Patrik
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Just pointing out that overbluffing this river means shoving most KQ/QJ according to my sims. Looks pretty good, considering that only about 27% of his river range is AJ+ (if he never valueraises flop or turn, otherwise even less). That is if we have an 18% linear 3Bet range, including a lot of suited connectors and a somewhat balanced flop and turn cbetting range. I gave him a 19% calling range preflop. Do you think we can/should overbluff flop and turn as well in this spot?
Dec. 18, 2013 | 12:15 p.m.
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Hi Ben. Thanks for another great video. And feel better!
I was wondering about the cbet SB vs BB with Kc5h on 8s3d2s (at 32:00). I have tried to come up with a cbet strategy where this hand is included in a balanced betting range, but it keeps getting too bluff heavy.
I used these strategies:
-70% SB opening range
- Valuebet J8+ (3barrel A8+ and 2barrel K8,Q8,J8), but checking AA and 88
- Checking all AK-AT, A5, A4
- Bluffing all other gutshots, (highcard-) flushdraws, XdXd with backdoor straight draw, 2 overcards with As/Ks/Qs, JT,J9,T9,T7,97,7s6x,7x6s, 1 overcard with 6s/5s/4s. (I thought all of these hands where better than Kc5h)
This adds up to a 40% betting range, where about 6,5% are 3barrel hands and 4% are 2barrel hands.
Can you expand on why you think Kc5h is a bet? Maybe it's as simple as you think he overfolds on this board? Maybe you don't agree with the ranges I came up with?
Thanks!
Jan. 22, 2014 | 10:15 a.m.