andymckenzie's avatar

andymckenzie

13 points

Hey man, I enjoy reading your blog and we probably have more overlap in our views than you will suspect from this post. I'm also glad you added that last caveat as you’re open to disagreement but won’t take it personally (and neither will I). Here is some hopefully constructive criticism:

If you have seriously ruled out living in a beautiful country like Canada because of ‘wokeness’ then you have gone down a right-wing rabbit hole that isn’t a balanced representation of reality and won’t serve you on the path to happiness.

I went through a phase 6 years ago consuming a lot of content by Jordan Peterson et al that lead me down the anti-woke rabbit hole. It took a good amount of learning other perspectives and introspection to tease apart what things in 'woke' ideology I actually disagreed with and what things just made me uncomfortable because they threatened my world-view and identity.

There is definitely overreach in some left-wing ideology/laws and I'm not au fait with the Scottish hate crime laws, so I'll take your word for it that they go too far, but I suspect you are massively overestimating that and the impact it has on your day-to-day life.


It’s also worth exploring the other side’s perspective, as expressed by themselves, rather than filtered or cherry-picked by someone on the right. As I said, there is some nonsense on the woke left. There are people who are projecting their own trauma and just want to lash out and make other people feel bad rather than actually make the world a better place. But there are also a lot of valid points, and I would say their interpretation of history is ultimately more accurate than the more traditional pro-colonial one I learned in school.

If you are curious to do some introspection, consider whether you agree or disagree with the following. As importantly, how does each statement make you feel? And deep down, does how they make you feel impact your answer to the first part?

  1. It’s a big advantage to be born white and especially to not be born black
  2. The legacy of slavery and colonialism continues to impact the outcomes and realities of some groups of people for the better, and others for the worse

April 4, 2024 | 5:10 p.m.

Hey Ben, great video. In case you oranyone else gets a bit sick of clicking on random.org, this site is cool. It automatically generates a random number every 5 seconds:

https://codepen.io/baliw/pen/GJydZM

(It's default is 0-100 but you can adjust by changing the JS numbers)

July 5, 2019 | 11:22 a.m.

Hey sry if this sounds like a very basic question but why are you cbetting a6dd on 977 against the bb ? tight stats? denying equity to hands with 6 outs?

ty!

Sept. 6, 2016 | 2:41 a.m.

Post | andymckenzie posted in PLO: Where to start?

I wanna learn PLO!!!

which videos should I watch? what should I do?

having fun already :)

thanks!

Sept. 29, 2015 | 5 a.m.

I am playing a hand oop against the only guy that can bust me, and chose to play it that way bc I know he is going to put pressure on me and I can call two barrels easily and 3 If I improve . plus I wanna it take it to showdown (i reaaally really do )

Sept. 26, 2015 | 1:29 a.m.

I still think shoving 20bbs in that spot is pretty spewy

Sept. 19, 2015 | 6:13 a.m.

why?

Sept. 17, 2015 | 3:54 a.m.

I folded river but I just wanted to check if someone would have played it in a different way and why.

Sept. 17, 2015 | 3:54 a.m.

Post | andymckenzie posted in NLHE: 500 usd freezeout FTspot

Final table just started first hand a guy busted 9 players left 60k up top

table looks like this

1 .60k
2 .41k
3. 29k
4. 20k
5. 13k
6. 8k
7. 5.5k
8 .4k

No reads on villain, havent played with him yet. 40yo guy I'd say he is probably on the nitty side.

I open mp with KQcc Starting the hand with 2.4 million in 20k/40k blinds (40bb)
he flats OTB and covers.

Flop comes
K96cc
I check call 240k
Turn Ad
I check call 470k
River J

I check, he jams.

Thoughts?

Sept. 16, 2015 | 8:49 a.m.

Jam 20bb?
def plus ev. not my thing.

Sept. 16, 2015 | 8:41 a.m.

I am Utg1 he is MP

He's got a ton of bbs like 70, He is a good agro reg.

Sept. 15, 2015 | 3:13 a.m.

Villain is a 2/4 3/6 online player that plays local circuit due to the awful quality of players.
72/800 70 places paid

I had been fairly active approaching the bubble but when there were 78 players this guy won a 110 bb pot and has been pummeling it since.

Last hand I 3b folded to an open with 25 bb and now have 21 and a half

I open AJhh from hj and get called by this guy pre

flop comes K78hh

What line would you take?

I have 19bb and pot is 6bb

Sept. 14, 2015 | 4:54 a.m.

Isnt this a shove pre with 14bb?

Sept. 9, 2015 | 10:23 p.m.

Tarantino couldn't have done it better.

May 20, 2015 | 2:42 a.m.

Comment | andymckenzie commented on Best screen name?

You are late for sure.

TrickyMartin and BruceLimp have no match.

May 19, 2015 | 5:15 a.m.

always leave room for him to make a mistake.

May 16, 2015 | 5:42 a.m.

J8ss hand, What is your general strategy for limping in mtts?sry for giving room for such a wide answer , I would like to add it to my game but I only do it from the sb and haven;t thought of any scenarios when It could better than raising , care to give me some insight on it?

Thanks!

May 14, 2015 | 5:42 a.m.

