Kerith
16 points
Problem is persisting almost three months later. Am I the only one with that problem?
Dec. 29, 2017 | 11:21 a.m.
Hi!
I am an essential member and have been for some time. I have used the app in the past to view videos while traveling but now it is not working properly. When I synced it it did not show the videos I currently have in my list (https://www.runitonce.com/settings/downloads/) but some videos I watched in the past. I thought maybe logging out and back in might help but now it says: Login Error - You do not have permission for access.
I tried multiple times to eliminate the chance that I made a typo and then went to see whether the app got taken away from essential members (it used to be for elite only iirc) but did not find any news to that effect.
What is happening?
Oct. 3, 2017 | 10:54 a.m.
I am generally interested in a study group but I don't understand why telegram would be the platform of choice.
July 23, 2017 | 6:25 a.m.
This hand was played on Microgaming so I don't have the hand history and have to type this up from my notes.
Hero is dealt KQT8 with two spades and decides to isolate a UTG limper who has played loose passive so far. The SB cold calls and UTG calls as well.
Three players see a flop of J82 with two spades and the pot is 29bb (minus rake). Both players check to Hero who has mid pair, a King high flush draw and a gutshot and decides to check as well.
In my opinion betting cannot be that bad here but I like checking a bit better. While we miss the opportunity to protect my hand against a bunch of the weak holdings that still have a lot of equity we are not winning that much against a call and a raise would be a disaster. Also it allows us to see a river almost guaranteed with a hand that has a lot of ways to improve and keeps hands in that make second best hands when we do.
The turn brings an offsuit 6, SB checks and UTG leads for 22bb (about 3/4 pot). Hero and SB both call.
The river brings an offsuited K, SB checks once again and UTG bets 47bb (1/2 pot).
While we improve to two pair I don't think that puts us ahead of UTG alot, if at all. However, if we ever want to bluff here we might have a good candidate here since it is really hard to get here, have a King blocker and worse than two pair. Should we fold, call or raise?
June 30, 2017 | 5:28 a.m.
In my opinion your problems start with your way too large cbet.
June 30, 2017 | 4:53 a.m.
Thanks for your answer, I am sorry that I could not reply earlier.
Like I wrote, at this point I can raise it about $2 more (he has $6.37 at the start of the hand and put in $4.23 so far). I am confused by your math. How did you arrive at the 30%? I need ~33% for a call to not be a losing play (with I assume it not to be) but I also have the option to put in those $2. However if I do so and I get called by worse hands less than 50% of the time, just calling is better.
June 16, 2017 | 5:38 a.m.
SB: $8.98
BB: $19.70 (Hero)
UTG: $11.48
MP: $14.45
CO: $14.62
Against his pot sized 3-bet I am confronted with conflicting information. On one hand I don't think there is a big chance he checked a flopped set (the two hands that beat me) behind twice but on the other hand his bet indicates that he has no fear (or is completely full of it). I think folding is out of the question but can we actually raise his last $2 profitably?
June 6, 2017 | 7:37 a.m.
I think I do not have a river check raising range here. My reasoning is that people generally don't bet rivers often enough. During the hand I thought about how I can KQ here and how I would play that and came to the conclusion that without a read I would always want to lead my straights here.
June 6, 2017 | 7:18 a.m.
I am also still learning to run those simulations. For example on the flop if I assume he has a 5% 3-betting range and pots aces with a flush draw, two pairs and sets then his range should be (AAcc,(TT,QQ,22),(TQ,T2,Q2)):5%, right? Against that we have 45.5% equity!
My speculation on him potting QQ/TT on the turn is just based on past experience.
June 6, 2017 | 7:11 a.m.
SB: $36.11
BB: $10.00
UTG: $19.26
MP: $18.75 (Hero)
CO: $10.00
June 1, 2017 | 5:23 p.m.
SB: $40.71
BB: $35.84
UTG: $8.92
MP: $29.26 (Hero)
CO: $51.58
June 1, 2017 | 5:15 p.m.
SB: $14.47
BB: $20.55
UTG: $10.00
MP: $9.80
CO: $9.32
Aside: I tried finding out how often Villain has different hand types using PQL but I did not find a way to compute how often he has, say aces with a flush draw since, as far as I can tell, PQL can't differentiate between different kinds of "no pair". However, if I make the turn card a club it says that a 5% range for example has 24.51% flushes which must also mean that the same range has 24.51% flush draws on the flop, right? This is in contrast to 5.68% sets OTF.
