caseyg912

Does anyone know if the great Holdem Resources Calculator takes into account card removal when calculating the profitability of shoves? I'm mostly curious about late position shoves  (like BTN and SB) in full ring MTTs. I've been pretty much trying religiously to shove any profitable spot when short (like <16 bbs) when there aren't any ICM considerations. Over the past couple of months though it really seems like I am getting running into the top of the Blind's ranges and not getting enough folds to make some of the shoves profitable. It would seem like if Holdem Resources does not take card removal into account, than possibly some of the less profitable shoving hands may turn to negative chip EV, especially in full ring. 

Again, I'm just curious and may be totally wrong. But if any Holdem Resources Calc experts out there can shed any light on this, that would be awesome.  

Merge - $30+$3|<> NL - Holdem - 8 players

Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

MP+1: 36.05 BB (VPIP: 19.79, PFR: 17.16, 3Bet Preflop: 6.52, Hands: 492)

CO: 44.15 BB (VPIP: 20.63, PFR: 15.42, 3Bet Preflop: 6.70, Hands: 451)

BTN: 38.26 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 5.32, 3Bet Preflop: 2.47, Hands: 191)

Hero (SB): 54.1 BB

BB: 16.5 BB (VPIP: 11.34, PFR: 8.13, 3Bet Preflop: 2.88, Hands: 251)

UTG: 13.31 BB (VPIP: 22.11, PFR: 16.15, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 201)

UTG+1: 20.63 BB (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 27.78, 3Bet Preflop: 30.00, Hands: 19)

MP: 22.33 BB (VPIP: 13.60, PFR: 11.90, 3Bet Preflop: 3.95, Hands: 570)

8 players post ante of 0.1 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has Jc Kc

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4.96 BB, fold, MP+1 raises to 8.15 BB, Hero calls 3.19 BB

Flop : (18.09 BB, 2 players) 9h Ts 4s

Hero checks, MP+1 checks

Turn : (18.09 BB, 2 players) 8c

Hero bets 5.75 BB, MP+1 calls 5.75 BB

River : (29.59 BB, 2 players) 9s

Hero bets 23.33 BB, MP+1 calls 22.06 BB and is all-in

Hero shows Jc Kc (One Pair, Nines) (Pre 74%, Flop 29%, Turn 25%)

MP+1 shows Ks 4c (Two Pair, Nines and Fours) (Pre 26%, Flop 71%, Turn 75%)

MP+1 wins 73.71 BB

I have a fair amount of history with villain (~500 hands). His fold to 3b stat after raising was 56% and his 4b freq is 11%. I taking the lead and 3betting pre against this stacksize and when he 4b's tiny, I don't really see how I can fold KJs getting 4.67-1. I guess there can be an argument made for 5betting, but I elect to flat. Thoughts?
I think his range is pretty capped when he checks back this draw heavy flop. Whereas I can definitely have 910s, 99, 1010, AXss and some slowplayed AA and KK. Worth noting, he snap called my turn bet (like less than 1 second). Any thoughts on how I played this turn and river against his perceived capped range?