
Rex113
10 points
About the KQ on 56QK9 board: If you think Villain is good enough (which I assume), then there are actually very few straights in his range. Almost no competent player openraises 78o from the CO and some will even not openraise TJo with aggro regs in the blinds. That leaves only the 78s combos and maybe a random TJs combo that will call a flop check/raise. GTO is all nice and well but in Villains shoes, unless hes capable of playing a hand like a set this way to merge his bluffrange with a wider valuerange (unlikely except for 99, I'd say), he should realize he cannot credibly rep a straight often enough. Likewise, this makes it quite an easy rivercall with the KQ, actually, his range is simply containing too few valuehands.
May 16, 2018 | 2:37 a.m.
I think the 88..8 bet on the KK9A9 board is a betsizing mistake in the sense that you would never type 8's alone in a betsizing if you were bluffing because you wouldn't want to draw any attention to your betsizing. This is probably why he folded the 9x.
Jan. 8, 2015 | 12:57 p.m.
Regarding the 79 on AA8, don't you think that Villain (if a reg) would cbet most of his air as a bluff? Meaning that, once he checks back, his range is weighted somewhat heavily towards showdown value-hands that are not going to fold vs turn- and riverbets. His calldown frequency will probably even be higher than normal because a lot of your Ax-hands (and occasionally 88) 3bet preflop.
I didn't say that either :). You just talked entirely about his bluffing range and never mentioned that his valuerange is actually very small, regardless of the fact that his bluffing range is quite big. Just wanted to point that out, that's all.
May 16, 2018 | 7:37 p.m.