Call me a nit but this is one of those spots where the guy always has 33 or huge cooler against the one cmbo or 66 or tt, ask yourself, Is he ever taking that line with an overpair or a flush draw? if the answer is no then puke a bit and fold.

May 9, 2015 | 9:17 p.m.

seems like a fold.

May 8, 2015 | 11:34 p.m.

If you think he will spew plus your image suggests you can be run over then c/c 3 streets

May 8, 2015 | 11:33 p.m.

On the A6cc hand I dont remember the timeframe how would you construct your3b range against the big stack, do you care about balance at all or just pick up the spots where u think he is going to have enough light opens to 3b bluff?

You stated at some point during that hand that u rather 3b fold a much crappier hand that a6cc but don;t u think shoving 24bb is a bit spewy?

Tyty

May 7, 2015 | 4:41 a.m.

12.00 with a10o. You say that you would rather bet with the AxTh than no heart. I typically do the opposite. Doesn't your hand benefit more from protection without the heart? Presumably you also have some unpaired one heart hands that will bluff this turn (unless you are cbetting them 100%) and thus give you coverage on a heart river which you say you are worried about

April 23, 2015 | 6:37 p.m.

Hey Juan, I think I busted you in the CAP this week and the hand was kind of interesting. I didn't know who you were during the hand but a friend told me after. I haven't run any simulations on the hand to look work out exact combos/frequencies but I'd be interested what you thought of the hand from both of our perspectives off the top of your head.

I raised EP w AQo and you 3bet, I peeled.

What do you think of my peel pre? I think I was getting like 3.6-1 so need to realize 28% equity. 4 bet folding was also an option but not knowing you who you were and not knowing that you were also from cash background I thought I would make better decisions post flop even though I was oop.

Flop came q74 I think, two diamonds. I c/c, turn 7o goes check check and river is ad. I checked because the board had run out such that my bluffing range had to come from pairs like 1010 and I thought you would not expect me to bluff those hands frequently enough and thus you might be able to make a hero fold with ax and maybe even ak knowing that I was underbluffing. When I check my range looks very qx heavy so I thought you would value shove the ak. Also if you happened to be bluffing preflop and on the flop but gave up bad turn there is a decent chance you try to represent the ace on the river with air. What do you think?

April 18, 2015 | 2:01 a.m.

Hi Kevin, nice video.  I was wondering if villain's turn play in the CREV tree is based on reads of this player or it is what you consider to be standard/good.  Specifically do you think that calling with all those Jx combos on the turn is profitable vs a balanced turn/river strategy?

Aug. 24, 2014 | 10:45 a.m.

Hi I'm trying to work out what the worst hand I can value bet is in position on the river given certain parameters.

In my example hand I have:

Pot size = bet size = 24bb

Effective stacks = 88bb

BB fold to bet frequency 50%

Equity of chosen sb betting hand vs top 50% of bb's range = 53.87%

Clearly, in a game with no check raise bluffing, our hand is a value bet.  Using the formula from Will Tipton 1 (p282) we can plug in our values:

Ev of bet fold= (S-B)+(B+P)(BB fold to bet frequency)+(2B+P)(BBcalls and we win frequency)

=(88-24)+(24+24)*0.5+(48+24)*(0.5*0.5387)=107.3932

EV of checking back=S+P*(equity of hand vs BB’s checking range)

=88+24*(0.5*0.5387)+24*0.5=106.4644

My working breaks down how our hand does vs the c/f range and vs the calling range but I am fairly sure it is correct up until this point.

Anyway, 107.3932>106.4644 so betting is better

However, I want to add in check raising to the BB’s strategy and this is where I have problems.

I want to have the BB check raising the top 5% of his previous defending range - therefore 2.5% of his total river range.  We will make his raise to pot and to balance this 2.5% have 1.25% of his total river range be check raise bluffs.

How SB’s hand does vs the value check raising range shouldn’t change - we are bet-folding and were losing to those hands anyway.

Tipton’s next formula on p282 accounts for check raise bluffing:

Evbet-fold-Ev(check)=(B)(chance BB calls with worse)-(B+P)(chance BB bluff

raises)-(B)(chance BB has a better hand)

Term 1

Chance BB calls with worse=defending frequency*equity our hand has when he calls

If we keep his overall defending frequency the same (50%) but have him no longer calling with the bottom of his range (instead using it to check raise bluff) then our equity vs his calling range surely decreases.  As far as I can tell, if we just remove 2.5% of his previous calling range then our equity vs that calling range will just decrease by exactly that amount since those were hands that we were always ahead of.  

Thus, our equity vs the calling range=0.5387-0.025=0.5137

Term 2

Chance BB bluff raises= we have defined this as 1.25%

Term 3

Chance BB has a better hand=??

Logically, he has a better hand the same amount of the time as he did before.  That is 0.5*0.4613=0.23065. However, it doesn’t feel right to be using the equity from the previous calling range when in the same equation we have changed that range and therefore it’s equity.  Can’t get my head around this.

Anyway if we use 0.4613, we have

(24)(0.5*5137)-(24+24)(0.0125)-(24)(0.5*0.4613)=0.0288

Conclusion - bet-folding is superior to checking back given our parameters.

I’m really unsure if I’ve done this right and would be grateful if people could point out my mistakes.

Aug. 5, 2014 | 12:34 p.m.

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