PlayingABC

So this in Snowie's opinion. do you stick to this often?

I can see how the SSC can work well and don't do that myself which is something I could incorporate.

Is QKo not ideal for the times we're called?

Many Thanks!

what would you C4bet here?

TY

@ 21:00 T1 QKo

I did think this was a good spot to cold 4bet you have double blockers etc. UTG min opens and MP 3bets to 8bb. However MP is not 100bb when they start the hand so could be a weak player meaning the range can be stronger to bet. Is this why you didn't or would you never make this play regardless?

Thanks!

ok cool. Thanks!

AQ table1 @6:00 call SQz & Flop TPTK.

Why do you bet the turn when they check to you? I know you have TPTK but what do you want to call/fold here? I think JJ - QQ & KQo will XC flop and AXs AK & KK+ will cbet. Is this a fair estimation? I feel this leave their turn range to checked KK+ and bluff that you beat by a long shot. We don't really fear giving AK a free card to 3 out and can induce a bluff or go for small value on the river. Can they XR as a bluff here?

The only reason I can see to bet this is to balance AJs KJs with the BDFD that we floated the flop and now want AK or AXs to fold specifically or AKo that floated the flop, is this correct?

For me we can exploitively check behind or balanced stab turn. Is there something deeper going on here I only play 50nl and the population my play differently or is my strategy sub EV.

Can you explain you thoughts / strategy.

Thanks!

I take these two player are both regs of some kind as you have provided not reads.

PRE
I think you should be squeezing this pre. You have the perfect hand for it as you double block KK QQ KA.

FLOP
I'm not sure why you lead this flop multi way yes the board is dry but MP can have all sets and over pair in their range. SB can have Mid PP, Sets and can call with gut shot or worse check raise bluff you. Are you playing a sets this way I don't think you would due to looking to XR or call MP and hope SB comes along. You may lead 99 TT if you haven't squeezed pre. what I'm saying is your strategy imbalanced.

If SB does have a set you there is no reason to check raise as flop is really dry and I'd want to keep bluffs in your range. If the board was more connected I would XR.

Range
Value
22 / 44 / 88 / 99 / TT

marginal hand
A8s A4s 55 66 77

Draw 6s5s /6s7s / As3s / A5s

TURN
The Turn can be good or bad for you it does put a back door draw, you have to bet it due to the draws and under pairs in their range and I like the size are you bet folding?

This street tightens their range

VALUE
22 / 44 / 88 /

marginal hand
99 / TT these may or may not call depends on reg.

DRAWS 6s5s /6s7s As3s / As5s

RIVER
The river is interesting all PP will check and look to get to show down. The draws have bricked and villain leads for half pot, without a read this could be a cheap bluff or a value bet. Would you have value bet this river?

if we look at the combos
Value 22(3) 44(1) 88(3) TOT 7
Draws 6s5s / 6s7s / As3s / As5s (4)

You have 36% equity IF they bluff all 4 combos. They have bet half pot so you need to be good 25% or more of the time.

Do you think villain will take this line as a bluff then you can work out if it is a call or not?