dnice

Hey guys, I'm trying to develop a good short stacking strategy to take advantage of loose players and I have a few questions.

Lets say we are playing against 3 handed vs players who open too wide from the button around 70% who only fold 12% to 3 bet and will stack off very light folding only about 30% of the time on the flop. They also 3 bet between 15% and 20% from the blinds, and fold less than 30% of their big blinds to my button raise, but play tough with the loose range, only check folding flop turn and river 27, 41 and 57% of the time check raising 18% of flops. Also from the SB he raises about 55% and plays his weak range well. I see the biggest leak is raising too wide and calling too many 3 bets and stacking off too light, however in spots such as calling his button and SB raises from the blinds I feel like I get outplayed postflop. How would you approach a situation like this.

Do you think its profitable for sure playing 30BB. How about 50BB. What hands would you 3 bet from the blinds. I believe 3 betting any Aces, kings, and queens are pushing equity, but how about hands like jacks and tens, aktx ss aqt4ss kjt8ss . Hands like this also seem to be pushing equity. This player will 4 bet jam any aces, kings, queens, ajj, att, and a ton of akxx even some rainbow hands like akj4 rainbow. Is there a simple strategy to employ to print money vs people like this? Would playing a push fold strategy be profitable to avoid the tough oop spots postflop? THanks

I've noticed that a lot of the regulars on partypoker NJ are using a seating script as the table is full within 1 second when a fish sits down. I've reached out to the site about this but they havent done anything so I was wondering what could they be using to do this?

What would you say should be the general strategy when 3 betting heads up with a hand like kk or qq then dealing with a board like 883 with a flush draw or 779 rainbow. Do you c bet 1/3 pot with entire range, or do we check call flop then evaluate turn. My opponent was a guy who raises about 75% preflop, never folds to 3 bets, folds to flop and turn c bets 37 and 38 percent, and he stabs flop and turn 50 and 57%. In both situations I checked the flop, on the 883 flush draw board, I check called the flop, then on the turn the opponent potted into me so I shoved. We started with 140 bb in this example, he bet under 2/3 pot on flop then potted turn so I shoved thinking he had the flush draw

In the other example the 779 rainbow board, I checked, opponent bet 2/3 pot, we started at 84bb so I check raised him thinking hes stabbing too often. What would be the correct plays in these 2 instances given the fact he doesnt fold much on the flop and turn and he stabs often. He folds 83% on the river after triple barrel, raises flop 21% and he follows his bet vs missed bets with a 50% river shove

What would you say should be the general strategy when 3 betting heads up with a hand like kk or qq then dealing with a board like 883 with a flush draw or 779 rainbow. Do you c bet 1/3 pot with entire range, or do we check call flop then evaluate turn. My opponent was a guy who raises about 75% preflop, never folds to 3 bets, folds to flop and turn c bets 37 and 38 percent, and he stabs flop and turn 50 and 57%. In both situations I checked the flop, on the 883 flush draw board, I check called the flop, then on the turn the opponent potted into me so I shoved. We started with 140 bb in this example, he bet under 2/3 pot on flop then potted turn so I shoved thinking he had the flush draw

In the other example the 779 rainbow board, I checked, opponent bet 2/3 pot, we started at 84bb so I check raised him thinking hes stabbing too often. What would be the correct plays in these 2 instances given the fact he doesnt fold much on the flop and turn and he stabs often. He folds 83% on the river after triple barrel, raises flop 21% and he follows his bet vs missed bets with a 50% river shove

Hey guys I was wondering about the EV adj stat in holdem manager. It seems that no matter what I run under EV every year by large amounts and I was wondering if this is normal. For my career of 1.1 million hands I've made 177K but it says I shouldve made 278K. EVery year I'm running under EV except for 1 year in the 5 year sample I have and that was only over by 4k while most years its under by 30K plus.

I believe most of this discrepency in my sample comes from 5/10 and above where I've played 168k hands and lost 59k when I shouldve won 55k . Just looking at 5/10 NL and PLO combined in 160k hands I've won 18K but I shouldve made 92K . Is it normal running 74 buyins under EV in a decent sample like this or is just very bad luck? Overall I've demonstrated a positive winrate but running 100k under EV has had a huge impact on the career as I havent made much money and now my bankroll is in a danger zone. What do you guys suggest from these numbers.

