Walogalego

There are a lot of hands that complete some possible projects/draws in the turn (T,J,Q,7, hearts...)

I would've fold preflop. His range of 3bet here is too tight, you're going to be dominated too many times postflop against him. He has an average 5% 3bet (very tight). This could be 8 % deffending the blind steals and 3% or less against an UTG open-rise.

Playing AQ without initiative against this range is not profitable.

I could do a 4bet agaist certain kinds of opponents that polarized his range a lot, but without more stats i Would've fold here.

Regards,

Hi, 

Standard. Versus an unknown opponent (probably a occasional player) I would hit that turn 100% times.

Regards,

Another option is to do check/raise flop, there are a lot of projects there that impact in their range. Is difficult to know the best way without more stats.

Without more stats (cbet turn for example) I would pay that bet in the turn. Most of the opponents who have a cbet of 85% are going to do a second barrel in this spot (when a Scary card appears). In the river we will have a difficult decision without more stats (as bet river, W$WSF, WTSD etc).

In my opinion, this had to be a  3bet preflop, better always play the hands with initiative than oop without it.

Regards

Hi,

I think in the flop he's going to pay me with some medium hands (pocket-pairs, qx, etc). I have a 85% cbet (almost 9% 3bet) and for me, at least one barrell in 3bet pots is mandatory  in almost all kind of spots, even more vs this opponent because how he play postflop.

Agaisnt that range:

I have a lot of equity, even if I quit the 55,66,77 I could pay in that spot earning money.

Thanks for the comments guys,

Regards,

I think in that river I can loose against: KK slowplayed, AA slowplayed, QQ slowplayed,AK, maybe some TJ (I'm not sure if this opponent would call pf with this kind hands, maybe if they're suitted), KQ, KJ and 99.

I beat JJ, qj (if we suppose he could call with TJ, he must have called with qj), tt, maybe 88.

We share the pot if he has AQ.

=6.22/(6.33+6.22+11.1) =0,263.     34,11>26,3

If I quit jt off and put some bluffs like AJs i almost get a 50%equity

If I quit 88 I have 29% of equity.

If I quit 88 and qj 21% -> I'm loosing

Defintely I think is a good call on river.

Regards,

Manu

13 OR in MP, 47 fold to 3bet, nit pre and post-flop. Looking this stats I think the fold was an easy decision. 

In my opinion the movement preflop calling is correct as well. I don´t usually call preflop ( I almost always play with initiative post-flop), but in this case versus that ranges I think is good to only call.

Regards,

Manu

The real opponent's HUD:

Sorry, that's not the HUD of the villain here, tomorrow I'll share the good one.

Regards,