Guy Thomas

Grayson you are my favorite player in the entire world.

I agree with Moshe

inspiring

loved the video man, awesome

like that question dirty D. I think this is a cool question for ante tournaments as you can raise to any size you want.

excellent video, you are really giving it all away. love the fact your HUD is similar to mine. people underestimate how important it is to organize the information correctly to make consistently good preflop decisions.

I dont think we are worried about 99 overcalling. TT JJ QQ KK AA AQ+, we have ATs so card removal. Thats .96^3 = 88.5%
so 11.5% of the time we get overcalled and have 30% equity
88.5% we get folds and average +1 big blind vs a 20% opening range (tight opening range)
because of the overcall we lose half a big blind which makes it still +.5 big blind and our stack strategically is in need of a double.

oh and break even shoves with sub 20bb stacks are good for you because they give you 30-40 big blind stack or busto and 30-40bb stack has way more value than a sub 20 bb stack so its not break even shove. strategically a break even shove with a certain stack size sub 20bb imo is +EV

At 21:21
That ATs fold is not good, ATs is a ship.
2500 in pot, you have 10k to risk.
you say he calls perfectly so, AJo+ AJs+ say 77+, KQs? thats 7.5% of hands
He open raising atleast: 22+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,ATo+,KTo+,QTo+. thats 20% of hands (he very well could be wider) You open raise Axo sometimes from MP why can't he have that in his range too.
ATs vs the 7.5% range has 35.5% showdown equity
i did the numbers:

37.5% call
win 35.5% 11.5k
lose 10k 64.5%
62.5% fold +2500
+1562 -2418 +1530

works out to +1big blind if his open raising range is as tight as 20%
for it to be a break even shove
he needs to be opening 15% of hands 77+,A7s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo

i hope my english is good enough to understand