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NileRanger

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Comment | NileRanger commented on FT 5$ 2R1A 7k gtd

Sanity checks are +EV :) nh

Oct. 10, 2014 | 4:16 p.m.

Hmm, interesting we get different chip EV results, what program and settings are you using?

When I use HR calc. push/fold Chip EV, with 6k/12k blinds (no ante) he should shove 22.5%, 22+ A2s+ A7o+ K9s+ KTo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s 

And Hero should call 23.4%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K9s+ KTo+ QTs+ JTs  with A7o being +0.24bb

Does the hand history not include antes or are the blinds actually a bit lower than 6k/12k? Perhaps this would affect the ChipEV results as well..

How much of a factor is really ICM at this point as it's not very close to FT?

Unless villain is a tight player I'd imagine a lot of weaker or loose player at this level shows fairly wide here.. but I'm fairly inexperienced in tournament play so defo not sure..




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Oct. 10, 2014 | 3 p.m.

Agree with John and nhilathak, but as played sizing is definitely too large. Considering all this, lessons to be learnt is to pay more attention to players left to act when 3betting, what to do if villain 4bets, as well as paying more attention to ICM. 


Oct. 10, 2014 | 1:08 p.m.

Comment | NileRanger commented on FT 5$ 2R1A 7k gtd

Yeah looks like a clear re-shove to me. Villain definitely capable to be squeezing light here. SB should have a lot of broadways in his range, unless he is known to be trapping a lot in these spots. Sure, you are not in amazing shape when you get it in (still decent +EV), but with all the money already in the pot, taking it down pre is great for you as well.



Oct. 10, 2014 | 12:47 p.m.

Seems like a clear call to me as well. Villain should be shoving very wide here and A7o has enough equity to make it a profitable call. Keep in mind in tournaments you should look for any chance to get an edge. Even if it would be a less than 1bb +EV call here, especially when last to act, with a big stack, you should always take the best EV line. Folding is 0 EV so definitely a call here. 

Using Holdem Resources calculator, villain should be shoving 20.1%, 33+ A2s+ A8o+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s  if he plays perfectly. Then you should be calling: 20.7%, 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o K9s+ KJo+ QTs+ JTs. With A7o being +0.30bbEV

I think he is likely shoving wider than Nash as well so makes it even more a call.

If we give villain a shoving range of 30.6%, 22+ Ax+ K7s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J9s+ T8s+ 98s 87s 

You should be calling: 30.0%, 22+ Ax+ K6s+ K9o+ Q9s+ QTo+ J9s+ T9s 98s 

With A7o being +0.87bb EV



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Oct. 10, 2014 | 2:12 a.m.

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