Zrebna

Turn we bet imo kinda polarized for Value, hence imo you can go even bigger.
Rivercard is way better for your opponent's range than for your range and hence I think the correct strategy is betting there very polarized with a big sizeing (close to potsize or bigger) which would put your hand into your chback-range.

Vs. some ppl exploitively a small bet with your hand might be ok, but it is close.

Thanks a lot, i certainly agree with all you said^^

all right, thx so far^^

Hey, cool vid^^

Why are you ~2.5xing the button in general, instead of the old good 2x?

Is it cause at your stakes ppl defend likely better vs 2x than s. 2.5x?

And in all spot where you C/C a cbet OTF and then 1/5th potsize underlead an ace-turn - why you have choosen this sizeing?

I understand that leading here somewhat balanced is nice cause the ace is way better for your range, but when you range is so much stronger now, then fundamentally a larger sizeing would make more sense?

ah ok^^

@james:

@ 88-ahnd: lol, sry I have misunderstood you - thought you mean we have in the vid 39% equity and not the best hand...

now it makes sense^^

And thx for answwering^^

btw. @ the AA-Hand:

Do I see it correctly that you gave Villain small PPs into his call3b_Range UTGvsBTN?

Imo he has at most 88+ (many ppl only TT+ depending on your 3b BTNvsUTG).

Hence I think vs most ppl you still have >50% vs their callingrange OTR, when theyy call off jj+, so EV_shove would be then better then EV-chback.

I dont know, any special reason that you gave him all the small PPs in his Defendingrange preflop?

and slight critiscm - I mean, the outcomes from example number 1 (88) habe been pretty known (to likely most members of runitonce I would guess) regards to the hands you have choosen (88, NutFD+GS and TPGK).

I would have been cool to use a mosre closeish hand like A4s but w/o the nutfd - so only ace-high+gutter... for instance.

Nice Vid!

Example 1 - 88:
you say 88 has vs our assumed bettingrange 39% eq, but you approximate only it to have 30% eq...

Is it because you just make an approximation that we realize w this hand on average only 75% of our EQ?

Or how you get to this number 30%?

I btw. think that we even relaize less than 75% eq OOP with this handtype... more like 60-65% maybe due to the fact that the playability sucks so much....

yeah, likely - mb you can merge bet at as cut...

what yo udo w a 2pair vs this line?

all right, I c now^^

ah you made the math for EV-call before betting the river.

But imo you have to make it after facing the C/R (post betting the river) and compare it to EV_Fold which is then 0 (when we consider the point, after we betted OTR).

Again,

obv. Im not folding here, but just wondering bout your math-approach in this spot.

I also dont fold here, but why we loose 1.20$, when he never bluffs here and never valueshoves less with our call compared to folding?

Imo we loose then just exactly 42.75$ or do I miss something?

yeah, agree.

so we likely prefer then to go in this spot w a more normal betsize like 3/4 PS I guess..., and still shove as a sizring aybe when spr is <= 1.5:1 or so....

Min 45.15 - T9s:
I like your paly here and your thoughts.

On a blank, do you like an overbet as our size cause he is ,ostly capped to Ax?

If so, which size of an overbet?

A shove would be bout 2.5x OB - is this all right or too much?

I think raise turn is ok.

But he has some nay gutters in his range which will just B/Fm but can make a 2ndbest hand OTR when we only call...

as played,

I agree with herofolding - and I thought bout overPS-shoving the river.

The problem though is that imo his nut-range is lil stronger than mine cause he has KK, me usually not..

that speaks fundamentally against have here a shove-range...

Yeah, you need some low-eq-bluffs in your ch-backrange.

Also why you assume BB is 3betting you BBvsBTN linearish?

Zhe next interesting step would be now to examine what and how we wanna defend as BB vs a cbet...

Thanks for answering!:)

Min 24  - KQo:

Imo nice fold OTF - I once made a crev-analysis on such a similar spot and with your hand its vs most ppl a flopfold and calling just will loose you money with all scenarios after it...

Min 27:

Yeah, agree - here we wanna check our range OTR and hence also our nuthands - but I wonder what blufffs we C/R then to balance out our nuthands?

K5s we have no in our prefloprange and if, then we not bet turn with it...so this is not possible.

AdQd mb because it blocks aj, qj? but Im not sure if we wanna bet turn with adqd?

or maybe QTs w/o the dimaonds?

You have a guess on that one?

wtf,

run it once has al lthe time some fuck technical issues for me - I have provided my reasoning, but it were not saved.

Default and range-wise my gameplan is here to call all day long OTT.

I wanted potentially to deviate cause this opponent is very passive OTR.

River-afq 22%, wwsf: 42% and low 3rdbarell-stat in general...

min 3 - 22:
I see you general reasoning to check there your set, but it is still so applicable when there is a recreational player involved (here imo its better to sacrifice EV vs the reg by revealing our strength of or range and maximizing vs the recreational player by stzr8forward play)?

as played,

I like a 45$ bet more OTT cause then qx will anyways call or raise,

but draws and Tx cannot checkback.

as played 2,

I see your reason, but in reality so rarely a busted draw bluffraises vs an underbet and most Qx bet OTT,

so I think we wanna maximize vs tx and here I think its best to bet close to pot.

thx, agree^^

thx for answering - regards to the KJ-hand and your contra-leading argument - yyeah, makes solid sense to me.

Regards to the 55-hand - nah, I meant what he should do there (Villain in the BB) with his 44 or hands like 65s or ad7d?

You have relative posi on the openraiser, so I would go still for a check.

as played,

I would have lead a lil larger, like 13 bucks.

The turncard is imo better for villain`s range and lowflushes are superbloccked by the board and your holecards + will bet themselves

-> I think turncheck is in theory not bad there.

as played 2,

Against what you ppl wanna call there?

Srsl,y we have only a bluffcatcher and we block w Ah most reasonalbe bluffs or they arte not in the range - like 98s no one usually coldcalls MPvsUTG.

So, I`d fold as played.