 1, 2014 | 2:44 a.m.
Like other said I think it is a give up OTF.
Regarding river action, against the range that you assigned for him it is IMO best to fire one more, we represent strong holding and have all PPs in our range. I dont see many player over calling QQ here, perhaps it is happenenig on other limits and as said you block TT/JJ.
March 1, 2014 | 2:38 a.m.
Great video btw!
March 1, 2014 | 12:07 a.m.
Feb. 28, 2014 | 9:16 p.m.
Feb. 28, 2014 | 9:14 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $6.08
HJ: MP: $19.50
CO: CO: $22.67
BN: BTN: $18.93
SB: SB: $20.10
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN raises to $0.40, SB folds, Hero calls $0.20
Feb. 28, 2014 | 1:16 a.m.
Feb. 26, 2014 | 1:27 p.m.
Feb. 26, 2014 | 1:16 p.m.
Feb. 25, 2014 | 10:13 p.m.
UTG: UTG: $20.20
HJ: MP: $25.22
CO: CO: $18.93
BN: BTN: $20.50
SB: Hero: $21.41
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, BTN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1.60, BB folds, BTN calls $1.10
Feb. 25, 2014 | 9:38 p.m.
Problem with betting is that it is hard to fold to a raise with 10 outs.
Problem with checking is as you said if he checks back his 2 pair hands, TBH I don't think he will do it. Only if he is afraid of CR or call/donk turn line. Why do you think he checks back?
I would love to see a video from you explaining stats and how to use them on the tables. With some examples of players with varying stats and our best adjustment and exploitment.
March 23, 2014 | 11:45 a.m.