cstival

Hi Seth, great vid.
I want to ask you: why do you cbet 28% most of the time even on very wet boards? Is it not better to cbet around 62% on those cases? I mean, we are giving great price to call with most backdoors.
How do u use your different cbet sizes?
Thanks!!

It was the first time I play this guy, plus it was early on the match, so I didn't have solid reads about the player.

Flop: I don't expect him to X/R trips here at all, maybe sometimes (but not even close to always) 88 if he didn't 3bet that pre because he doesn't block TX/draws, so his range looks bluff heavy here for me.

Turn: Many of his XXdd would have picked up some extra equity (QXdd, 9Xdd), plus once I call OTF there aren't many hands I'm folding on that turn, so I expect him to pot it here both with and without a hand. He might be value betting JXdd for value here, but I'm beating most of them since he didn't 3bet pre, plus I expect him to slow down OTR.

River: My real concern here is KQdd, but it's most likely that he 3bets that pre + if he doesn't, he is likely to just call OTF with showdown value HU. When he shoves, he's never repping AXdd (which he would have also 3bet pre or X/C flop with showdown value).

This said, his value range for me consists in SOME of his 88 combos, and maybe SOME of his AT combos. Even if he takes this line with all his 88 and AT, he would have only 9 value combos. 97xx is an option too, but I block it. Anyways, let suppose he plays his 12 combos of 97xx like this, then we have 21 value combos.

I have to call 74bb to win a total pot of 210bb, so winning 35% of the time I'll break even.

I need him to have 11 bluffs here to break even, and I find way more than that in terms of flush draws.

Hola Juan!

@31:54 on the K8ss X/R on A63ssh5s9c you say you are mixing your flushes with "high spades blockers as bluff", however I can't figure out any non-flush high spade in your range as the hand played. Maybe KQ with one spade, but I doubt you are X/Calling that flop against UTG with that hand.

Thanks!