Incinerate
2 points
BN: $112.84
SB: $110.26
BB: $114.20
UTG: $143.57
HJ: $136.75 (Hero)
CO: $116.48
SB: $110.26
BB: $114.20
UTG: $143.57
HJ: $136.75 (Hero)
CO: $116.48
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
Q
Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, BN folds, SB calls $2.50, BB folds
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, BN folds, SB calls $2.50, BB folds
Flop
($10.00)
7
8
T
(3 Players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $6.50,
CO calls $6.50,
SB folds
Turn
($23.00)
7
8
T
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $14.27,
Hero calls $14.27
River
($51.54)
7
8
T
7
3
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $31.99,
Hero calls $31.99
Final Pot
CO has
A
A
CO
wins $112.72
June 10, 2014 | 8:28 p.m.
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Starting from preflop whats his range? I realize that I don't have a lot of stats but he at the very least seems pretty tight. I'm guessing that his calling range preflop is something along the lines of 66+, AQ, AK, ATs+, and does he call a hand like JTs preflop? or lower? Its hard to say but I wouldn't expect a 16/12 guy to do so. Do I have enough stats to make that adjustment?
On the flop there are 3 guys in the pot... When I bet the flop and he calls I'd expect him to have all of his sets, 99, over pairs, and ATs if thats even in his range preflop and hands like JTs and T9s if they're even in his range preflop. Therefore, I don't really see the turn as being a bet against that range. Either I'm way behind or he's at least got decent equity but it seems insanely nitty to consider folding QQ here.
Once I get to the river I'm now convinced vs this player its probably an easy fold. The zoom Ukrainians don't really ever seem to bluff and I think he only bets JJ+ for value on the river and maybe ATs. Am I missing something here?
June 10, 2014 | 10:34 p.m.