exigentwhy

It's the range that I thought could get to the river in the way you played it.

At 38:04, you mention that 93o is likely a losing call. Since I'm often one to hero call here vs aggressive players, I decided to run some math on it. I assumed a value range of J+ and added one combo of AA. 

I removed hands like 99, QJ+, and Axd because they're either 3-bet or hold a decent amount of showdown value. Of course Axd, K8d may still be 3-b but I wanted to create a fairly tight range. For instance, all the fds hold the additional eq. of an overcard or gutshot and I only gave half the combos of QTo. 

Here's the range: J2s+,T8s,J4o+,T8o,Kd7d,Kd6d,Kd5d,Kd4d,Kd3d,Kd2d,QdTh,QdTs,QdTc,QhTd,QsTd,QcTd,Qd8d,Qd7d,Qd6d,Qd5d,Qd4d,Qd3d,Qd2d,Td7d,8d7d,AsAc

We're 58.99% vs any 9x.

He needs to be good: 628.36/(628.36*2+401.50) * 100 or 37.9% to breakeven and he's winning 41.01% vs this range. We need to beat 9x 62.1% to make him indifferent. 

Although, the overbet's still likely profitable because in addition to 9x+, he'll occasionally get to the river with Axd, 4xd, etc. While 4xd does the same vs that range, I would be shocked if he ever calls. It's also notable that just a small adjustment like halving our T8o combos turns this into a -EV call. Similarly, if he wasn't opening so wide and thus forcing us to 3b QJo and to c/r bluff more flops, it becomes very -EV. The conclusion is that it's very player dependent and I suppose that describes all of poker. :D 

That AK fold has me scratching my head. You say you'd even fold AJ on the turn. Your opponents must be horrendous to allow you to make such folds.

How is it allowed that these bots play on the same site with humans?