JuStAWicKEdDud3

my cold call on the flop looks as strong as a cold 3bet. if his bluffs would have more EQ i would definately agree - like OESDs or at least GSs. but since his draws are backdoors he will shut down on the majority of turncards.

lets assume i raise. i make it 55$. this should make him fold his bluffs and proceed only with his sets. even if he raises AA he has to fold that. UTG has a cbet of 80% so tends to cbet a bit too lose. i guess we can expect him to fold at least 90% of the time. to make it a bit easier i ignore him and take a few combos off of MPs range wich looks to me like:

AA (2) 33,66,99 (7), QdJd,QsJs,QcJc,JdTd,JsTs,JcTc (6 combos)

i risk 55$ to win (30$+10$+16$)=56$

i need 50% FEQ to make it break even. assuming he folds AA/draws (8 combos) and proceeds only with sets (7) it should not show any profit or loss -> ~0EV

same assumtions on the float.

i call the flop and basically risk 30$ to win the pot. i expect him to split his range OTT almost 100% of the cases. but to not assume best case scenario i take 10% FEQ OTT since UTG can overcall and i´ll take another 20% because he could c/c AA or c/r his sets. this gives me 75% FEQ OTT if i call the flop.

i call 30$. the turn pot is 86$.

he checks about 60% ( mentioned AA/ "c/r attempts" and his air) wich are 75% c/f.

means 86$ x 60% x 75% = 38,7$ TurnEV - 30$ flopcall ~9$ EV

wether i call or raise both options have advatages. and since i/we cant allways hit ranges 100% right both moves seem to show about the same EV -> break even

though, if there is any positive EV in this spot i would rather float given the small EQ of his bluffs and his rangesplit on the turn.

okay def agree on the fold turn. but definately not on fold flop or cold 3bet flop. i dont ever think he keeps bluffinfg OTT if he is called OTF. Jes, he could possibly raise a set OTF. but IF he is capable of raising a set, - which is just not a good raise -   he could be capable of raising a hands like a BDFD/BDSD like QJs or JTs. which would be a great play if hero folds 99% of his range and UTG is a nit (and only goes to river with sets). 

his turnrange is TcJc,QcJc, 99,66. i had to call the turn if he wouldnt overbet...

im not c/calling "a hand" im c/calling a range....

I only like raising flop if you expect 3 street of value on a lank run out. otherwise i prefer call flop. you can still bet turn bet river vs missed cbets an get your value from AK,AQ there (in a scenario were he NOT stacking off 3+ streets with AK)
i agree with a raisingrange on that board. but since we have several reads we dont need to bother about balancing. we can create a very exploitable range by only raising backdoors like JTdd, 89dd, KsQh,5s5h etc. --> exploits dont need to be balanced!!!

as played you can check back the river. i dont think he ever calls AK with a spade (-> nit). and he still has a lot of Flushes himself. so you need to find more twopair/top pair with blocker hands he could call with than flushes....

am i the only one with a reasonalbe c/c range on that board?

bot sure about the turnbet though. FR allways seems very nitty to me and espiacially in those positions. with your blocker and EQ i think i go for ch/c turn or if it goes ch ch turn, vbet river. once he shoves i think your never good there. you could make apoint calling QQ without the heart since he could still shove some combo Qh draws. but with the heart blocker its hard to find enough bluffs to make up those 9 valuecombos. (88,99,JJ)

cheers. insession i snapped it off too. i just thought aboutit in the sessionreview :)

If you ecpect him to fold alot to your 3bets in polarize my 3betrange and flat QJs there. QJdd is a c/c on that flop

Our c/c range on the flop is very waek in general. Do you really wanna split that range in "ch/call check bet" and "ch/call check check"? I dont think we should have a c/c check bet range since his callingrange allmost allways bets for value anyway. Wich means we dont gather much additional value by betting the river with for example Acxc.

I would only consider a flopraise in an exploitive scenario. wich means if i dont have specific reads (like villain spews if hero makes inducingplays like a raise on that board) AJ is in my callingrange OTF.
since our floatingrange is pretty wide and we get to the river with quite a few busted draws like KQ, BDFDs,etc we should probably bet pretty big (with our entire range obv). without any reads i wouldnt necessiarly overbet (even though our range would allow it) to avoid generating too much FE.
fwiw: If villain cbets too much oop i like either raising the flop with really marginal EQ like backdoor draws (K5cc, 87cc) or float a bit loser (obv depending on his turn frequncies) and plan on turnraises or bet vs missed bets to avoid having a TOO large air potion o the river.

imo pretty easy bet/fold turn and decide on the river (villlaintendencies) whether to check behind or valueshove. but given his range, our EQ on the turn and he beeing a nit i tend to check back OTR.

nope, i dont.

Except my first post i cant see anything on "My Feed". Its all gone :/

sorry if that was too offensive -.- my english isnt the best. just meant u often say mistakes just happened cause u where 9 tabling ^^*

Since 9 Tablings doesnt seem to be your strengh i would really apreciate see you play 4-6. i mean u can play a longer session and fast forward trough the footage. making notes while you play would make it easier to go through it afterwards ;) just some crits ;)

we have 30 Hands... and assuming he calls ALL his Ax is VERY optimistic imo. i just dont see him leading Ax on THAT river very often ...

lol H1 looks like 65 xD but dunno bout his range though in 30 seconds i might call and then flame ^^

H2 i call. dont see alot of value in raising. btw Prefop is too lose imo. if he is 3 betting that size with a wide range tighten up your openingrange (dont get me wrong 74s is still in there) and call with the right frequency.

this is a frequencecall for me. if i dont know alot about villain i have to play somewhat unexploitable and since JT is somewhat top of my range (exept maybe Q6 or AQ) i call river. i dont mind checking back JT in that spot but since our floatingrange is really wide i guess KJ is a bet/call OTT. the 4 OTT is good for our range since we rarely fold 4x OTF. wich means we dont have to bet too wide for value/balancing since we have alot of valuehands here.

without an exploitive gameplan I dont really consider a flat preflop tbh. like if hes opening ~30% ib MP or something. espiacially not if you say hes a good reg playing really aggro.
i dont know what he wants to achive with his sizing OTT and OTR. but turn seems like an oddscall to me. espiacially with the implieds you have. the river is kinda awkward. but since you are bottom of your range folding should not be a misstake.

Hey James, what do you think about my line? c/r the river?

Do you want thoughts on how to play your whole range or am i just to stupid finding your holecards?

As played I guess i would just call of curiosity. I think his river raise is really weird too. i could imagine he comming up with a hand like Q8s or something like that... but i think its still a bit close for villain to raise that so i would disscount a good portion of that... i guess im still be calling ^^
I guess im checking the river with the intention of check/raising. its a spot where you actually CAN check a hand like AK,QQ oder KQs 3 streets intending to c/r. And i dont really see him bluffing the river (maybe once of 100 cases or so) but if he bets i guess he usually goes for thin value with Q8s (Q2s-QTs) and cant really have a callingrange if you raise.