Lemmings

augballer88

Sorry you're right 2P not counterfeited to those hands my mistake. Still is to overpairs though. Thanks for spotting that.

perhaps but without seeing a showdown it doesn't tell you a huge amount. Also could be min donk bets which is vastly different to massive overbet shove on this board.

Definitely a good idea to think a bit before calling, especially on the river. I would consider folding river quite seriously I think. You're 2P is counterfeited now so not even beating hands like J8, J9, JT, QT, KT, AT that would all probably take this line on flop and turn. Also not sure even bad players are bluffing enough for 1.7 overbet given the action so far on a very obvious flush board. You will be able to call and profit nicely when you have a flush. I would call sometimes if I sensed a tilting opponent but without a strong dynamic maybe just let it go. What do others think?

"At 32:11, reason for using small sizing on this texture?"

I think you make a good point here Shekhar, I would only bet small if I was going to barrel the turn big to fold out the gunshots and pocket pairs and Qx. I don't think an overbet is necessary to do this just a solid 2/3rds bet. So, if plan is to give up turn then I prefer a larger bet on the flop as you suggest.

Great video.

Last hand on the turn we have 1 out to straight flush draw. Given the fact we get the stack on river for this outcome does this change turn fold to a call. Also agree with raising flop. What size raise is best. .? I think to 4.50 then commit on any turn. Does that sound ok?

I just find that rake is 0.62=12.4bb! It is too high!

Yes the rake is ridiculous, just realised that I would be 40 buy in's more up if there was zero rake over last 50,000 hands. Whilst this gives me a confidence boost to my game, I'd prefer if it was in my bankroll.:)

Thanks for the feedback, good to know. It's interesting because the ace of clubs means they have less flush draws but we have more equity vs sets because we have the bk dr nut flush draw.

Away for a few days so thanks for all the feedback everyone. Really helpful.

Another way of putting it, is you have invested 43 cent so far but are risking losing 320 cent with not much idea of where you stand. But it's likely if the money goes in you are behind.

The flop raise looks very strong considering it's a 3 bet pot and were 200bb deep. This is typically a pretty strong range of sets/2P and we're OOP so I don't hate folding to the flop raise. Our hand has bad equity on the flop in the sense that we are vulnerable to all sorts of problems as the hand develops. Draws getting there, getting bluffed on later streets, massive reverse implied odds or an Ace hitting. Against a crazy player you could just ship the flop, but against most reasonable opponents I'd like to think that I would fold, although easier said that done in game.

A cruel river - stack to pot ratio is high enough that I think we should be able to get away easily here.

I agree, because it's a 3bet pot it's far less likely that you will induce bluffs from missed draws by checking. So just keep the pedal to the metal on the river. Hands like this don't grow on trees and QJ will more than likely have raised flop or turn. Opponents very likely to have a Jack for trips. Put the rest in the middle.

I would drop down very quickly if you hit a downswing of 3 buy ins, for me personally I hate losing 1/2 my bankroll and this would represent a problem for me. Also I think it's good practice to move down and get used to doing this. It's annoying but important skill to develop that will serve you well on your way up the stake levels. Once it's rebuilt have another go. Also try to pick good times to move up to maximise your chances of success.

Yes I take back my earlier comments. I put the hand in CREV and making some assumptions it looks as though the break even point is if villain decides to shove with 1 out of 10 of there missed draws. Even our nittiest friends will probably at least take a notion to bluff shove this often. Once the bluffing increases beyond this point our EV of calling shoots up.

I think it's close and very player dependent. Some player never bluff the river like this. You really need to know they are capable of bluffing like this to call. I think your fold is probably the best play unless I had a specific read on the player.

I would check back the river with this hand. I think that betting risks getting looked up with a low heart with a player this unpredictable , even taking into account the low WTSD %

Thanks for the help. It's a problem I have where I see high river aggression and justify a call, but looks like a fold on reflection.

Love the music at the end. Feel like I can take on the world with that rousing outro, obviously in a non results oriented way:)

I like folding here too for what it's worth at 5NL

Found the video It's title is "4Bet Call and 5Bet Spots"

Hi Rafal,

Agree with other comments 3bb/100 with a high rake is actually pretty decent. It's probably around 9bb/100 without rake taken out. I think you should be pretty proud of that. Especially if it includes your play when you are tilting as described in your post. Make sure that the bad calls that you describe are actually bad. It's possible they are good but that you are focusing on the results too much and the calls are +ev vs villains entire range. Remember we can and lose more than 1/2 the time and still have made a profitable call. This can totally play tricks on your mind when they keep showing you the goods. I guess at these stakes though most of the time they have it and we should be folding a lot more than at the higher stakes. The more time you put into understanding these spots that are tilting you, the less likely they will trigger your tilt in the future. It might help to make notes on how you are feeling during a session. Then you may be able to spot your own patterns. Everyone has different triggers, so you need to understand what yours are. This is really a lot harder than it sounds and will take time and some honest reflection with yourself after a session. You also need to make sure you do other stuff with your life to keep everything in perspective. Regards moving up in stakes. I think you need to experiment and find out what works for you, but I'd make a plan to set a loss limit in buy ins and then move down and rebuild and then have another go. repeat, repeat.
Element of Poker by Tommy Angelo is quite a good book on mental game issues too.

Best of luck

I think it's quite a close decision. Villain's range is quite strong. What do we beat that bets? 99s and TTs for split pot, perhaps. They might not even bet 99s or it might not be in there range in the first place. 10/8 average stats. This is cold call range which are usually stronger. So it basically comes down to if they have and bet 99s in this spot. This makes a huge difference. with 99s we have 34% equity (call as only need 25%) and without we have 3% ( easy fold) according to Flopzilla. I assumed QQs, JJs, TTs, the original range.

Yes, assign a very wide range and be thankful he's at your table.

Suits of the cards would be helpful. Generally speaking folding is a good play and although exploitable, it's very unlikely that you are being exploited enough. WWSF is high enough to be a bit concerned. If you are concerned that the player is capable bluffing this spot at a reasonably high frequency then could opt to pot control the turn or even the flop and then extract value on later streets.

Perhaps I'm wrong but I think you have to call on the flop too. I know his range is weighted to TTs, JJs, QQs+ when calling the 4bet. But we have to factor in AQ, KKs, KQ, perhaps even T9s. I think also could be looser due to the fish in the pot. But as James points out, getting it in preflop or at least raising again smaller is better. There won't be any marginal spot then on the flop. i.e you will be felting regardless or what comes imho.

Thanks for the reply. Why do you need to have some bluffs?

Good point, we probably don't. Thanks for the help. What do you charge for coaching?

Really clear and useful and accurate post Saulo Ribeiro and agree with nearly everything said here but is XF on this flop better than bet fold or even check raise occasionally?

"Flop is a fairly easy XF on this board and its not even close. "

I not totally convinced as check folding here leaves us exploitable to aggressive in position betting ( which a lot of players will just bet when checked to in position). Totally agree that XC is definitely the worst option though and that we need to avoid doing this unless calling down to river against a big bluff heavy range. But I could be wrong and am happy to be corrected. We need to have some bluffs here and the 2 overcards 6 outs allow us to continue some turns effectively. Would it be better to check fold lower pocket pairs or suited connectors that didn't pick up much equity instead or this hand? I not say we never check fold it but just that it's not a clear 100% ck fold. What do you think?