NutStewie

Any plans of more 8 or 9 max straddle/ante videos?

Count me in!

28 Years old, South African but living in Philippines.

I play a bunch of live, I dabble online mostly tournaments, some heads up, and then 6max.

My Skype is Chewiestewie - just add me up!

Cheers

+1 for "Downloadable video's". Living here in the Philippines, I have to watch my videos between 2am and 6am otherwise its too laggy! 

Whatever happened, I'm going to assume it's unlucky. I would never be folding kings pre on these limits, unless its vs the absolute nittiest of nitty opponents, and that doesn't seem to be the case here. One small note, I don't like your 3bet size originally out of position, he's made it 40c, and you're only making it $1.10, I generally like to about 4x when out of position (I'd go with around $1.50). Players don't fold to 3bets as often as they should, make the pot bigger, get more money in there! 

The majority of players lead boards like this with draws, either a flush draw, straight draw, gutshot, and sometimes a weaker pair. When he leads the turn again, I'm going to go ahead and say he has JT a lot of the time, maybe as much as 75%, or more. If you're not raising the turn, then just flat call the river. 

I don't see any opponent betting 3 streets, AND CALLING YOUR RAISE on the river, with worse. Also, after this hand, make a note, note your opponent led 3 streets oop with a double belly buster, also, note he defends JTs from the BB vs a BTN open, he doesn't 3bet those kind of hands. All these little pieces of information will make future decisions easier. 

He could be leading with worse overpairs (TT, JJ), and when you flat, then assuming he's good, you have AK and just looking to take you to v-town. His bet sizing is super strong, so I don't think he's ever bluffing here. He could also have a hand like 9Tcc, or something similiar, where he's got a piece and a gutshot, which improves, and now he's going with it. Vs all the hands I can give him, I don't like your equity at all.

I'd be folding the turn too, I'm quite a nit with one pair hands (yes, we only have one pair!), although I hardly ever play full ring, so take what I say with a pinch of salt. 

I've recently started playing tournaments again, and my ITM is 17.4% which I'm pretty happy about, I've bubbled quite a few tournaments though, where getting into big pots, I could have been top couple spots in chips, and then looked to play my big stack to the final table.

For micro limits I definitely think you should be getting at least 15% ITM. Instead of worrying too much about your ITM, I think you should look more at your ROI. 

Would you rather ITM 10 tournaments for $5 a pop, or win one for $500?

I think you need to make your decision on an earlier street than the river (for me, if I'm calling the flop, I'm more than likely calling down), if you've decided to call down, call. Most opponents, in my experience, wouldn't be going for 3 streets here without a hand weaker than TPTK, It's pretty much a "way ahead, way behind" situation, and I'm kind of only scared of 22, 44 and random 2 pair combos.

I'd definitely be 4betting pre. As played, since the flop is two tone, and there are a ton of draws, I think getting it in can't be terrible. 

I'm quite interested as to future adjustments vs this player (and other similiar players) when you see him 3betting a hand like KT. Do you now 4bet bluff more knowing he can't withstand too much heat, widen your 4bet value range, or just call with hands like KQ, KJ, AJ, AT, knowing you could have him dominated a bunch of the time, or a mixture of all of the above.

Great video, I'm in a live MTT downswing, whereby I've top 20%'ed 10/11 major live tournaments, and not cashed any of them, losing flips, bad suck outs or standard hands pretty near the bubble. Unfortunately I only really get the opportunity to play a major live event once a month, if that. So this downswing has been going on for over a year, meanwhile it's only 11 results.

I don't rely on live MTT's to make my living, but obviously this has hurt. Any advice on how to approach this?

With regards to the nut flush draw "getting there", I think he 3bets the majority of his suited aces, so I discounted them a fair amount.

Unfortunately I didn't have that many more reads on him (the pains of a site without HEM and the most impossible hand history review options). I was contemplating checking behind on the turn, and then just bluff catching most rivers as another option. I decided to bet because I feel a large part of his range was FDs, straight draws, smaller pairs. Also he had about 3k on the table, and I felt the advantages of winning a larger pot now and getting to play vs him deep were a factor to consider.

When I bet the turn, I kind of had decided then I was calling it off. I did call and he had Q9dd.

I actually have been checking behind here as a standard, but I'm experimenting with different lines. I just want to make sure its not totally terrible to bet with the plan of calling it off vs an opponent who I think is capable of running a bluff there.

If he has a suited connector or a even some trash like T9o, he may well be folding to a shove, but more often calling a smaller 4bet. I think it gives him more of a chance to make a mistake.

Given everything you've said, I prefer a small 4b and calling it off to a shove. I'd 4bet to about $21.

I agree, think this is a pretty easy fold and move on. I don't see him bluffing here often at all, and it's a nightmare to play this OOP on later streets.

Is there no value to 3betting a hand like this preflop? It's the absolute bottom of my calling range, and to be honest (and possibly nitty), I'd rather be folding than calling. As played, why not just call the flop?