doug lennox

So the 2 pictures of the sims are tiny, I will try and fix it

but here are the numbers in case i forget

In Both sims our EQ on start of turn is 88%

In Sim 1:

He check raises turn 12%
Flush draws (8.8%)
AK/AQ (1.66%)
Full house (1.3%)
Quads (0.26%)

so 73% of his turn range is Flush draws

Our EQ on turn when we Bet Call is 73.3%

on River he Bets 75% of the time
I have him only betting FD with no pair as bluffs

Our EQ vs his range is 65%

Sim 2:

bets Turns 5% ( T9ss+)
check call 1% (34ss, 45ss, 64ss)

Check raises 6.4%
Flush draw (3.01%)
AK, AQ (1.75%)
Full house (1.37%)
Quads (0.27%)

Our EQ when we Bet/Call is 47%

on River he bets 95.7%

42% of that range is Missed flushes

Our EQ is 44.6%

I think we should check turn, we rarely get 2 streets and I think river will be the most profitable of the 2

I had a look through Crev

here is the first sim:

I assume villain is C-betting A2s, A4s, AK and AQ close to 100%
I have him Betting AA - 20% and 22, 44 - 50%.
AJ and ATs i also have Betting 50%

to start with i also assume he checks turn with his whole range and will C/R every FD

And I also have AK/Q im his turn/river range which i think can definatly be disputed

I have This as his opening Range:

So here is the first Sim:

Sim 2:

In this one i have villain betting turn with all Broadway FD: T9s+
And i also have him Check Calling 4xss

I feel like pre is the only debatable part of the hand, yes you have position on V1 but i feel V3 will be getting funky here a lot. If he limp/calls a bunch then i call here all day, even still it's prob fine

I don't see any other line to take, If he bets over 50/60 on river i would fold but we cant fold for this price

Will Tipton's books are very good. They focus on hu play but deal with a lot of game theory strategic concepts that apply to all forms of poker