Resolve
212 points
Sad that you won't blog anymore, but it's understandable. I saved them all in case you decide to delete everything. :)
You've put a small goldmine on this forum over the years for people with the same goals.
Jan. 22, 2021 | 7:47 p.m.
SB: $291.17
BB: $101.27
UTG: $94.60
MP: $110.85
CO: $288.79
SB wins and shows a straight, Ten to Ace.
MP wins and shows a straight, Ten to Ace.
BN wins $110.35 MP wins $110.35 SB wins $110.35
Rake is $2.50
Dec. 28, 2020 | 2:10 a.m.
Sims are indeed tighter multiway than heads-up, but 3bet more.
I defend all broadways, all pocket pairs, all suited aces, suited connectors and suited one gappers, some suited kings. 3bet AK/AQ+ and big pairs for value and about half the broadways (mostly suited) and suited connectors as a bluff.
Dec. 19, 2020 | 11:25 a.m.
Forgot about the possibility of a split with 98dd. It basically comes down to if he does this with 44 and worse or not. If he doesn't even do this with 88 then calling is losing a lot.
Equity Win Tie
MP3 20.59% 17.65% 2.94% QQ, 99-88, 44, 98s, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h
BB 79.41% 76.47% 2.94% 9c8c
Equity Win Tie
MP3 43.75% 37.50% 6.25% QQ, 99-88, 44, 98s
BB 56.25% 50.00% 6.25% 9c8c
Equity Win Tie
MP3 70.00% 60.00% 10.00% QQ, 99-88, 98s
BB 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 9c8c
Equity Win Tie
MP3 87.50% 75.00% 12.50% QQ, 99, 98s
BB 12.50% 0.00% 12.50% 9c8c
Dec. 18, 2020 | 7:17 p.m.
Didn't consider that he could be check/folding those hands since he used 1/3pot sizing. If I use that betsize then it means I bet my whole range but maybe not everyone is.
Dec. 18, 2020 | 7:08 p.m.
I have 35% equity against overpairs on the flop so I saw it as an "almost free" semi-bluff basically that lets a lot of overcards fold that have like 25% equity against me. I'd be very surprised if I ever get 3bet on this board tbh but if he shoves I'd have to fold.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.86% 37.23% 1.63% 9d9h
SB 61.14% 59.50% 1.63% 99+, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, Ac5c
I thought I could make him fold all TT+ except QQ by betting OTT, which is probably what he had here.
Imagine you are SB here and have AA, how happy are you with your hand OTF, and OTT?
Dec. 18, 2020 | 6:08 p.m.
SB: $138.72
BB: $65.69
UTG: $130.69 (Hero)
MP: $48.63
CO: $56.68
Rake is $2.00
Dec. 18, 2020 | 4:35 p.m.
SB: $52.22
BB: $115.01 (Hero)
UTG: $52.60
MP: $99.54
CO: $50.00
MP wins and shows a full house, Queens full of Nines.
MP wins $197.33
Rake is $2.00
Dec. 18, 2020 | 4:30 p.m.
I have 24GB RAM and just from having HEM2, Pokerstars and Google Chrome open + background apps running I lose 25% of it.
You may think 16GB is an amazing amount of RAM but for extremely complex calculations in Pio, it really isn't. Wide ranges and many betsizes on all streets will quickly take more than 16GB.
Dec. 10, 2020 | 4:25 p.m.
It needs a lot of ram because you have 4 betsizes on every street and ranges are wide. Try it with 3 or 2 betsizes per street or 1 flop betsize.
...or buy more RAM.
Dec. 10, 2020 | 2:50 p.m.
Fold. This line, this sizing, and this runout is underbluffed.
You have AK with 100% frequency in your range and he probably knows that so why would he bluff? It's pretty hard for him to even have bluffs. (Txss, 7xss, worse 2p?)
Dec. 9, 2020 | 2:46 p.m.
As played I'd call the flop 3b, you have like 36% equity with 8 clean straight outs and a BDFD. Sometimes you will hit your straight OTT and sometimes he will check back.
If he checks back you can bluff river because he's unlikely to have AK+ after checking back turn and you still have all AK+ in your range. I think calling the flop 3b is worth it for the implied odds.
If he has no bluffs:
Equity Win Tie
CO 68.59% 68.59% 0.00% 99, 77, K9s, 97s, AdKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc
BB 31.41% 31.41% 0.00% JdTd
Added some bluffs (XhXh):
Equity Win Tie
CO 63.72% 63.62% 0.10% 99, 77, K9s, 97s, AhQh, QhJh, 9h8h, 8h7h, 6h5h, AdKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc
BB 36.28% 36.18% 0.10% JdTd
If turn comes 2d:
CO has no bluffs:
CO 70.29% 70.29% 0.00% 99, 77, K9s, 97s, AdKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc
BB 29.71% 29.71% 0.00% JdTd
If he shoves turn you have to call 208 to win 514 (306+208) -> Need 40.5% equity
Even if he has an unrealistic amount of 9x and 7x, you still can't call so thats kind of sad...
Equity Win Tie
CO 63.55% 63.55% 0.00% 99, 77, K9s, T9s, 97s+, 87s, 76s, AdKs, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc
BB 36.45% 36.45% 0.00% JdTd
I'd probably just have range bet flop though. Did you have a read that he stabs too often vs checks?
Dec. 9, 2020 | 2:27 p.m.
Hey, I want try something new in my preflop strategy so I'm trying to make a simplified/condensed preflop chart based on monkersolver ranges that I can keep open on my second screen while playing. I just started and I already have some questions though, I hope someone can help. (I'm using 3bb RFI, 10-11.5bb 3Bet, 23.5-26bb 4Bet sizings)
1) Why does it fold so much to 3bets and how is this not extremely exploitable? About half of these stats make villain's 3Bet with any 2 cards autoprofit.
