Leetnewb
15 points
I was using PIO to sim various A-high boards as 3bettor OOP and tried to find optimal sizes on them. To polarize our range we want to use a mix of large bets and small bets on most of the high card run-outs. On most A-high boards OOP has 0 checks, but as we want to bet larger in some of them, we also want to have some checks on most of them (unless we crush the board too hard and have 70%+ equity share on the flop). So I picked two good sizings and ran the sim.
These two boards are technically the same but OOP has massively different strategies between them. I'm interested discuss with fellow RIO members and find out what is the theory behind the two results I got:
Hand 1
AK2r
SB 3bet 100bb deep vs BTN defend - 100% pot bet - 25% pot bet - Check
Frequencies I got: 25 / 33 / 42
OOP vs IP equity share: 127 / 73
Hand 2
AQ2r
SB 3bet 100bb deep vs BTN defend - 100% pot bet - 25% pot bet - Check
Frequencies I got: 18 / 72 / 10
OOP vs IP equity share: 128 / 72
--
So 25% pot bet and 100% pot bet being the only options, GTO-solution wants to check 42% on AK2r instead of 10% on AQ2r. Instead of checking a-lot we bet high frequency 25% bet on AQ2r, which makes much more sense in a traditional way of thinking the spot. Why is this? We have the exact same amount of nuts on both boards and the equities are really close with each other. The only difference is that IP defends a little bit more Kxs vs Qxs vs the 3bet.
Aug. 30, 2018 | 6:17 p.m.
Saw you at Barcelona and almost came to thank you in person for this great content you put up here. Keep up the good work !
For future videos I would like to see different approaches under ICM pressure on final tables adjusting on villain's playing style
Sept. 8, 2016 | 3:03 a.m.
More videos with holdemresources! One of the best essential content as always. Ty
July 29, 2016 | 11:03 a.m.
Good video. I would like to see those final table icm pressure toyed with icmizer in the future vids if possible :) really educational
Feb. 19, 2016 | 3:46 a.m.
Excellent MTT video, plenty of new ideas. Thx
Oct. 20, 2015 | 9:36 a.m.
Good video! I have watched most of videos twice already :) Will the next video be live Zoom ?;) Its been a while!
Nov. 12, 2014 | 11:07 p.m.
Imo fold pre. The reg is 3betting at 5% so what will it be vs your UTG? probably just KK and AA. The pot odds are great but even if you bink an ace, which is at ~1/6 frequency (assuming nobody blocks you) the big blind can still have AK and sb AA which is trouble for you.
As played I would just bet the flop and check it down. The nitty reg is probably just pot controlling and playing the overpair as a bluffcatcher now when the board ran well for sets in your ranges. What did the villain ended up having? KK?
Oct. 27, 2014 | 5:50 p.m.
Also I would probably just give up on turn if the villain keeps barreling as the board mashes his 4bet calling range and he doesn't seem too spew with just 5% 3bet.
Oct. 27, 2014 | 5:32 p.m.
I think the better play post-flop would be check-calling the flop and playing it as a bluff catcher because IMO you can't get value from about anything worse. You somehow managed to win tho, villain had KQs?
Oct. 27, 2014 | 5:30 p.m.
Stats of villain? 3bet from bb most importantly for readers to analyse if its profitable to defend the 3bet. And then F4B bvb to see if its profitable to 4bet bluff in this spot?
Oct. 27, 2014 | 5:05 p.m.
At 7:00 you fold 99 vs btn squeeze. If you assume that an unknown (as you don't have sample on him) doesn't have a bluffing range here and he's only doing this with AQo+ and TT+ shouldn't this still be a close'ish call?
Sept. 2, 2014 | 11:40 a.m.
Is A3s standard fold for you against a CO open? 4.42
May 5, 2014 | 10:16 p.m.
Where exactly can I find my standard deviation in HEM2, Ive red that it should appear somewhere in reports -> stats, but somehow cant find it
Jan. 8, 2014 | 12:37 a.m.
My question is what is a good sample size to know whether you are winning at certain stake or not and/or to know an edge in terms of bb.
What is the variance in this, for example if I have a sample size of 50k at NLHE 6-max how likely does it distort my real edge say 50%? Or is the normal variance say 20% with a sample size of 50k hands? Obviously it gets closer the truth when you have more hands to analyze. There must be some formulas for this :)
Appreciate all the answers.
Jan. 7, 2014 | 9:08 p.m.
Good video. Not too "theory heavy" which usually makes it slow. Really enjoyed- thx
Dec. 20, 2013 | 9:23 a.m.
I would fold if facing ck/r from this kind of a villain (Solid nit-reg). What is his steal %? Also, I would consider 3-betting 99 from the sb if he is a solid reg and opens 50%+ from the button
Dec. 20, 2013 | 3:45 a.m.
What do you mean by giving up? Still bet the turn but fold to a raise.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 12:11 p.m.
I only play NL50/NL100 but ive never seen anything else than nuts when 3-bet jammed on the river. This is because of the stakes thought.
