Master_Debater

Good challenge with a magnificent reward if you make it.
Seeing the world,... climbing everest...

GL GL

Matthew Janda has made a ton of videos using flopzilla for postflop range work. I recomend you check them out if you can. They will certainly be helpful for what you need.

#SaveCameron

Pre, flop are fine.

Turn is close but we are splitting the pot some percentage of the time and perhaps ahead a non zero %.

Villain seems to be possible weak player (stack) so OTR I don't expect him to have many bluffs.
That aside, we have better hands in our range to defend.

So I'm folding, despite the great odds we are getting.

Btw, I don't think not blocking diamonds is very relevant here. Most fun players are passive rather than agro....
Even regs at micros are not going to have many bluffs here.

Dude, do you have an identity crises? And no, I'm not talking about the first word in your name!

Snap overcall getting 4:1 with a hand that has nut potential.
Especially at stakes where players arent good enough to punish or even take into account other players (capped) ranges.

The preflop odds + implied odds = dance all the way to the bank when you hit.
If you make a weak made hand, don't fall in love with it, you called pre for nut potential.
If you miss it's an easy fold.
Easy game

X/R on this flop will improve your EV, as it hits your overcalling range well and allows you to be uncapped....

trololol?!?!?!

#blindleadingtheblind??

easiest fold pre ive ever seen. you are OOP against aggressive villain. not only is it hard to draw oop, the SPRs are way smaller which makes drawing suck, and he will often have nothing on many flops when you hit your hand so you will never get paid. very unprofitable play. unless you are a phil galfond.

Have we entered a time warp? It must be 2008 all over again.

trololol :D

I bet you 10$ that Chris Ferguson would fold that to a 3x MP open. And he is a really great player.

Oh Lordy lordy lordy. Shine the light on this poor soul.

Calling is def better than raising this river, V shouldnt have many bluffs and we are just hoping he has Q6, J6 type hand

This

Looks like Im late :(

"action" is the last thing you should want when playing this hand.

Also, I dont like 3B this hand from SB and feel it works much better as a part of a polarized BB v BU strat.

3B a bit larger OOP

X/F flop. Your hand doesn't work as a CB and you practically can never barrel turns, and keep in mind how often V will bet vs missed CB on this flop and if you call how often will you be able to call a later street unimproved?

With BDFD CB would be ok.

you forgot to add

3.- How much of his range will he be folding if I CB? Not much
4.- If I CB and he calls how often can I barrel a turn? Only on a 5 or a 3, so practically never. We don't even have backdoor FD.

This weighs my flop decisions towards no CB.

I don't think we should be CB this flop. We opened this hand pre because we thought we could get enough folds from a tight defender. When he calls our open I think we are getting floated a ton on this flop.

Interesting/strange that it CB entire range and is indifferent between such a wide sizing range.
I would expect it to favor betting entire range with smaller sizing ......

I still think my CB strat is reasonably solid

OOP range: JJ+,AKs,A5s-A4s,AKo,AdTh,AdTs,AdTc,AhTd,AsTd,AcTd,KdJh,KdJs,KdJc,KhJd,KsJd,KcJd

IP range: JJ-TT,AdAh,AdAs,KdKh,KdKs,QdQh,QdQs,AQs-AJs,KQs,AdKd,AQo,AhKd,AsKd,AcKd

(I picked the weighted hands randomly)

On this flop I probably CB 33-40% with entire betting range and don't really have a X/C range since I don't feel any of my value range benefits from it and there aren't so many unmade hands I would prefer to X/C with.

So I CB: JJ+,AKs,A5s-A4s,AKo,AcTd,KcJd

X/F: rest of ATo and KJo without the Ac or Kc

ehhh, I forgot it was 5nl.

But lets assume its 25nl I think its reasonable to expect some bluffs with Axs or maybe some offsuit blocker hands

Shall we say JJ+, AK, and 50% ATo & KJo, as well as maybe A5s-A4s (or A6s-A7s depending on your strat)

Why are you giving SB no bluffing range?

I dont really like your flop bet. A fish likely has a ton of Ax after he flats opener and flats squeeze.

He is giving us such good odds on the river that I think we should call but I expect to be beat pretty often.

Whats weird about this hand is that I dont think V should be betting his Kx OTF since he never has AK+ and we do but that doesnt mean people arent betting with those hands

Those stats have nothing relevant to see his tendencies in 3BP so readless
flop and turn are standard. OTR I think he never bets worse made hands and he should know that he is going to get bluffcatched a bunch on this runout so I dont think he has many bluffs.

From a theory perspective we might be too high up in our range to fold though.

Calling or 3betting KQo vs CO will depend on his range and tendencies (but flatting is pretty standard), the same can be said about flatting the squeeze (if he is an agro squeezer than it might be ok to flat).

If he jams river we are in a nasty spot but are close to the top of our range....

OTR anything that is ahead of you should be jamming, so when he checks I think we can bet

I don't think we should be calling the flop raise if we intend to fold turn when we pick up the nut FD.

Personally I prefer X/C flop than betting it because V is never folding a better hand to our CB.

This is probably not the best opponent to try to bluff here but vs someone that isnt so tight I also prefer raising turn instead of river

No. GTO is unexploitable

This is probably not the best way to go about getting a coach.
I would suggest to message some of the guys that make essential videos here at RIO and ask them if they are taking on new students.....
Posting here in the forum might get you a reply from a good coach but you are more likely to get messaged by people who may not be altogether qualified.

I dont really see a reason to donk the flop on this super static board.
We have such an equity advantage against their ranges and it's unlikely this flop gets checked through when we check.
Yes, our donk should get a decent amount of calls but it's disastrous when V's fold any hand that they would have bluffed, had it been checked to them.

As played, judging by MP's preflop stats, he may be pretty active postflop (cant be sure) which means he bets allot when X'ed to but in a vaccuum once we donk flop I think we should just B/B/B. We want to get as much money in as possible and giving up the option to put in money OTT seems a bit counterproductive since you donked this flop and aren't deemed to be very strong.

x1 to above