bcas1984's avatar

bcas1984

13 points

Comment | bcas1984 commented on Embracing Learning

I think the strategies you've listed are very helpful, and I can't think of much to add except for a meditation practice and working on your sense of self-efficacy. Easier said than done but I have found both to be helpful.

Jan. 10, 2025 | 7:19 a.m.

Thanks Steve. I wish in the moment I had found the fold but I can at least get it right with the benefit of hindsight.

It’s tough to find the fold after setting up the bluff but the bet size is such a dominating new piece of information to consider.

Hopefully, next time I can control the impulse to call in this spot.

Jan. 9, 2025 | 9:11 p.m.

Comment | bcas1984 commented on Embracing Learning

Good luck in the New Year!

It can be a challenge to deal with negative emotions associated with change and uncertainty. I a often find myself having to cope with those emotions in poker, work, and even my other hobbies. I hope that you're ventures in travel and other endeavors are a success this year!

Jan. 7, 2025 | 9:56 p.m.

I hope you enjoy the flexibility that you're giving to yourself! The freedom and courage to do that are hard to come by! Best wishes on embracing this attitude throughout the year.

Jan. 7, 2025 | 9:51 p.m.

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) CO: $62.97 (Hero)
BN: $54.06
SB: $52.03
BB: $24.33
UTG: $113.58
MP: $87.17
The villain in this hand has shown the capability to be bluffing in a variety of spots with a VPIP of 40%, PFR 12%, 3bet 8% over a very small sample of 60 hands. So, I went into this hand expecting to do some inducing and bluff-catching.
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is CO with 9 9
UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.50, 3 folds, MP calls $2.00
I've been experimenting with different size bets to isolate. It seems like 4 bb is about the minimum to have any kind of fold equity. I've gone as high as 8 bb with stronger hands. I haven't noticed opponents making any adjustments at this point.

I don't think that this raise has reduced the villain's range much as they have been continuing very widely to this size.

They haven't 4-bet much so I don't think we can eliminate the strongest part of their range.
Flop ($5.75) T 3 6
MP checks, Hero bets $1.80, MP raises to $5.10, Hero calls $3.30
So, I follow through here with a c-bet. I've been almost range c-betting in a lot of spots lately for a small size. When the opponent plays back, I feel confident in calling. I've seen this opponent check-raise the flop and then check-fold the turn more than once already. I'd almost be more concerned with a call from this opponent.
Turn ($15.95) T 3 6 6
MP checks, Hero checks
I wonder about this check behind. I thought that letting the villain bluff the river was reasonable but maybe not great with 99. There is a world where the opponent bluffed a 6 and is trapping now but I thought that there were quite a few pocket pairs, flush draws, and random 1-club hands the opponent would bluff with on the flop that could go for it on the river.

I don't have a strong read on if the opponent always fast plays their value after the flop check-raise.
River ($15.95) T 3 6 6 2
MP bets $25.03, Hero calls $25.03
I really didn't like seeing this size with this river card. 45 gets there which isn't ideal, but there are still a lot of bluffing candidates with missed flush draws, and any 1-club hands that they could go for a bluff with.

I didn't have a strong bet-sizing tell for this opponent which really pushed me toward a fold. I would have been pretty happy to call anything pot-size and below but this just always seems strong.

So I guess for value the opponent can have some combos of T6, 36, 62, some slow-played sets TT, 33, 66, 6x, some combos of the straight with 45o and 22 that got there on the river. I don't necessarily think the opponent has all of these combos given the action so far. Some of them will fold pre-flop, some of them will be checked back on the flop, and some will be value bet on the turn. But when the opponent bets 5/3 pot he has to be bluffing more than 3/8 or 37.5% of the time for this to be a profitable call. That is starting to feel a little optimistic at this point.
Final Pot MP wins $62.71
Rake is $3.30

Jan. 7, 2025 | 9:44 p.m.

Thanks Steve.

This video gave me a great framework for diving into my own database review!

Jan. 6, 2025 | 4:35 p.m.

Hand History | bcas1984 posted in NLHE: Hand Analysis: Bovada 25 NL
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BB: $25.00 (Hero)
UTG: $85.65
MP: $27.52
CO: $12.41
BN: $28.85
SB: $24.75
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with 5 4
2 folds, CO calls $0.25, BN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50
Flop ($2.35) A 9 Q
Hero checks, CO checks, BN bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, CO folds
Turn ($3.85) A 9 Q Q
Hero checks, BN bets $3.19, Hero raises to $8.21, BN calls $5.02
River ($20.27) A 9 Q Q 2
Hero bets $15.29 and is all in, BN calls $15.29
Final Pot BN wins $48.85
Rake is $2.00

Jan. 3, 2025 | 10:03 p.m.

Comment | bcas1984 commented on Increase Your Luck

Thanks for this video. I think the title is great and I enjoyed the opportunity to reflect on my perception of luck in the game.

Dec. 30, 2024 | 5:19 p.m.

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