Using PQL I get that a 5% range has about 30% each flush draws and straights on this turn with 7% sets. It would be really great if someone would check my simulation and PQL work since I am just getting used to using them.
May 31, 2017 | 6:30 p.m.
For my understanding: How different / how similar do you think our hand is to a similar hand that has a T instead of an 8 here? Are they both good picks to check/call or would you consider one to be significantly better as a hand that gets it in OTF?
May 30, 2017 | 4:37 p.m.
Thanks for your insight, guys! Would it change your play if the river was a 4h instead of the Kh (so that QJ does not improve)?
Feb. 21, 2017 | 2:48 p.m.
He had A9, something I did not consider at the time. Good call by you to include it in your analysis!
Feb. 21, 2017 | 2:42 p.m.
SB: $31.72
BB: $18.79 (Hero)
UTG: $10.76
MP: $14.58
CO: $11.67
Our hand is not very good multiway and our position sucks but I think we can win enough money of a (probably weak) limping player to justify playing it.
Feb. 17, 2017 | 12:41 p.m.
Just to quickly wrap this hand up I think the consent is to call which I agree with and which is what I did do in the hand. I don't think the other options should be dismissed instantly but you would probably need a much better read on V to take either of them.
Feb. 17, 2017 | 11:21 a.m.
@texasflood2: Thanks, I do like your analysis.
In general I have gone away from bluffing with the nutflush blocker too much lately since I got called a lot (even by non-flush hands) from passive players. It makes total sense to do it but if people are not willing to fold we should just bluff them less, right?
On the river I think he just has so many potential bluffs and so few value hands (since he probably only bets high flushes for value) that, combined with his weird sizing, I think he is just trying to get me off a hand often enough to profitable call. If the flop had less straight draws I would probably agree with you guys and fold though.
Feb. 17, 2017 | 11:15 a.m.
Thanks for you replies, guys. Do you think he will pot any flush? Or is it more that you think he will only pot the King high and maybe the Queen high flush but never (rarely) bluff?
Feb. 13, 2017 | 6:17 p.m.
Thanks for your replies everyone!
@Disharmonist, miami002: You don't think there is a good chance he will BF 99 and 77? The hand converter does not show it (maybe there is an option I did not see?) but after his bet there is still >80bb effective left in his stack.
@plolernerguy: What worse hand are you looking to get called by?
@sorcloud: The meaning is that LPs don't usually bluff, esp. without any prompt, that's why they are LPs.
Feb. 13, 2017 | 6:08 p.m.
SB: $7.13
BB: $5.51
UTG: $12.66
MP: $5.00
CO: $7.61
Feb. 13, 2017 | 3:58 p.m.
SB: $8.94
BB: $17.86
UTG: $5.56
MP: $11.93
CO: $4.96
Feb. 13, 2017 | 3:36 p.m.
Any PLO content would be nice right now. There has been one Essential PLO video this month. :(
March 19, 2016 | 3:24 p.m.
Great video, thank you Steve!
One question about the AA on monotone connected flop hand: Does the calculation by PJ factor in the rake? Because if it doesn't the rake will take away any small profit you can make there.
June 19, 2015 | 5:15 p.m.
That is an interesting question and I am curious how other people handle this spot. So far I have been checking everything except A9* and 97* (which I bet for value) and a few bluffs that have outs against hands like KK9* and QQ9* although tbh vs 3 players I might very well only bet for value.
June 15, 2015 | 12:57 p.m.
I am curious, how would you go about getting the likelyhood of trips+ here in PPT?
June 13, 2015 | 8:24 a.m.
SB: $38.02
BB: $18.62 (Hero)
UTG: $9.46
MP: $4.80
CO: $3.67
CO is 60/31/3 over 100 hands
SB is 22/17/14 and a green mark after 160 hands
No relevant notes on any of them.
I would have called CO's all in as I am getting odds and he could be betting a lot more hands with three players checking to him. With SB calling, especially since we are deep, this is a fold, right?
Are there any merits to not checking the flop?
June 9, 2015 | 12:18 p.m.
Thank you for your reply. What is your plan on blank (esp. 8-Q) turns? I would think check calling again and check folding the river unimproved, right? I feel like Villain can value bet us freely when they have a better hand but if we improve it is hard to get more money into the pot. What do you think?
June 9, 2015 | 6:09 a.m.
SB: $12.50 (Hero)
BB: $5.05
UTG: $5.07
MP: $23.35
CO: $17.82
Hi Emty, thank you for this video. I have a slightly OT question: How do you play 6 tables on GG at the same time? I am capped at 4 tables.
May 25, 2023 | 7:15 p.m.