Roman

he can float flop with AQ-AT

in MW? it must be SO LOOSE, coz you bet against 3 ppl in oop as pfr.

Yeah his range at turn looks like VERY thin and its only 1 comb 22, 1 comb 99, and 1 comb AA if he decide slowplay it pre (and ofc he will be slowplay them at this flop too in this spot) and 1 comb A2s.

But in spots like this when you think op had a very thin range that he is represent usually here it is that range =)

Yeah if you think he will float in MW w overcards when saw CB in 3ppl from pfr oop, so maybe here is good call turn and river, but otherwise its bad, coz no hands worse will do it.
And also he is SO WIDE (37/18) that he can also call w A2o (and then here much more value combs comes in range) and maybe hands like K2 suited trying to catch FDs or what ever.
Also he dint look aggro w his agf that you wrote, and minR its nuts line usually. So i think here is one call turn for FH (coz it very close to odds and had ok implyed) and ch/f river (any, if no FH).

Call pre ok, but @ flop better choose to fold, coz here for float you really need AsX, its just better.

Against his range you will hit a lot much better flops like Axx where he will be had a lot of dominate hands by you, or guthsot flops or BDFD atleast. But here you have no any extra EQ, totally no (just A and they discount already by FD), its bad spot for choose float turn.

I think ch/c turn is good idea bvb coz in this spots usually floats going at much wide ranges, so by ch/c you can take value from his bluffs. But if you not sure can he did thin value bets here or just bluff river w hands like AcX i think here can be option to donk river, not so much and play donk/fold, coz flushes will go raise and other just call. It will be much cheap than ch/c coz you bet you own bet for this SD, and also can be thin valuebet from you vs hands like KcX.

You have a PERFECT blockers and bad hand for MW, and have not position, so easy and best desicion in my vision here is SQZ preflop, so you can make him fold a lot that beat you now (coz i dont think he interesting dive into mw spot oop at fish w broadway and some bad pairs like 22-88) after sqz), so against him it will be good bluff sqz, but the same time against fish it can be easy value 3bet.

raise cbet 7
wwsf 44 

this is super tight.

and he will not raise here stuff like 77+ (77-TT) coz its very thin value here, and man with stats like this will not raise for thin value.

so i can put him range like JJ-QQ (and mb smths some better premium pairs, coz at sb and btn looks like sitting fishes and he can decide dont 3b, and try to catch them into pot too), sets ofc, and 65.

and against his range (if we imlyed that he can call pre premium) you can call coz you need atleast 26% EQ, and has 36%. but trouble is that you oop and opp is very hard to extract value when your flash will come.

and your turn already is -EV call, coz at turn you had 25% EQ vs 27% potodds. Yes you think you can call by implyed odds, but i think every catch like A or flush card will be SUPER obviously and you can not extract value especially oop, so at turn here no +EV call (J isnt you out anyway in this spot at flop).

And you cant call river, coz here will be bet only FH and some premium that we can think he will smthms call pre. But i think he will not bet river w QQ (and if yes - its will not be +EV, just breakeven 9 combs OP vs 9 combs FH, and remember rake - and its go not to +EV), so here no call river.

Agree with flatting pre. At SB I ll go to 3bet this (but not for value ofc, didnt see any value we can 3bet for with reg tight like this), but at BB when we can not afraid of sqz or MW with awful had - its ok to flat call, because good chances and by CALL we can really dominate against his "steal from btn range". And easy can play this spot F-o-F, sometimes ch/r semibluffs with draws.