Hey guys, I wanted to talk about a topic that's pretty important to anyone looking to maximize profits, playing hu vs recreational or bad players. I feel that this is probably the biggest source of profit in the game as you can have double digit bb/100 winrates vs these players. I know a lot of hu videos out there are about playing tough regs HU but I wanted to share something I've learned and have others share as well.

I feel that it all starts with learning what GTO is, then find where our opponent is deviating from GTO and find exploits. This can be done by creating a specific HU hud then finding where our opponent is leaking in different spots. For example if your opponent is betting flop a lot but not betting the turn we can float his cbet then bet the river profitably if we see he folds to river probes often. Or if he's bet folding too often we can check raise our bluffs then check call our good hands.

What are some other tips you guys have about beating bad players and exploiting leaks. Are there any good material that you recommend to improve your hu game vs these players. Any good books or videos here? Also what types of strategies do you use when trying to game select or reject. What threshold do you use to decide whether to play or not play someone? How about when you play on sites where there are no hu tables, when the bad player sits your table then 5 seconds later 2 regs are in position on him, do you continue to play or do you leave? I play in a small player pool so this often happens but there are times when hardly anyone is online then a random guy might sit you and you often can stack him within 10 minutes without reg interference. As far as career management how do you allow the wins to add up to consistent profit over time without giving money back to the better players or tilting it off? Hopefully this leads to a good discussion

Hey guys, I wanted to talk about a topic that's pretty important to anyone looking to maximize profits, playing hu vs recreational or bad players. I feel that this is probably the biggest source of profit in the game as you can have double digit bb/100 winrates vs these players. I know a lot of hu videos out there are about playing tough regs HU but I wanted to share something I've learned and have others share as well.

I feel that it all starts with learning what GTO is, then find where our opponent is deviating from GTO and find exploits. This can be done by creating a specific HU hud then finding where our opponent is leaking in different spots. For example if your opponent is betting flop a lot but not betting the turn we can float his cbet then bet the river profitably if we see he folds to river probes often. Or if he's bet folding too often we can check raise our bluffs then check call our good hands.

What are some other tips you guys have about beating bad players and exploiting leaks. Are there any good material that you recommend to improve your hu game vs these players. Any good books or videos here? Also what types of strategies do you use when trying to game select or reject. What threshold do you use to decide whether to play or not play someone? How about when you play on sites where there are no hu tables, when the bad player sits your table then 5 seconds later 2 regs are in position on him, do you continue to play or do you leave? I play in a small player pool so this often happens but there are times when hardly anyone is online then a random guy might sit you and you often can stack him within 10 minutes without reg interference. As far as career management how do you allow the wins to add up to consistent profit over time without giving money back to the better players or tilting it off? Hopefully this leads to a good discussion :)

I have a question for you guys about career management. I play in a small player pool where there are a lot of really strong NL regulars that are better than me, a few huge whales, and some semi fish. Because the player pool is small, there may be 5 or 6 tables running at peak times and at off peak times like 3-6am maybe 0 or 1 tables so a random fish may sit you hu. For PLO, there's a smaller number of games running, but there are some bad regs, maybe 2 or 3 sharks in the whole pool and a decent number of big whales and semi fish.

For the past 2 years I've been playing professionally and have a 633K sample with an overall winrate of 5.63 bb/100
At holdem my overall winrate is 9.3bb/100 over 362K hands and its 10.5 at HU over 124K hands
For PLO my winrate is 1.15 over 262K hands
over 84k hands with 4-6 players on the table my winrate is 9.8 and hu over 123K hands my winrate is -4.5 bb/100.

Because of the small player pool a lot of the plo games are hu and 3 handed and I feel as though these are the better games because the opponents are mostly fish , but theres a lot of variance in these games and my results arent good yet although I'm putting my focus in improving on this format. Also I see my winrate is much higher at holdem yet lately it feels like every holdem table has 4 or 5 sharks that are way better than me, they know gto too well, but PLO seems like a bunch of fishy loose players so I dont feel comfortable playing holdem lately unless its hu vs a fish.
One interesting thing also is that my winrate is 2 times higher at 2/4 to 5/10 than it is at 1/ 2. I think in my player pool there are more grinders at low stakes and random fish taking shots at high stakes. Whats the best way to manage this given I have a 40k roll, need to cash out 8k a month and want to find the sweet spot between taking too much risk and maximizing reward. I generally have just been playing any tables up to 5/10 if I think I have an edge even though this is risky.

