IbexTiller

Solid example Zen re. almost 100 not almost 10 analogy. You sir are a beacon :-)

This is such a great post Phil.

The entire poker community is lucky to have you.

Yeah it's brilliant! Was shown it a month or two ago. Noice :)

Cool well I've had loads of feedback so thanks guys. I'll let you all know when the article is finished. It won't be until the new year but it should hopefully be pretty good :)

Great thanks so far :)

My eyes and ears are bleeding. :'(

You should either bet enough on flop to be able to shove turn or bet less on flop so you can fire 3 streets comfortably. Here I see no reason to bet big as most hands that are behind are in terrible shape.

It's also important to note that if he is drawing to a wrap ~ 1/3 of his outs make you the nuts while the other 1/3 give you the double NFD.

Given the action pre, and this board your hand is pretty nutted. So I would be inclined to play 3 streets for max value.

Full stack. Why are you not full stacked?

Much too loose UTG. CO posting blind likely means we're likely seeing a flop multi-way and OOP. In this situation your hand plays terribly. It flops a tonne of dominated hands and draws.

This hand plays better HU in 3b pots (100bb deep) and even then only if V plays fit or fold post or is tough and you need hands like this in your 3b range for coverage to stop from being exploited.

If you plan on short stacking you want to play hands that have a clear pre-flop equity edge vs your opponents.

Just fold pre

I have used an excel spreadsheet to input formula etc. Works like a charm :)

Just wondering how we find max equity in Odds Oracle. I don't want to have to draw lines every time ;)

My thoughts exactly

xf flop. your hand is garbage imo

cb flop %age isn't entirely accurate as it assumes all board textures and this board texture is particularly wet so I expect cb%age to be a lot less than 63%. I also expect any cb range here to be firing at least 2 streets, has something to go with it, and you have a hand that doesn't improve whatsoever.

your pretty much playing a guessing game when you xc hands like this OOP and is a pretty big leak imo. any decent opponent will have an easy time unloading his clip knowing you get to River with such weak holdings

Just to be clear

Axx - 16.95% hands includes suited AA and AAA combo's

Axx$np - 12.03% no AA or AAA combo's

Axx$nt - 16.84% no AAA combo's

Axx is fine and 16.95%. This includes all AA and AAA combo's. If you want all unpaired Axx combo's add $np so:

Axx$np 12.03% of all hands

I agree with leading being best here actually for the reasons you mention and also I think this kind of forces him to stack off wider than he would vs a check raise.

Doing it your way is exactly the same as I've written it and I get the same results ;)

Also, the problem with looking at the numbers for continuation frequency is that it doesn't take into account pair+ etc whereas a lot of bare pairs would fold. That method would be fine for a board like K72r where the only draws are back door combo's that comprise only a small portion of a continuing range.

I know the ranges aren't entirely correct and V is folding an extraordinarily amount of time but I am only just getting to grips with Oracle and my analysis was more about learning the syntax. Still though it did bring up some interesting results about where the bare NFD should be in our continuing range.

Regards folding 80% on the flop and then calling 80% though. That just means V continues to call the turn with 80% of the hands he called flop with right? Or do you mean he is playing very passive?

Hi yeah....I actually hold TT which is why they are excluded.

89J:hh is what I wanted yes thanks

T7 - thanks for clearing that up

Ahh - also thanks. I was unsure.

I was trying to figure out how often V makes a straight on the river. I hold TT in this spot that x raised flop and bet Turn. So:

$MP - preflop

(44, 56:hh, 568, 89J, Ahh, T7)!(89J:hh, 77, AT7:Ahh):($MP) - flop call range from combo's in preflop range excluding 89J:hh, 77 and AT7:Ahh as I am assuming those hands raise flop.

Then I wanted to add hands that call turn from my flop call range. 66 is a mistake and shouldn't be there but any 33 combo's that call flop like T733 for example and again exclude hands like 56 that raise turn. So should it be:

(44, 89J, T7hh, 33, A:Ahh)!(56):(44, 56:hh, 568, 89J, A:Ahh, T7)!(89J:hh, 77, AT7:Ahh):($MP)

As in how often this: (44, 89J, T7hh, 33, A:Ahh)!(56)

makes a straight from this: (44, 56:hh, 568, 89J, A:Ahh, T7)!(89J:hh, 77, AT7:Ahh):($MP)

More people in the pot the less people are inclined to stab especially as HJ could be x-raising.

Nothing needs to be said about Turn.

Bet river bigger. NS likely jams turns and plenty of bare Jx, QQ, KK, in V range

Congratz man!!!....awesome accomplishment :)