If he calls pre with all AXs, high suited two gappers+, KK-77and some mid/low SCs he needs to bluff lead the turn with all nines and all FDs (pretty likely) and then bluff river with 50% of the FDs (kind of likely) and then bluff shove 50% of his FDs (not very likely imo) for you to be 0EV on the call. According to my quick n dirty cardrunnersEV run.
And i am also critical of the raise both pre and OTR. Seems pretty spewy. I saw that you think he can have QJo,QTo in his 3bet/call range but i dont agree. I would not be surprised if he didnt even 3bet any offsuite hands this deep. (except pps obv)
Sept. 9, 2013 | 12:29 a.m.
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If he calls pre with all AXs, high suited two gappers+, KK-77and some mid/low SCs he needs to bluff lead the turn with all nines and all FDs (pretty likely) and then bluff river with 50% of the FDs (kind of likely) and then bluff shove 50% of his FDs (not very likely imo) for you to be 0EV on the call. According to my quick n dirty cardrunnersEV run.
And i am also critical of the raise both pre and OTR. Seems pretty spewy. I saw that you think he can have QJo,QTo in his 3bet/call range but i dont agree. I would not be surprised if he didnt even 3bet any offsuite hands this deep. (except pps obv)
Sept. 9, 2013 | 12:29 a.m.