Quadchrazs
17 points
No chance he folds 97% there. He made a couple of huge mistakes at this FT in regards to ICM. These mistakes will hurt sauce ALOT and spread out the money to the ones who folded. So if its anywhere close in EV you need to take the one where the other guy cant spite it out of just being dumb/too agro in these type of spots.
Oct. 26, 2014 | 12:42 a.m.
Yes it does. Depending how deep you run the situation in FGS this effect will trickle down towards your original callrange going wider and wider
Oct. 25, 2014 | 5:27 a.m.
Great video. Do you assume the EV of checking = always losing with the weaker parts of your range?
Oct. 25, 2014 | 5:24 a.m.
10:50 onwards:
Dont you think the EV of early position raises goes down alot by the many people that can flat in position as well as the bb playing more hands and even more so when your not chipleader but in the middle/bottom of the pack in an ICM setting?
Oct. 25, 2014 | 5:21 a.m.
Some things are wrong about the J3o simulation.
Its just a pushfold analysis is correct but its an ICM pushfold analysis so both the payouts of the rest of the tournament AND the stacksize distributions matter alot.
1 deep simulation 
ICM turns out to be exactly the same range to push.
It is interesting to consider the EV of walking being way better than what these models think though so for that reasoning I think i like a fold. But you cant put random stacksizes into an icm model and expect anything decent to roll out of it.
the more tables the better.
Nov. 9, 2014 | 9:24 p.m.