chessFan
1 points
Hi!
I played this hand http://weaktight.com/6240944 against a regular. Villain tendencies are pretty tight. He is a 18/9/5. Steal from BTN is 28%. General fold3bet is 47%, fold to resteal is 43%.
I think cbets flop and turn are pretty clear for me.
In the river i think i have the best hand most of the time, but i dont think im being called by many hands if i bet, maybe 98s or 99. Dont know if he is calling Ace high 3 barrels. So my question is,
what is the most EV+ move? bet river or check-call (inducing bluffs from Ax, KQs, QJs, etc)?
Thanks!
Nov. 10, 2013 | 10:44 p.m.
Thanks, thats what i was thinking. Im gonna check that particular situations/spots filtering my database.
July 18, 2013 | 3:52 p.m.
Anyway, i dont think he is seeing me as a great 3better, im just starting to open my 3bet ranges, so he is playing 3bet pots vs anyone not just me.
July 18, 2013 | 5:10 a.m.
Yeah it's tight, but its FR. Anyway his calling range is too wide compared to what i see from most regulars, i guess your proposed calling range might be accurate, he calls most broadways, connectors and medium pairs for sure.
July 18, 2013 | 5:08 a.m.
Hi!
The villain in question is a decent reg, not a fish. He is a player who likes to call 3bets, especially IP when he is from steal positions vs 3bet blind defenses. Im starting to open my 3bet range from the blinds (NL25 FR), expanding/balancing it with some suited connectors (JTs, 98s, etc), but this guy seems to try to steal the pot IP many times. His numbers:
He is a 19/14/6. Steals from CO, BU, SB: 14%, 43%, 30%. He only has an overall fold to 3bet of 36%, i think it is due to his fold to resteal of just 17%.
How should i approach this guy? 3bet more? call IP hands like AQ, AK? (i dont like it very much).
I think i need a plan postflop if i know this guy is giving me action everytime i 3bet him.
Thanks!
July 18, 2013 | 4:19 a.m.
I dont think the villain is a passive guy. He might be passive preflop, but aggresive postflop. He plays 42 % of hands and has 1,8 of aggression. That's a lot because he plays a lot of hands. Its not the same as playing 25 % and having 2 aggression like a regular. He seems to be pretty agggresive OTT, so a shove seems right. Most of the times he is betting Qx OTT.
June 25, 2013 | 10:55 p.m.
let me see if I understand what you guys are saying: you say it s a bad spot for him bluffing, so i cant expect him bluffing here too much, ok. But dont i have enough showdown value to call a bet from him as the hand was played?
May 15, 2013 | 5:15 p.m.
villain is a good regular who defends pretty aggresively his blinds. In this case, he flat called.
May 15, 2013 | 2:15 p.m.
In this hand both the SB and me are deep, about 150-170 blinds.
I open raise and get called.
OTF i get checkraised. I decided to call IP with TP because we are deep.
OTT i get two pair and villain donks. What should i do on the turn? flat call? raise?
May 14, 2013 | 11:34 p.m.
Hi!
In this hand, Im playing a guy who likes to raise a lot vs aggresor. His raise to cbet% is 63% and fold to cbet just 38%.
I didnt give too much credit to him when he raised the flop, because of the stats above. I decided to call. Even tough, he can have some flush draws or maybe QT combo for a OESD. I have KQ so i have blockers to that combo.
OTT both of us checked to the ace. I really dont think he has Ax after this, and i always discount QT because he should always bet there with his str8.
On the river i hit the queen and get two pair. At this point Im pretty sure i have the best hand, what would you consider to be the best line here? bet the river? induce a bluff from him, playing check/call? What do you think of the hand in general?
May 14, 2013 | 11:12 p.m.
Hi, what is cold call preflop % from villain?
May 10, 2013 | 11:08 p.m.
It seems clear to be a fold. With your bet in river, I think he folds small-medium pairs 66, 99, TT, maybe JJ. Obviously he is raising sets, or KQ which seems to be more probable.
Without much information/stats from player, i dont know if it would have been better to check the river or triple barrel.
Regards.
May 10, 2013 | 11:02 p.m.
Well, most of the time im folding the flop. Here i decided to float him and yes, maybe his cbet is not as high to try this play, although the sample size isn't so big to have reliable numbers.
May 10, 2013 | 1:40 p.m.
Hi!
Im a new member at this forum, and i hope to learn one thing or two from the great players around here. :)
Im posting my first hand and asking some doubts:
I decided to call preflop with pocket nines. The villain is a regular who cbets 54% flop, 67% turn. I have 330 hands history of him. I decided to call flop and when he bet the turn i got an idea. He could easily have Qx or Tx in his hand but i could see that in the turn the nuts were J9 to a straight. So i had this idea of bluff raising him in position to make him fold any better hand. He tought for about 10-15 seconds and shoved allin. I had an easy fold.
But my question is, i still think i made a good play in the turn, it just didnt work, maybe he had a set or he didint believe my story. I have 99 who has many blockers to the nut J9 combo in the turn, and i thought i had pretty good chances of him folding. I almost never have this "creative lines" but i felt i had chances for it to work here.
What do you think?
I guess it happens to any poker player. I think you are in the right way if you are analysing your game. Something im trying to implement in my sessions is to not look at the result of the session during it. Just focus on playing your best. I agree being results oriented leads you to let that result affect your emotions.
I think in almost all areas, people tend to be result oriented, and then blame the cause of that results to wrong reasons, because they are just looking at the surface, without digging deeper.
July 20, 2013 | 9:19 p.m.