HellSpawn

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Hey there,

Great analysis, however when I looked at the hand played I thought you miss value on the river. I think you should bet between 3/4 and pot there with Ad5d, not narrowing you bluff range, but widening your value range.

My reason (could be utterly wrong tho): The board bricks of the river, your you could have the two types of flush draws, the two flushdraws with straight draws, two flushdraws with high cards.

I played a little in Equilator, I gave him this range what he might have on the river against your river bet:

6d6s,6d6c,A8s-A7s,A5s,75s+,64s+,54s,Kh7h,Qh7h,Jh7h,Th7h,9h7h,8h7h,A7o,A5o,76o,Kd7h,Kh7d,Qd7h,Qh7d,8d7h,8h7d

Here is your x/r bet bet range:

77-66,44,A8s,QdTd,QhTh,JdTd,JhTh,Ad9d,Qd9d,Qh9h,Jd9d,Jh9h,Td9d,Th9h,Kd8d,Kh8h,Qd8d,Qh8h,Jd8d,Jh8h,Td8d,Th8h,9d8d,9h8h,Ad6d,Ad5d,Kd5d,Qd5d,8h5h,8s5s,8c5c,Ad3d,Ad2d,5h2h,Ad8h,Ad8s,Ad8c,Ad6s,9d8h,9d8s,9h8d

I 've put some lower flushdraws to x/r with even though you could call, since the bouard hits a BB range nicely, and you don't want to be capped, do you ? :)

So what happens if your opponent faces a river potbet with 8h7h against your range?

4d6h7dAhAs

MP2 48.72% 48.72% 0.00% { 77-66, 44, A8s, QdTd, QhTh, JdTd, JhTh, Ad9d, Qd9d, Qh9h, Jd9d, Jh9h, Td9d, Th9h, Kd8d, Kh8h, Qd8d, Qh8h, Jd8d, Jh8h, Td8d, Th8h, 9d8d, 9h8h, Ad6d, Ad5d, Kd5d, Qd5d, 8h5h, 8s5s, 8c5c, Ad3d, Ad2d, 5h2h, Ad8h, Ad8s, Ad8c, Ad6s, 9d8h, 9d8s, 9h8d }
MP3 51.28% 51.28% 0.00% { 8h7h }

I think he needs to call (unless your river afq is below 20, your won at SD is 55+ and so)

Same thing with 64s, you can play with it too.

One more note: If you bet huge on this brick he might get into it and think you want him to fold thats why the huge bet.

Cheers

Great upload, nice content, very explainative, thank you!

A few questions here, and there:

A8s hand at 30:19: Would it be a big mistake to start with a x/c on that relatively dry board?

I figure maybe we would want to bet with smaller pockets (66 type hands) for protection, checking our A highs since I presume villain would check them back too, betting with his/her worst (like KTo type) (of course we want to have a x/c plan twice or 3 times regarding villains river Afq and board run out), and maybe we would face 1 or 2 protection bets from smaller pockets, but not necessarily, also not to induce agression from certain players? Also we could have than some Jx in our flop x/c range (mix it up with small cb and x/c flop)?

42:08: 87s on 833r, In this case, I would want to bet (a small amount), I presume SB's flat range is somewhat broadway/suited ace heavy, because of protection/thin value?

One more: Are you using Ishters HUD?:)