Marrek

def, just x/c the turn vs this guy and xc all rivers other than an Ace ( or improved to a boat) as this guy barrels a really good strategy, but too much on the river.

I wanted to say the river is a raise/fold, but it might just be a call. The problem with raising is, He should be folding AK- to your raise. He has AA(3)/66(3)/AQ (3) and KQ (4), QJs(4).

I guess most people do call too much, so you might get some curiosity calls from AK if he thinks you're capable of bluff the river with a missed flush, so bet / fold is prob still best, its close tho since his calling and jamming ranges are close in number.

its weird to x'r this hand here. A cbet, 3 ways on this board is likely to be a pair 99 - Kx, so our bluffing FE equity is not great AND we have a decent bluff catcher.

i like donking here and firing 2 big bets. I don't triple barrel bluff here b/c his turn call will mean a strong king.

i really don't like x/r and checking the turn. your flop bluff isn't going to work enough on its own, you need to follow up with a big turn bet all the time. And yor pair don't get you much value.

this guy looks like a nut peddler. 14/11 and only a 9% x/r. That's nutted hands.

his offsuit Ad hands are what exactly? AdQx (4combos) ? anything else in his range?
for value he has AdQd to Ad8d and QTdd, T9dd and 98dd? (7 combos)
77 (3 combos)

I doubt he even x/rs draws. So, you're behind most of the time. I think you can call flop vs this guy and fold turn.

I'd just call this hand pf, its strong enough to call, but its a hard bluff....

in villian's shoes, i would have a pretty wide range. Pf, getting to over-call and close the action, I'd definitely have Q9s+, 45s+, 57s+, AXs, Kxs, pps, almost any 2 broadway.

as villain I'm floating the flop here with any gsd and any pair of Tx+ .

As hero, i'm always 2brl'ing. it's a close shove, but its a shove for me. That's the problem with squeezing with a medium strength hand, you are left in these spots. With K2s and Ak, your values are more clear, here its merky.

you are likely calling way too much and not value betting and bluffing enough.

i think that if you're not cbetting most boards, its an argument for not 3bet bluffing in the first place.

i haven't figured out a way to play a x/calling range of medium strength hands, unless the villain is way too bluffy or way to honest.

raise to stack his overpairs and draws. You played your hand to maximize vs KhQh and other such misses, which is not how to crush ppl.

Its different if he just checks the flop and you think he's completely giving up. Here he cbets, so he's a good chunk of his range is likely to stack off vs raise - you need to stack those hands.

then shove.

then shove.

bet small. villain has 2 overs or an underpair. I'm going for value vs Ace high and 2nd pairs, so bet small... and bet blank rivers again.

i don't take many x/c lines, so i just bet my hand here and see what develops. i'll 2brl a blank and 3brl improvements . 7 might be 3brl too.

yes. I'd consider bluffing a Jack too - but not 3brl'ing it. On a turned heart, then river Ace, King, queen 3brl it. Don't 3brl if the board bricks off.

A 6 is probably a good 3brl too.

its a fold b/c people do not 3brl bluff nearly enough - just look at other posts on here - most don't do it enough

You have to bet in these spots or you are playing too str8 forward - betting big pairs and checking everything else.

I bluff near 100% on these flops that i always bet my value hands here. I'd xb turn and call or bet river.

i do this all the time when a gut shot fills in. Here, i would always bet the turn with a 6, so i don't overbluff in these spots.

also, you are not expected to have many 6x hands to isolate a fish with, so it's pretty meh. Also, people don't like to fold top pair. if the board was 8 high and he has 8x, its different. but with any ace in his hand, the has the 'toppest most pair', and calls more than he should

the 6 doesn't help your hand, which wasn't strong enough to 3bet the flop or raise the turn, on a very wet board. Your value range is like Q9 and discounted AA/KK, which is pretty narrow.

it's probably slightly -EV to shove, but not horrible.

pf you is not an auto-profit spot, and he does not fold enough post-flop to make bluffing +EV, so don't 3bet a range that depends on bluffing and semi-bluffing

i call pf, but i'm loose. once he x's, on these boards i go underbet ( 1/4 to 1/3 pot), underbet, shove.

A fish will have QX, 2P and sets here. some have draws, some not. So its somewhere between close and +EV.

if you have 1k hands on him you should have a better read of what he DL's with.

I guess I'd just GII and see

The read is that's he's very aggro when you rep a very small range and he's willing to bluff shove over multiple streets. He thought " he never goes crazy with 88, always 3bets 99+, has too few 5x hands, so he's bluffing most of the time"

Don't expect to have FE if you raise him when there's lots of draws out there, but do expect to get bluff raised and re-raised alot.

you can x/r and stack off with tpgk on wet flops, but don't do the shoving, size it so that he thinks he has lots of FE, if you can.

fold pre. you are very much dominated. His range is so strong that you hit top pair and only have 50% equity vs his whole range.

Even if you knew he was 3brl bluffing his entire range, he'll own you and there's nothing you can do about it ( b/c his worse than QJ hands still have lots of equity)

here, his sqz is likely stronger than in a btn, sb, bb scenario. With 100bb stacks and these positions, i would just fold pf.

As played its all kinda gross, you get odds on the turn to call, and know he never folds to a shove, so just call. River is an obv fold.

his stats indicate that his turn bets are all value bets, so his 100% 3barreling stat looks high, but is likely just standard value bets ( but the sample is too small to really say for sure)

I'm not against raising the turn, as there are lots of draws, but I don't like min raising, $55 or so or jam is better IMO ( even with the odd river sizing left).

i would rather have AA here to be raising and jamming vs this guy. he has very little 5x combos, but when he puts his whole stack in, the likely hood of him having them goes WAAAYYYY up. I think he plays AA and KK this way too. prob not JJ/TT, so i don't like being here so much.

Just call down and bet when x'd to.

his stats say he's not barreling air

don't create these kinds of spots. Your 3b bluff is -EV vs this guy

my default in these spots is to call twice and fold vs a river jam.

Villain SHOULD be 2brl'ing 9x+, XXcc, any gsd, sd, and fd. At this level, people generally don't barrel enough (ie they drop gsds and 9x), and even fewer 3brl with a high enough frequency. QJ is ahead of this range and has outs when actually behind.

I would just 3brl here, and big. X'r'ing for value is very tough, but if i did do it, i'd x/r more like 4x his bet.

If you are going to lead and 3bet, you should 3bet bigger, like 3.5x his bet, and jam all turns.