Janukowitsch
7 points
BN: $99.23
SB: $99.50 (Hero)
BB: $254.21
HJ: $241.80
HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $9, Hero calls $6
May 11, 2014 | 12:50 p.m.
HJ: $158.85
CO: $100
BN: $105.87
SB: $100.50
HJ folds, CO raises to $3, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $2
What do you think about donk/call this turn? Do you think this is a reasonable play with KQxx?
May 10, 2014 | 11:24 p.m.
2)Yeah so is the number I am looking for (49.2891% in this case), have
to be higher than 50% in order for me to profit from calling w/ a
certain hand against AA or is it something else?
This is just the number how often you will stack off on the flop. There is no simple rule how high is has to be to make a profit vs. AA. You need this number in step 4 to caluclate your EV.
3)Average Equity when.....i have at least 33%? or??
Exactly, you fold if you have less than 33% and if you have more you go broke. So PPT only runs your Simulation only for the time when you have more then 33%. You can use this number to calculate your average EV when you go broke. You also know your EV when folding(cost of calling his 3bet). And you know how often you fold/go broke on the flop(~50/50 in your sim).
Also getting potted pre flop I will usually be getting 33.33% odds to call what does that number signify?
This is only your hot/cold Equity. You are not all in after his 3bet, so you can't allways realize your equity. For example, ff you have 10% Equity on a specific flop you will simply fold vs. his cbet. For this reason you will not be able realize your full equity on average. You don't have to call, just you cause you have 33%, it the same like defending the BB vs a steal, you almost allways have the necessary Equity vs a minraise, but you don't allway defend vs. a minraise.
March 18, 2014 | 7:34 p.m.
(1 calulate how much Equity you need too go broke on the flop (33,33% if SPR is 1)
(2 calculate how often you have the necessary Equity (you did this in your screnshot)
(3 go too the box "Require" "nothing" and change it to require PLAYER1 to have hand vs range Equity off 33,33% on the Flop-> this will calculate your average Equity.
(4 now you have all the numbers you need to calculate your EV of Calling a 4bet.
March 18, 2014 | 5:40 p.m.
I think raising is much better than just calling. UTG is a fish and only 60bb deep. He will have tough decision on the flop, but might play well on turns. We don't have to worry too much about the SB, he will rarely continue.
March 18, 2014 | 5:32 p.m.
i think this is a nobrainer fold preflop
March 18, 2014 | 5:26 p.m.
as played easy fold ott. I would consider checking it back too induce bluffs and light calls on the river. Our hand isn't that strong, so expecting that trying too get two more streets has an higher ev is a little bit optimistic, without reads.
March 18, 2014 | 5:22 p.m.
A 3bet is allway profitable. We are a huge Equityfavorite even against tight ranges. Against a 15% Range we still have 60%.
In ~20% of the case somebody has AA or AKK give the openraiser open 15%, if he opens 20% only ~15% of the time somebody has AKK or AA
If he openraises 15% and we 3bet, we create a pot of 10,75$ with 64% Equity (since he don't have AA or AKK) in 80% of the cases. Lets simplify and say we are all in, so we have a ev of ~2$ in 80% of the cases versus a EV of -5$ if he 4bets and we fold in 20% of the cases. In this simplyfied scenario we made a positive EV even against a tight range.
Against a looser range, the numbers change a lot and our EV of 3betting gets really big, but against a tight openraiser I would prefer coldcalling, since I think this has a higher EV.
I think it's ok to fold to a 4bet as played, if you are certain, that you are up against a Range of AA and AKK. You can stack off on around 40% of the flops withs around 60% average Equity which has a EV of 15$ and have to fold 60% of the time which has an EV of -10,75$. This makes a EV of calling the 4bet of -4,5$.
March 18, 2014 | 11:03 a.m.
March 11, 2014 | 11:48 a.m.
I aggree with your thoughts. C/decide is fine ott, especially versus a opponent with his tendicies. river I would simply c/fold, because of your reasoning.
March 6, 2014 | 2:53 a.m.
Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2446775
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
BTN: $291.65
Hero (SB): $173.65
BB: $200.00
UTG: $86.73
MP: $805.54
CO: $93.75
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with Ad Kc 9c 2d
3 folds, BTN raises to $7, Hero raises to $23, 1 fold, BTN calls $16
Flop: ($48.00) Jc 9d Qs (2 players)
Hero bets $30, BTN raises to $60, Hero folds
Villian is a regular which open around 40% in the spot. Against that range I have only a flip with my hand. I would 3bet this often versus Regulars, since I block AA/KK have some equity and fold equity pre and postflop. But against this specific opponent I am not sure what to do. He rarely fold preflop, and folds only 36% on the flop (raising 30%). I am not sure if this hand is still strong enough to 3bet. Also not sure if which of my other option I could choose. Folding feels weak and I doubt I will make a profit if I call (BB is a ABC Tag), I think this is a spot where I will have a lot of non-SD loses if I opt for a call, since I have not a really good plan how too outplay him postflop, besides playing solid.
I know this isn't propably a very interesting and maybe just close preflop spot, but I am a bit lost.
Postflop I decided that two backdoors and a gutshot is enough reason to try a cbet even against a opponent with his tendicies. I quickly folded to his raise and made a note to be aware of similar spots in the future.
March 5, 2014 | 5:48 p.m.
But you are right ofcourse too, increasing the variance to get deepstacked with a fish is a good idea too.
I play a lot of livepoker and I allway think that running it twice is a bad idea versus a recreational player who will allway rebuy if he lose. If we have a coinflip and I lose, we double up his "deadmoney" on the table, if I win he brings new "dead money" too the table. I we run it twice and we split there is now new deadmoney.
I think my last point is the strongest argument for running it twice, even if it only applies to some situations.
March 2, 2014 | 12:42 p.m.
There is some merit in running it twice for shortstackers, if they have a stack under the minimum buyin. If they run it once they will win or lose and will have to continue with at least the minimum buy in after the hand. If they run it twice and split the pot they keep their stacksize which give them a gametheoretical advantage.
i don't like craising very much, because against a gii range we are not far ahead, and if he calls Turn and Rivers will get tricky oop. What's your plan, if your c/r get called?
May 11, 2014 | 12:47 p.m.