anvil283

~28mins into the video, speaking of the J8o hand, you say that if you are betting 2/3 pot on the river with 64 bluff combinations, then you need 128 value hands. actually, if youre betting 2/3 pot on the river, then the ratio of value hands to bluff hands should be ((2/3)P + P)/P = 2.5/1, and youd need 160 value hands.

.. which is indeed a lot of hands. lol.

thats just nitpicking though. i enjoyed the video and got a lot out of it. thanks for making it.

hand 1: KQs v JJ

if MP flats {22+,AJs+,KJs+,QJs+,JTs,T9s,98s,AQo+} pre, then on a turn of Td 7d Qd 5h, his range contains 118 combinations. when BB bets ~3/4 pot, MP must defend ~60pct of his range; 0.6*118 = 71 hands, which is approximately {QQ-TT,77,55,AJs+,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,98s,AQo+} [70 combinations]. on the 8s river, that becomes 69 combinations, and if BB bets ~2/3 pot, MPs MDF is again about 60pct. 0.6*70 = 42 hands. if MP folds all his air [ie, {AK, AJs, KJs, 98s}], his remaining combinations of {QQ-TT,77,55,AQs,KQs,QJs,JTs,T9s,AQo} make exactly 42 hands.

of course, MP will probably be betting his sets/TPTK a fair percentage of the time on  the four-way flop, but still -- from this standpoint, the JJ river call isnt exactly as terrible as made out to be.