bossman

great video, was pleasure to watch :)

hey man , what u mean ?   i would also love to read what other users think of my post

on that runout we have 56 value combos ( AT+)

when we bluff river what hands we wanna make indifferent??   TJs,t9s,QTs   few combos of 99  guess only those??

what do u think of overbetting river is this an appropriate spot to do that? cause range v range looks like we are crushing him!! i am not sure just asking...    like he cant have much more that A2s, AT, 88 here!...  most of his stuff clear bluffcatchers vs our range... like is it possible to jam or bet 200% pot would that be correct???

TURN: bluffing for bluffing QJo +EV and giving up river u need around 47% pure FE on the turn...  3way i doubt if it is possible ... maybe if the guy is not folding much.... i think i would XF turn  (villain  has to call flop with BDFD+2O   and 55-77  and fold those on the turn pretty much..... then turn bet will have EV of 0,5  )

ofcourse u can make  betting QJo profitable on the turn if u will have successful river bluff but in that spot ! but here villain is not folding just enough.......although if we hit our str8 and villain will call us with KT+  ...turn betting EV will be  +2bb (so if it was your plan u played it well) firstly my mistake was i plugged just this runout and was playing with EV,FE and etc , then i changed that river card to blank and put different scenarios 

here as u i would be also very worried like to be balanced and have good value range and enough bluffs , but looks like in that spot we shouldnt be bluffing unless the villain is huge nit...  if we bluff we are just making negative ev play here which decrease our EV significantly... maybe here we should overbet or not bluff...possibly bluffs will be +EV if villain only call KT here... but if he decide to bluff raise again we are in the big ass

river his reasonable folding frequency is between 35-20%  on that runout...... which SUXXXXXXXX   so i am not really sure what to do...he will fold more than 50%  if he was floaty on the flop called BFD and if he will call AT+!! 

on that river according to CR EV bluffing  AK/AQ lot more better than bluffing hand like QJ... if he calls KT+  bluffing :   QJo   -15,74bb   ,  AdKd   -12,33bb    ,       AXs  -8bb         

so bluffing qjo is bad cause he possibly can fold QT,QJ so we block his folding range

bluffing AdKd is bad cause we block his folding range KT , but better cause we block  AT,A2   his calling range

AdXd   so looks like the best bluffing hands... maybe we should only bluff those? if we feel villain loves folding.. if not just give up knowing your profitable turn game plan to barrel FD+ahi  is profitable u just need to hit your flush and get value 

preflop: u can make an argument to call even all offsuit aces   ,  assuming that we will realize 65% equity oop we will be doing fine with a good gameplan..maybe here because he cbets on the higher side and bet turn a lot we can start like A8o+  or A7o+ ,   pretty interesting what other will think about it !    A2o has 44% of equity , A5o 46%!

his river cbet and aggression looks really  low , so i would fold there , and vs his bet i assume  we can fold quite a lot 49% of the time there , so prolly defending mostly our trips + could be fine!  i would call pre K6s+ so i will have a lot of them....hmm  if we call river trips + we will be folding 69% of the time... but we also have stil all combos of KT and 33... so we could sometimes bluff X/raise here   

few questions:

1) would u call on the turn all TX hands???(if we call our total range that folding will be 30% which is fine of course) if not what TX would you consider folding?  maybe calling all not that bad still his turn barrel is high, we can assume he will barrel a lot.... we have to fold some TX,  if we are not folding , we will be exploitable on the river!   what do u think about it?

2) on what street should we have a raising range in that hand?? our range is pretty strong so we can afford it  or should we wait still for the river?? guess raising turn would be better i am not sure...  bluff raise AJ and also for value KT and 33, maybe KQ+ occasionally on the turn

agree about  preflop... 7% is decently strong range so you wont realize all your equity.. i would call pre if i knew how to exploit villain postflop to be able to steal a pot from him decent amount of the time.. vs top7% i would call AQo+ ATs+ KQs+ 99+ i think...

postflop u can take a look into his XFolding stats as 3bettor. but all in all calling super dry board vs tight range knowing that he will often fire 3rd shouldnt be good, he has only few semi bluffs here.. by 21/16/6   we can assume that he is pretty honest and str8 forward guy

hey marco,

agree with marrek  i would prefer to raise flop with something more marginal than 99,  K of clubs  , like call KJo with backdoors and bluff raise KQo. with KJo u can continue on more turns.    Ax of clubs bluff raising also would be decent and gutters too. But all in all 3way better not to go crazy , so picking  Kc or Ac would be totally fine!

as played postflop  yeah WTSD could be a sign that he is a station, i would like also to check his W$SD stats as well if it is poor i am definitely not shipping it