antar

I find this spot very interesting.

Vilain opens OTB so his range is very wide and contains more 3s that if he had opened from an earlier position. We, on the other hand, almost never have trips + on this board.

I have trouble deciding whether holding 46 is a good (more equity vs 3XXX) or bad (we block 456X combos).

I believe I'm okay with folding w/ KKXX and calling w/ AAXX (gives us a calling range and vilain can show up with KKXX in additions to 456X, 45+overpair type of hands).

Would raise pre

Would raise flop

Would raise turn

Would Call/raise/bet river depending on his sizing.

About him holding a 2 :

1/He's calling a raise pre and, given his reasonable stats, shouldn't have many deuces in his range.

2/Consequently, he shouldn't be bluff raising this flop often at all as he doesn't rep much and should be keeping a fair amount of JJXX in his c/c range.

3/If he has a deuce he certainly won't, and shouldn't fold against a turn bet unless you are an incredibly tight 3bettor.

Pre and flop ok, 

OTT your range is incredibly strong and i expect a lot of c/f. 

I'd go with a small bet with my entire range since I'd certainly want to bluff my non-Axxx hands here.

As played I don't think there is any other option than calling and re-evaluating on the turn.

Eckesach your estimation of his stack-off range seems way optimistic. No good vilain stacks off for 170bb with a dry KJ9 OTF. Even a hand like a dry QTxx (say QT67r) would probably be in disastrous shape when getting it in.

Not too fond of your flop lead btw, your hand is pretty and can easily c/c at least twice, but you have very few nutty outs, which is somewhat problematic when playing deep out of position against a good agressive reg to whom you give the opportunity to raise you OTF.

I don't mind your line at all with so much dead money OTF.

You block a 5 which means he very rarely has a set. The vast majority of his range is JX, 66-99 and draws.

Raising OTF puts a lot of pressure on his one-pair hands, which you are slightly favorite against. You don't mind him folding out his equity share and you don't mind getting it in. In addition to that he may peel once with some FDs.

Easy jam OTT with a PSB left and 17 outs to improve.

Assuming you are folding low pairs pre or raising your sets otf/ott, you are at the absolute top of your range. Call.

Not too fond of the flop peel, I'd much rather raise this and call with KhQh.

OTT unfortunately you don't rep much on an offsuit 3 as you're expected to raise your 2P+ on a T84ss flop.

I'm giving him a range of AAXX KKXX, AxKx+FD, sometimes AQJT+FD.

Aleksandra, there is just no way he's gonna play like this with any AQJT//AKXX hand. 

I can't think of one opponent i'd want to get 240bb in with say AKQQr or AcQcTsJs when the pot on the flop is 7bb.

I agree that vilain should extremely rarely play his rare 66xx that way.

As deep I don't expect this line from very many QJThh hands. Maybe sometimes vilain will show up with something like AxQxJhTh o AxKxQhTh but realistically I think we are very often up against AAXX or AKKX.

QTs is in my default opening range from any position. On that particular table i felt i had no reason to tighten up.

I strongly believe he would raise OTF with set and probably AJ. I believe he calls two streets with A3 A4, though i don't rule out the possibility of him raising OTF w/ A3. But if for some reason he happens to have two pair by the river, raising for value seems really bad.

I am confident that my line represents better than just AK or AQ, and if I ever happen to sometimes do this with AK, that would be the absolute bottom of my value range (ie. that would not call a raise). I would say my line represents good two pair, sets and flushes.

Thanks for the insights.

Just to make it clear, i believe flatting the river this deep with low flushes to be very standard and not particularly nitty. Obviously there is always a possibility of an opponent overplaying his hand into bluffing us...

I think in this spot I'm more worried about a hand like AsQx than 5s6s.