felt2felt

Even if villains range is something like this: JJ+,AQs+,AQo+ we're only running 51% equity with our QQ.

With an even tighter range: QQ+,AKs,AKo we are running 40% equity

Do you want to flip a coin for your tournament life when You're 10th out of 50? You're still in a great spot and you started the hand with 47 bbs and have only invested 3.5x.

We are getting around 1.5-1 on a call which is tempting...but It's probably better to try and chip up in other ways by stealing blinds and small pots and picking on short stacks. A coin flip situation preflop is not what we want with a guy who has us covered.

I would assume he would call most other flush and straight draws instead of spazing off, so the only hands we're beating are massive combo draws (QJc, KQc, A10c))
Without stats on villain, given his stack size and the fact he already has money invested in the SB his calling range could be very wide preflop.
It makes sense for him to wake up here with anything from a set, to some shitty flopped 2 pr, and most likely 910. There are more combinations of these hands than the 3-4 other massive combo draw hands he could be shoving with.
What a crappy spot but I think a good fold.

I can't see too many scenarios where he doesn't show up with a full house. Would he have checked the flop if he had QJ, KQ, K10, a flush draw, a low pocket pair...probably not, so I think on the flop his range consists of a lot of overpairs, weak to strong aces, AA, and possibly some 9's. When the 9 peels on the turn any overpair he might have is beat (minus AA), any Ax is beat (minus A9) so he's never shoving with those hands. I think the only hand you could possibly beat is 79...maybe 69 but that's a stretch. Forget the bounty, I think you are crushed here.