GetThatMoolah

He almost never has AAxx here.

I would choose a slightly bigger sizing on the flop and ez jam on the turn.

Personally yeah I think as played, if the river blanks you have to call. You're blocking sets and unblocking the majority of his draws.

I think we all start by emulating what we consider an effective strategy, and doing so is by no means a mistake.

I think the more you study (watching theory videos/watching pros play sessions as well as exploring ranges yourself), the more you will start understanding WHY the strategy you implement makes sense, and will let you adjust said strategy in ways to gain EV vs certain types of players. But yeah it will take some time, poker is a complex game.

Honestly, I've seen so many ridiculous lines at the lower stakes that I'd just suggest this.

Focus on your own strategy, understand what it means to be balanced with foundations in GTO play, and most importantly, learn how to deviate from said strategy to exploit the sub-optimal play you are faced with. The majority of videos on this site will help you with this.

Vs weak players this is often just implementing a simple strategy, but seeing it as a deviation from balance will help you progress.

Look, you have to realise that rigging the site is NOT in pokerstars' self interest. They can make a ridiculous amount of money off rake while remaining completely legit. Risking it all to make some extra $ would be a terrible idea.

Also, if we were in some alternate tinfoil hat reality where Phil plans to rig the shit out of RIO, I doubt saying that you don't want a rigged site will change his mind.

Although it was in caps so you never know

Welcome!

With an SPR< 3, I prefer just jamming the flop here. You have ~44% equity vs a set (more if he's doing this with top2 although you're blocking a K) which is more than enough to make a shove +EV.

We are in bad shape (~32%) vs hands like KQJT and QQTJ, but I think he's far more likely to c/r those as protection isn't as big of a priority (not to mention we are blocking these hands).

So yep shove flop imo. This also ensures he can't shut down on the turn when a straightening card hits.

Did a bit of research, I think I'll add on 8gb RAM and install an SSD on top of what I'm getting. Ty for the input

As played on the turn, don't you think that with an SPR of less than 1 we beat enough hands in his range to merit a call?

Yup I'd lean towards a shove too. Correct me if I'm wrong but I think UTG would be likely to raise the turn if he had QA + FD.

As played, I'd personally call it off here but wouldn't be surprised running to either a FH or a similar hand with a FD. I think it's too tight to be folding your straight at these stakes.

+1 to folding pre.

Well, let's assume you're check/folding all spade rivers and check/calling all diamond rivers. Already there are some reverse implied odds with the check/calling line....on top of that, what was your plan on brick rivers when facing the same bet? If you're answer is check/fold then you're folding way too much here and shouldn't call turn. If you're answer is check/call then sure you're bluffcatching a few missed FDs (assuming vil actually fires) but you're also giving 3 streets of value to a hand that could've had you beat from the very beginning.

Tbh it's a messy hand so I'm not 100% sure of my analysis, just my 2cents.

I understand why you chose to call the flop, but I'd just raise it. I've seen players at these stakes call it off with any set/2 pair + some BDs in this position.

Sure SB might be spewing on the turn, but when the Q pairs there's a chance you're getting it in bad here.

I've had the same positive results when switching to regular tables from zoom at these stakes. Why do you think that is?

My experience at these low stakes is that players generally play with their hand face up. I think by the turn there's a pretty high chance that vil is ahead of you and is betting for some protection from straights/flushes. (Something like AA!dd).

Now if we run with this assumption, the turn call in itself isn't great. We are first to act on the river and can't leverage any free information before deciding whether to fire. Additionally I feel like scare cards on the river aren't shown nearly as much respect at the lower stakes which hurts our fold equity.

However, If you were to bluff this river I think 6d is one of the best cards to do it on and unless he is a calling station you are probably getting enough folds here.

That being said I would still rather take a line like this when I have position. I know I haven't given you a concrete answer but I hope it helped

+1 to calling preflop, unless you have a specific read on UTG

I think you've modelled his donk range well enough, I'd probably sigh and GII here.

Hey Keiran, big fan of this format. Keep em coming!

Would be interested to hear your take on how our mental state can be influenced (both positively and negatively) during a session.

Thanks again

What you're saying does make sense and I don't think it's a mistake

Have you considered cbetting the flop? It will utilize your FE and also leave your range uncapped, seeing as you 3b pre and would probably cbet with some % of your value range (right?).

I'm still not completely sure just some thoughts.

I think this is one of those spots where despite your hand not being great, you are getting great odds and are last to act so call.

I think you should include some bluff hands in his initial betting range.

I feel like despite the equity you have in this pot, your equity after you raise vs his calling range isn't great. TQxx, any diamonds etc.

Perhaps this hand is better x/c'd on the flop and raise with hands slightly weaker, but stronger vs their calling range. Eg, QTxx hands, hands with blockers, 2 clubs etc

Thanks for doing a quick analysis and clearing that up:)

Great vid, especially the PJ analysis:)

With regards to the AK59 hand, if we're in a similar situation, but the river did not complete some draws (like 7s perhaps), Would you be more or less likely to fold to the same river bet?

(assume we have AK79 so still hit 2pair on the river)

My guess would be that he has even more air in his range, but might be less likely to bluff a brick river as it's tough to represent much except 2pair/sets.
On the other hand he may have put us on a draw and actually bluff more in this spot, so I'm not really sure.

Would love to hear your thoughts on this.
Thanks

I feel after c/c'ing the flop, it becomes hard for you to rep any very strong hands when c/r'ing the turn here. I would consider c/r'ing the flop or just c/f'ing the turn. Also bear in mind seeing as you are putting him on AA he may have your FD dominated.

You will often run into 9xxx/33xx type hands. That being said I think this could good be a board where vil could consider c/r'ing as a semi-bluff with a FD seeing as it is pretty hard for you to continue with many hands in your CO opening range.

Like sorcloud said, I'd be leaning towards a fold (however I think its close and jamming is fine) when he leads into you on the turn as he must put you on a decent hand after the flop call. Bear in mind spewy players may feel committed to their bluff and fire again.