bananasplit

result ?

up !

I don't like too much the 3-bet in this hand. Vilain is only fold 52% vs 3-bet and like Felipe said, in these positions u get far more 4-bet than calls because he will be OOP so Blockers matter more than playability postflop.

UP

What do you think of checking back the turn w/ kjdd vs nanonoko ?

Your hand is well protected with the flush draw and you lose less against his turn c/r range which is often kq+ since you will just lose a bet river. As you said he will 2-barrel pretty light so his check back seems pretty suspicious. Do you think he would call you off w/ like TT+ turn and river shove which is why you decide to bet ?

So at 7:00 min, what the best play would be w/ KTo, just to fold pf ?

Very good post Robert Johnson. Indeed, It would have been better for me to just do the maths on a spreadsheet instead of bothering you but i was too lazy and blind with wrong logic. Thank you and Felipe to answer me, next time i'll try to put some work on my thoughts before commenting.

I can see clearly now !

Well it seems pretty weird for me that when you are playing a balanced strategy (here you would bluff exactly 34% of the time) your opponent has to defend 48% of his range but let's say you are now imbalanced because you are bluffing 33 % the time (you change like 1 combo in your range !!!), all of a sudden the best play for him is to never call ! 

Mb i have a wrong understanding but it seems to me it should go down gradually from 48% to 0 % depending on how you deviate from GTO (not really 0% because he will call his fullhouses, but you get what i mean).

Robert Johnson can you help me ?! :D

Nice video,

Just one thing i don't understand.

At 10min40, you say that your sizing wasn't optimal (with way less bluffs that your overbet should require you to have GTO wise) and thus he should fold all of his bluffcatchers.

That would be true if you would never be bluffing but even if you are underbluffing with your sizing, he still has to call the top of his bluffcatching range i guess. Assuming you are bluffing 26% instead of the optimal 33%, i don't know how to calculate the % of times he has to call but this is > or equal to 26% and it includes more than just his full houses.

Hello,

Very nice video.

Sorry to discuss this late, but i would like to know what would be your 3-barrel value betting range on the KTo hand ? Would it be something like QQ+, 7x and flushes  or would you checkback your overpairs river ? And if you don't have overpairs, do you think you have enough flushes/7x to balance the time you run bluffs like this with bare As or Ks ? 

Thank you.

P.S. : Now that i read my post, i realize that you should have way enough value combos with 7x and flushes to add these bluffs, sorry to bother you with my fishy posts ! Good luck.

Yes, what about some 300/600 to conclude this wonderful series ?

Sorry to come this late, just one question, how do you calculate his optimal bluff frequency ?

Do you defend your asx suited from BB vs a 3x open ?

Hello,

You made a simulation at 9min to evaluate whether it's profitable to defend with K10o, K2o and K2s.

While it was a clear defend with K10o and a clear fold with K2o, would you defend a hand like K2s against the vilain's range you mentioned in the CO ?

4:00 KQo, if you don't squeeze, do you think it's acceptable to just call or little too weak ?

22:33 Q7s Are you ok with folding on the raise river ? There are no bluffs in his range but you agreee that he is gonna raise for value his splits like QT, QJ, AQ because we got no KK in our range ?. Aren't these combos enough to make the call (even for a chop pot) given the odds we got ? If he shoved the river it could have been different.

This guy just caught the greatest run of cards since Darvin Moon at the WSOP.

Thx for your answer, i totally agree with it.
About the last hand you provided a great analysis and i hope that players will come along to talk about it.

Hello,

I haven't watched the video entirely yet, still i have question about the 2nd hand.
You said that the 4bet/call was clearly EV+ against his wide range (47% equity as we need 35%) and just slightly EV+ against a tight range (35,8% equity). We know what he is capable of thanks to the 1st hand so the wide range could seem pretty realistic but since he covers several players at the table and that you both are pretty deep (38 BB effective), we can assume he would maybe not stackoff that wide but with a range closer to the tight one.
Also why are you not taking the cEV into account ?
What i mean is that we are taking a high variance spot as the chipleader of the table against another big stack while we could put pressure on the shallow stacks by being aggressive with them preflop and not risking a huge portion of our stack with marginal EV+ decision.
Ultimately that would lead us to play weak in this spot by just calling the 3bet pf and continuing on favorable boards (not that much i know) or 4bet/fold. What do you think about it ?

15:20
And that is a King in his face and we continue to run lik... Oh oh dear, oh no !
Ahah