Philip Drenth
10 points
Hi Fedor,
excellent video! Looking forward to the discussions. :)
I think Zakattack gets to the river with something like this: TT, 44, AKs, AQs, KQs, KJs, KTs, K4s, AKo, KQo, KJo, KTo, QTs, JTs, T9s, QTo, JTo *considerable amt. of Tx (27/51 combos total)
Assumptions
Zackattak's value range for shoving here depends on what he thinks Gambler4444's value range is. If he thinks Gambler is value betting: AT, JJ, QQ, AA, AK, KQ, KJ, KT. He can easily shove his Tx & AQs to get him off everything but boats (unless Gambler has already adjusted).
From Gambler's perspective, out of the range that Zack gets to the river with, only KT, TT, 44 and Kd4d beat him. 10 combos out of 51. Meaning a lot of possible bluff combos for Zack.
For us to fold here, we would need to think that Zack thinks we aren't thin value betting two-pair and only shove AK, KQ and boats. Against that range we would have 32% equity and we need 34% to call. *Zack has a bit more than Gambler so the shove is for 10,500 total*
Based on all this, I'd likely call as I would anticipate Zack to take advantage of the situation and bluff shove his Tx instead of calling.
Let me know what your thoughts are, if i'm thinking about the hand correctly and if there's anything I did not mention that could improve my thought process in the future.
Thanks.
Really cool vid again.
Is there any specific reason why you bet so quickly pretty much everytime ?
Thanks
March 8, 2014 | 11:33 a.m.