Limp Limpson

wish I knew

focus on fundamentals to get them into your unconscious competence, sleep, working out, safe roll, meditation, rest days, off the table study are all commonly adviced solutions.

Things I noticed:
shorter session (biggie!!), rest days (if I play reasonable volume for 3 days, I always spew on the fourth day), roll, watching videos before session, even if for few minutes...all these things helped.

Not eating enough (playing well is a lot harder when trying to lose weight with a decent deficit, I cannot stress this enough, even if you dont feel hungry), playing two/three days after a party, generally not feeling well and absence of the stuff mentioned above all hurt my performance a lot. Lack of social life (I sometimes didnt meet any friends/barely met anyone for like 3 days and it was really detrimental).

stuff that I thought would help me, but I didnt notice a significant difference:

working out (I was fat and lost the weight, I try to work up a sweat 7 times a week) and proper sleep (when I dont sleep enough, I tend to be a bit moody, but I def. think that I managed to play well even when I slept less than I'd like to), checking/not checking a cashier midsession.

jesus, fucking beautiful!

agree with most of it, but villain's turn vbet is marginal/probably bad vs decent regs at the limit. Calling the raise ott and snapping otr is a straight up spew vs the population.

which does not make op's line ok, since no legitimate/correct reason for overbluffing this much was provided.

OP: some regs like to play fit or fold deep, you can xc flop and donkbet most turns vs them. Just give up otf vs the others/as a default. Its fine to not float anything oop with a weak range vs a guy who opens utg and cbets 3way.

Edit:Reasons why I think you should stop with the "he should check KK, cuz mp's range is stronger" argument.
First, Im not at all sure thats the case, since a lot of players still do 3b KK MPvUTG and UTG should have 22 combos, unlike the mp. Not saying that UTG's range is stronger, just that its not that clear cut.
Second, players good enough to consider range advantages dont usually play nl25.
Third, players good enough to adjust cbet strats according to range advantages will be protecting themselves and calling down your ridiculously narrow valuerange at least some % of the time, so overbluffing this much (given your 6, maybe 8 (if you flat K7s pf) combos wide valuerange) is still not a good idea.

his range does include some flushes (7xcc and not all players auto db all draws ott), which makes me dislike overbetting river with no blockers. I also think that its conceivable for him to hero you with one pair hands.

dont like xr otr and agree with the disharmonist
its ok to give up

so you're not sure whether to vbet or not and yet you think that it might be a call vs a raise?

def. b/f river. We have plenty of better hands to call with+exploitatively people, esp people at these stacks, underbluff rivers/almost never raise rivers as a bluff

assuming minimal poker knowledge, whatever you do is gonna be +ev.

Assuming deep stacks (300+bb eff), the most +ev option is gonna be to play extremely, extremely loose ip, esp preflop.

However, most of the live regs are gonna be playing fairly tight, since they want to avoid pointless variance. Marginal EV benefit is simply not worth it for most of the guys who try to make a living playing live poker.

vs 75/10 I'd fold otr, since those guys seem passive

if he is aggressive postflop (as you said), this is an easy calldown

you can also consider r/f otf for thinnish value/protect/ability to potcontrol on bad turns

I'm fully comfortable with overfolding in this spot until I get to know the villain. I think that almost everybody underbluffs, especially since all nl100 regs realize that all the draws bricked.

Im fine with calling 77 88 and 22 only

preflop can be fine only if you are trying to exploit villain's overfolding to either 3bets or cbets in 3b pots

I'd fold otr imo, unknowns are gonna be vbetting "thin" like that a lot and Im not comfortable with x jamming vs an unknown

the problem ott is that you never have QJ and the villain does, so you are opening up to being exploited, esp if your image allows him to include some bluffs in your range

you also rep very very thin, again, he shouldnt be folding his Ax combos, since presumably you are gonna xrf AT

tldr: he has range advantage ott and your range is capped, you cannot ever do an aggressive action

"If your plan is based upon too much valuebet/folding you probably leak."

care to elaborate? This is nl2, isnt that supposed to be exactly our plan?

the basic idea is that we dont want to be 3betting too much and by flatting hands that are +ev to flat and 3betting hands that we cant flat, but can profitably 3b we maximize our vpip/become tougher to play against... Note that Im not advocating completely polarized range, Kxs certainly plays very well in 3b pots.

obv this can be discussed and plenty of very good players subscribe to different approaches

think that this deep this is a flat preflop and I'd start 3betting Kxs

you dont rep anything otf, only some types of regs will just giveup/ over give up vs so thin valueranges

I'd just call

Nobody can really help you here, you have to play the games and see the showdowns (how often do you. See spews here?)

I'd guess that this is a fold, but I'm pretty sure that everybody at the micros calls in game

Ok I was wrong.

At the time I thought that everything that calls the jam ott will stack off otr too, so the jam just shuts down random spews.
But I guess that villain could have a draw that gets given up if he whiffs, so e jam ott is prob superior. Thats still so rare that it doesnt matter really.

Whilst I agree that anything is possible at nl2, I still have to assume that this is a fold

Fwiw I'd bet the turn and see little reason to check at these stakes

Your line is fine as a default. Jamming should be exploitative vs certain opponents.

Yep skill dependent.

I think that nl50 zoom is tough enough that you cantget away with opening only 10% without being exploited on certain flops (that you will almost never hit).

Increasing rfi to 15% and adding hands that improve your board coverage seems prudent/smart, you dont have to go as wide as 20(which I think is too wide)

Im folding otf, our draw is rly weak and there are two other uncapped ranges involved

xr almost feels like overplaying your hand, its def. just asking for a cooler

I like that you considered checking, since you will be giving up this flop a ton and you should protect your checking range, so you dont always xf. But thats just a lot less important multiway, so just bet

I'm raise folding otr, river 3b is a high flush 100%

I'm also betting flop (mostly protection, some value),but I def see arguments for a xb

thats potentially not that important multiway, isnt it?

yep, I think so (without proper image of course)

turn is also potentially a superior xc

WhatEver

a lot of fnacy arguments thrown around here, all of them mostly correct.
I'll add one that is a lot more simple: you have a strong hand at nl10, just shovel money into the pot... Meaning that even with the nut flush its better to just raise.

flop is probably b/f at these stakes

as played turn is prob just a xb and hope for a showdown

either xf or xc otf imo (xc vs smaller sizings, exploitatively versus the pool who tends to bet bigger for value, disregard if you think that this does not apply in your player pool)

the rest looks fine

In theory you should flat his 3b, in reality it doesnt matter

Tyler Forrester said smth along the lines of: the estimation of R is the next big poker issue and the guy who figures out how to do it the best will skyrocket to nosebleeds.

Lefort said that it can be done with the db, but Im not sure...like honestly, I have 600k hands in my db, but I play completely differently now than I did, plenty of hands are outright spews that are irrelevant to R calcs and even neglecting all that, if I filter out specific spots, sample sizes can really small really quickly