In general whats the best way to navigate the waters of cash games given there are so many different ways to go about it, hu, 6 max, plo, nl. What are some good table selection methods or table rejection. I've been noticing that sometimes when you put your name on too many tables across different sites you get bombarded with too many tables then you just autopilot and its hard to get rid of some tables if you think you have an edge. What do you guys think the sweet spot for all of this is. On the surface it looks soo easy some months you can make 30K and the money is flowing, the players seem bad, but overall its about long term yearly profits which haven't been so great, so what kind of mindsets and daily strategies are best to make sure we are focusing on the most profitable situations. How do you incorporate study and getting better into your career. Thanks

I have a question for you guys about career management. I play in a small player pool where there are a lot of really strong NL regulars that are better than me, a few huge whales, and some semi fish. Because the player pool is small, there may be 5 or 6 tables running at peak times and at off peak times like 3-6am maybe 0 or 1 tables so a random fish may sit you hu. For PLO, there's a smaller number of games running, but there are some bad regs, maybe 2 or 3 sharks in the whole pool and a decent number of big whales and semi fish.

For the past 2 years I've been playing professionally and have a 633K sample with an overall winrate of 5.63 bb/100
At holdem my overall winrate is 9.3bb/100 over 362K hands and its 10.5 at HU over 124K hands
For PLO my winrate is 1.15 over 262K hands
over 84k hands with 4-6 players on the table my winrate is 9.8 and hu over 123K hands my winrate is -4.5 bb/100.

Because of the small player pool a lot of the plo games are hu and 3 handed and I feel as though these are the better games because the opponents are mostly fish , but theres a lot of variance in these games and my results arent good yet although I'm putting my focus in improving on this format. Also I see my winrate is much higher at holdem yet lately it feels like every holdem table has 4 or 5 sharks that are way better than me, they know gto too well, but PLO seems like a bunch of fishy loose players so I dont feel comfortable playing holdem lately unless its hu vs a fish.
One interesting thing also is that my winrate is 2 times higher at 2/4 to 5/10 than it is at 1/ 2. I think in my player pool there are more grinders at low stakes and random fish taking shots at high stakes. Whats the best way to manage this given I have a 40k roll, need to cash out 8k a month and want to find the sweet spot between taking too much risk and maximizing reward. I generally have just been playing any tables up to 5/10 if I think I have an edge even though this is risky.

In general whats the best way to navigate the waters of cash games given there are so many different ways to go about it, hu, 6 max, plo, nl. What are some good table selection methods or table rejection. I've been noticing that sometimes when you put your name on too many tables across different sites you get bombarded with too many tables then you just autopilot and its hard to get rid of some tables if you think you have an edge. What do you guys think the sweet spot for all of this is. On the surface it looks soo easy some months you can make 30K and the money is flowing, the players seem bad, but overall its about long term yearly profits which haven't been so great, so what kind of mindsets and daily strategies are best to make sure we are focusing on the most profitable situations. How do you incorporate study and getting better into your career. Thanks

I got laid off from my job back in February so I've playing professionally since then. I was receiving unemployment and severance until July so now I'm on my own. I have around 70k on poker sites, and another 20k or so in the bank to pay off bills. My plan so far has been to cash out 3k a week no matter wins or losses. I play plo and nl up to 5 10 but Mainly 2 5 and I prefer hu.

My monthly nut is high as I have a mortgage and a few girlfriends lol. I budgeted around 700 a month for dates, 600 a month for travel, 500 a month for random things, so with this Monthly nut is around 5k a month, but I also took out a personal loan which I owe 26k on at 8% interest for 7 yrs at 450 a month, and another with 14k balance which I owe 2% on for 2 more years which is 630 a month These 2 loans add about 1.1k a month to my monthly nut so the total is around 6k

I've been thinking about paying these 2 loans off or at least the higher interest one to reduce my monthly nut. Would this be a smart thing or am I better off holding on to the 26k or 40k for now to build my career. I took the loans out to Jumpstart my career which I was able to do. Also I withdrew my 401k for about t 75k so I will owe penalties and tax on this in April, and I have to pay tax on 18k of unemployment.

Ive been playing on a particular site for a while now and I'm beginning to wonder if its possibly not random. I have a sample of over 1/3 of a million hands for the past 2 years and I'm running very much under EV and this has been the case pretty much everyday it feels like and the gap is only getting wider. Do you think my holdem manager results shows that this site my be rigged.

I know its not in the incentive of sites to rig the games in an obvious way but I'm not just some donkey who is complaining because I suck at the game. I win my fair shake on other sites, but this site has the majority of the action. Do these graphs look abnormal?