ejay
0 points
My initial range was QJs/66 and 1 KK combo. Against this we have 33% and need to call. I really dont think he is likely to have 87s, but even if you 2 combos of that you still have 30% ev. I always feel like I call and lose here, but i think that given the math calling is right.
May 24, 2013 | 10:25 p.m.
I think i like bigger flop bet and shove turn.. If you bet closer to PS on the flop you have just about a PS bet left on the river.. He has a lot more 88-JJ hands than he does sets, and he would likely raise the flop at least some of the time with a set.. The Q should not really help him at all..
Given how you played it, i am still betting the turn because i think he will be folding a lot of 88-JJ as mentioned above.. Also, i dont think you can really b/f the turn here. Even if you bet 1/2 pot you would have ~$26 left, you are getting the right price with just about any hand he may have.
Would you ever check the flop here with AK? I think betting 1/3 pot makes sense. After the pf 4b your range is already pretty narrow, and checking here really limits your strong range..
I honestly dont think most villains will try to bluff you off QQ/KK, so folding is best imo. I would need a read that the villain is capable of turning hands into a bluff in order to call here..
May 24, 2013 | 10:32 p.m.