Fold to 3bet percentages are:
UTG vs MP: 75 / UTG vs CO: 75.7 / UTG vs BU: 69.7 / UTG vs SB: 67.7 / UTG vs BB: 59.8
MP vs CO: 78.9 / MP vs BU: 73 / MP vs SB: 66.9 / MP vs BB: 60.1
CO vs BU: 73.9 / CO vs SB: 66 / CO vs BB: 59.7
BU vs SB: 70.5 / BU vs BB: 61.2
SB vs BB: 64.9
2) How can I simplify hands that are mixed? Many hands are indifferent between RFI/Fold and then also are indifferent between 4Bet/Call/Fold. Is it best to keep the % of each action with the whole range the same? Like UTG RFI must stay 17%, UTG vs MP Fold to 3Bet must stay 75%, etc. And then divide the hands that are mixed between pure strategies, like half of them always RFI, and half of them never RFI. Or do something like: Pure Fold if it's between 0-25%, Mixed if it's between 25-75%, Pure RFI if it's between 75%-100%?
Like 66 UTG for example, how do I simplify this?
I'd really like the make a preflopchart image like the one I already have with Monkersolver ranges but they're way more complex/mixed/detailed. Current Preflop Chart:
Nov. 16, 2020 | 1:40 a.m.
Does it matter in this spot to be unexploitable and call my Ax some % of the time?
I can't have flushes and both MP and CO can possibly have even more flushes than the ones I put in equilab.
Nov. 12, 2020 | 2:05 a.m.
I guess it mostly depends on how many flushes vs how many AsX semibluffs CO has...
With AQss and A5ss-A2ss
Equity Win Tie
MP3 11.55% 0.84% 10.71% JJ-99, AQs-ATs, KQs, AQo-ATo
CO 65.60% 42.74% 22.86% AQs+, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc
BU 22.86% 0.00% 22.86% AhKc
No wheel ace flushes
Equity Win Tie
MP3 17.66% 1.28% 16.38% JJ-99, AQs-ATs, KQs, AQo-ATo
CO 47.36% 12.39% 34.97% AQs+, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc
BU 34.97% 0.00% 34.97% AhKc
Oops, clear fold it seems.
Nov. 12, 2020 | 1:46 a.m.
SB: $67.53
BB: $126.83
UTG: $59.92
MP: $44.35
CO: $68.57
Nov. 12, 2020 | 1:33 a.m.
I'm just happy to see you try 500z. Just because you're taking your first steps there doesn't mean you can't play 200z anymore, there is no need to rush anything. It's not an all or nothing thing, you can cherry pick the right times to play 500z and still have 200z as your main game.
About pros and cons; at the end of our lives there are more things we regret not doing than there are things we regret doing. Even if you totally fail at 500z (which I doubt will happen)... at least you can't say you didn't try.
GL you beast
July 29, 2019 | 10:54 p.m.
It's clear that you've changed something. Your showdown and non-showdown graphs seem to have switched placed.
What percentage of regs do you think are countering your hyper exploitative strategy? I've been trying out some explo stuff myself and after a few weeks I've already seen some regs do really non-standard check backs with strong top pairs and overpairs on wet boards. Feels like I'm getting owned but I can't tell for sure.
If I was you I would try to check if your strategy works on the next stake. Either by playing or by mda. If it does, move up. If it doesn't, either stay at nl200 or adapt. I think that makes the most sense. I doubt that there is a lot of room for improving your winrate.
Gl
May 30, 2019 | 5:51 p.m.
Belgian licence is fairly inaccessible in comparison
Why?
May 20, 2019 | 5:22 p.m.
I think those are a fold. With 100bb stacks I would probably shove but I think it's only slightly +EV. And if SB doesn't have a cold 4b/fold range it's -EV.
I don't think having a calling range is good as pfr vs cold 4bets but I'm not sure.
May 11, 2019 | 9:10 p.m.
MP: $205.00
CO: $525.70 (Hero)
BN: $576.21
SB: $248.36
BB: $221.00
SB lost and shows two pairs, Aces and Jacks.
CO wins $512.72
Rake is $3.00
May 11, 2019 | 3:44 p.m.
Nice recovery on the last graph. Keep crushing and please keep posting.
May 2, 2019 | 9:05 p.m.
My worst case scenario has him playing all of his value like this (11 combo's) and only 4 bluffs, which also happen to have very high equity. I don't think that's too optimistic.
I get your point that it could be even worse (he only has value) but I don't think it's right to just assume that in this situation (flop raise and turn shove on wet board in 3bp btn vs sb). I don't think it's a situation that is severely underbluffed by default.
I think we can agree that it's a close and very villain dependant high variance spot. I posted it to get different opinions and I got what I wanted, so thanks :)
May 2, 2019 | 10:12 a.m.
You can never be 100% sure about an oponent's range, and if you could then there's no need to post and discuss it...
May 1, 2019 | 5:27 p.m.
Ya I'm not printing money by calling but folding seems worse. Have equilab result below.
May 1, 2019 | 5:25 p.m.
Thanks, that's interesting. Too hard to implement mixed flop strats for me though. Flop 3bet didnt seem like a good idea because his calling range to it has Axcc draws that dominate me and I make all potential low equity bluffs fold.
May 1, 2019 | 5:24 p.m.
No flop 3bets, if I would then this hand would probably be in it though.
I switched when HM2 said they will stop updating, because I dont like HM3. I dont have lag but you need a good PC for H2N.
Feb. 15, 2021 | 11:45 p.m.