Anyway, I can't put him on a hand. Anyone else having the same problem? You are 200bb deep so do you think he is defending suited connectors such as 78s and then turned a flush on river? Not really sure if he would 3-bet jam a small flush either.
I guess that he just called behind with Ax and was valuebetting river and after your raise turned it to a bluff.
I would consider calling because I don't think there is enough if any Qdxd or Txdx diamond combos that can defend your 3-bet and then call behind on the flop.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 12:03 p.m.
Without doubt he will call with KQ then imo.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 9:50 a.m.
I would play as played. What are your stats? If not incredibly tight I'd assume he will flat KQo but fold KJo. Also, is 5bb raise from UTG your standard play?
Dec. 19, 2013 | 9:11 a.m.
If you don't have reads of the villain- how can you assume he will never bluff here? And I mean NEVER, and you still beat a big margin of his value hands. If he thinks that there is a chance you could 4-bet bluff, he would play at least QQ/AK this way and then go with it if faced shove. Not to mention pure bluffs
The 5-bet size is not very far from standard as you can't commit much more of your stack as a bluff since you just end up calling the rest if you do. The sizing shouldn't matter if the villain is a good player, I have noticed that bad players will shove AK because they don't want to see flop with it and they don't know anything about balanced ranges.
I would bet my money on aces after we saw how the hand played till the turn but it can still be QQ Imo. Regardless I would have shoved PF.
Is there any reason he could have tried to level you to shove as a bluff? What are your stats?
Dec. 19, 2013 | 7:40 a.m.
Yep, call. 39% Equity needed. Against range like Q8-QK you are 52.5% (assuming villain is donk and defends all kind of crap on bb). He certainly wouldn't play sets this way and don't think 2p either. If we put some smaller flushdraws in his jamming range you get even more greater odds to call.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 7:13 a.m.
I agree with the fold, there is way too few combos that he will be doing this and will fold on the river, also we can't assume he will check-raise nut FD on the turn all that often either (at least not always). We will face overpairs too often that he will not fold.
Imo there should be 2 combos of 8's in villains range too. (Ad8d, As8s). But other than that he would probably need at least AT+ to flat the flop.
So if he is somewhat solid and not opening uber aggro, there should be only 3 FD combos. Comparing this to 2 combos of A8x, 3 combos of JJ and 18 combos of QQ+ we get 23. Easy fold.
Dec. 15, 2013 | 10:06 a.m.
The tittle says it all. The live games are 10-max and somewhat soft. Usually the table plays a way where 2/6 of them are regs, 3/6 are people that knows how to play a bit but certainly not winning players online, 1/6 donks.
How should I approach these games? Obviously the vpip of the table is very high, so should I tighten up my range because of this? Should I 3-bet more light with med-premium hands such as KTs+ because the fold to 3-bet is usually 0%. I've seen regulars with this leak as well, some of them don't fold to 3-bet at all.
Thoughts please?
Dec. 15, 2013 | 2:59 a.m.
I agree this hand was overplayed but me and the villain had history on the table and I think that he was having an idea that I was trying to run him over.
About the hand;
So should I just call the 3-bet on flop and see if he gives up with the bluffs on turn? And in this case fold to turn bet? I also think that he doesn't open T8-K8o but I may be wrong!
Really appreciate your answer and hope to hear a reply from you as well :) Oh, and thanks for the tip- Ill post the next hand with the way you described
Dec. 14, 2013 | 12:01 a.m.
What are your stats?
Dec. 13, 2013 | 7:58 a.m.
Villain is on CO
Hero is on button
Villain is a semi good reg on Pokerstars.
Villain stats 22/18/5
We are 120bb deep
Dealt to Hero [8d 7d]
agyque: folds
OneMoreDayKR: folds
AbacabDonkey: raises $0.75 to $1.25
Hero: calls $1.25
rockwilderrr: folds
wolv3rine_v2: folds
*** FLOP *** [4h 8c 8s]
AbacabDonkey: bets $1.86
Hero: raises $4.14 to $6
AbacabDonkey: raises $7 to $13
Hero: raises $7 to $20
AbacabDonkey: calls $7
*** TURN *** [4h 8c 8s] [Js]
AbacabDonkey: checks
Hero: bets $12.50
AbacabDonkey: raises $27 to $39.50
Hero: raises $27 to $66.50
AbacabDonkey: calls $0.08 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($26.92) returned to Hero
Is this a good play? How should I have played this differently? I will post here what did the hero ended up having after a few comments :) thanks
Btw. I am a new member and love this site <3
Dec. 13, 2013 | 2:13 a.m.
Thanks for the answer. Much appreciated :)
Dec. 4, 2013 | 1 a.m.
Hello everyone,
been a member for a while and decided to post a question - don't know if this is the right place to post this tho but hope you can help.
I've had a few tricky hands I wanted to post here but don't know how to import those on forums. Is there a guide for that somewhere?
(sorry for dumb first post lol)
@26min Jman misses auto c-bet
I was thinking that maybe Jungleman doesn't have any cold calls and is implementing extremely wide 4bet range as he is 300bb deep IP bvb, which would obviously lead to a higher freq flop check strat.
Sept. 10, 2018 | 6:27 p.m.