John Shamwoww

Hey Mikey sorry for the delay in responding. It was something on my end which someone has fixed for me.

I too had this question in mind when watching. Probably the only question i have in what was a terrific video.

I feel like there should be a third category for videos above Essential and Elite purely for your videos.

Stop crying, cash gamers/PLO-ers. We MTTers cried for the same content you guys receive and now we're getting it!

What's the plan pre? Are you 3b/c a shove vs HJ? 3b/5b shoving vs HJ?

To me this seems like a slam dunk flat on the button and calling off the blinds if they shove. 

I just don't expect PearlJammer to have KTcc here pre ante OOP in a 3b pot. His bluff combos are most likely AK/AJcc, JTcc and T9cc (maybe KJcc). And probably using ATcc as a 4b bluff.

I feel like if we fold this river we shouldn't be calling turn? Its weird. Because river doesn't really change anything does it? But we're happily calling turn and folding river? He's super polarised anyway. So it's either call turn and river, or fold turn. 

I think i've talked myself in to calling him down here this time without the Ac and folding turn every time we have Ac and brick the turn.

Fold pre for sure.

Now…hmm. Cbet stat? Feels pretty disgusting to suggest folding but even though two FD's brick it's definitely not a line i see "low/midstakes regs" with those stats take as a bluff or worse for value. 

I think his play is pretty bad with whatever he has here fwiw outside of Jc9c which does make sense but most people just insta-cbet that flop. Leaves pretty much 78cc and 89cc as his bluffs. 

Knowing his SN would help but i don't expect you to post that. I guess i population-fold and keep an eye out in the future. 

Still would like to know his Fold to steal %. It would answer your questions straight away.

Booooo yaaaaa! All the best irl.

"The BB is tight and not very good". Weak, passive players don't re-shove worse than QJo here. 

Phil Helmuth logic :D

A more relevant stat is his fold to steal %. 

I woud r/f vs him if you think he is tight and not great. Yes this is a profitable shove but r/f has to be more profitable if we achieve the same thing and save our chips when we run in to his calling range.

Raphael, a lot of your rationales for plays assume villain is clued up about how you play and considers balance and ranges intricately. Don't do this so often because many of the time people could be thinking the complete opposite to you. Relax your ranges sometimes and play exploitatively against people more often in MTTs.

Would you really be surprised to see ATs here? JTs? I wouldn't at all. Whether they are correct or not to call, to assume they are not in his range because they're "terrible" calls isn't really appropriate.

I would fold here unless he is a spewy, loose player. I don't like busting high value live MTTs early in close spots. We could be ahead sometimes but the EV of busting/chipping up compared to the EV of ensuring we survive with a very healthy stack in a live MTT is not even close. Survive!

A TON of his calling range is suited cards so i would check/call this turn and decide on rivers. 

Pre is fine. HE is calling our 3b wide here in position and to a 4b we have an easy jam or 5b/c. 

Problem is his 96% cbet and turn check means he has a bunch of Ax so i don't mind just folding this river, especially on an FT so big.

Live Aussie tournament? Treasure your chips. Don't bust in thin spots and survive as long as you can because the softness in these things is unbelievable. 

If he has 88/AQ nh him. You can't fold this river  

I would also bet turn and then bet river as well but would fold river. 

Whats with the weird flop + turn sizings? If anything i would rather half pot flop and 2/3 pot the turn on this board texture instead of other way around. Also i'd make it $4 pre.

BTW i don't think he has 2 KQs combos because KQcc he is just folding flop without a BDFD which leaves KQdd, and also he has only 3 T9s combos because he jams turn with T9hh. Doesn't make much diff with one value combo and one bluff combo being eliminated.

I'd flick in a hand like 99 in to his bluffing range to make up for spazz factor that FIVEbetbLUFF mentions.

haha yuck but agree with the above posts. I feel like we have to call turn and decide on rivers.

Pre-flop ranges and push/fold stuff.

Get ICMizer, PPT or HRC or some program like this to work on it and you'll be fine.

Raphael's range is pretty uncapped here given he can have all flushes, Ax, and both quads. So i disagree that most of the time someone would think he is bluffing. It's pretty tough to be calling down here wider than <flush because his bluffing range is hard to find other than 3 high card flush blockers being Jh+.

If you're calling down here with A5-AT (or even calling these hands pre flop) then you need to recheck your strategies and maybe find your showdown line in HEM/PT4. 

Call. 

Small/medium pairs are pretty bad to be looking to 3b/f. You can find much better hands to do so which have blockers to his value 4b range. 

Shove it in. A better question would be "what hands should i be shoving here?" not standard shoves that get beat :)

Gotta fold. Squeezing off <20bb to this size is just way too strong to consider getting 77 in here.

Probably folding my entire range here that isn't AA/KK vs a random low stakes MTT player. 3b/c TT/JJ/QQ/AK pre vs HJ so top of my folding range is 99. 

So.....what exactly are people bluffing with if they call their highest equity bluffs to a raise?

Jammmm!

Squeezing to any other size looks absolutely ridiculously strong and they fold the hands you want to get a call from.