Kevin Sharp

Doesn't it make a difference in the last hand, that all the equity that he has comes from chops, and you're actually beat ~0% of the time (and thus cannot value cut yourself)?? Seems misleading that you would use the same numbers on the spreadsheet as if you were beat ~9% of the time. I don't think the EV would be much lower if you just shoved there, which is obv what you will be wanting to do with 64.

Though maybe it's optimal to shove 64 and air, and vbet 54 smaller.

Do you mean you would like to be leading your entire range on the turn?

Also, checking your entire range on river? Perhaps it's good to split it there, and lead huge ( perhaps overbet) almost all of our flushes, and bluff a lot, and then check hands weaker than a flush, with some flushes in there a small %.

Massive spew on Isildroon's part on both videos. It's certainly fun to watch though lol

First Hand: Wouldn't it make sense to give some weigh (say 33%) to the possibility of SB x/shoving sets on turn (I think in practice you see people shoving there for protection pretty often, and regardless it will always be a non-zero %), along with the possibility of him donking flushes on the river? I wonder how much that would impact the comparison between the EVs of betting and checking. It's still entire possible that shoving is bad. Maybe next time upload the trees so we can tinker with them :)

~10:00. What hands are you bluffing on that river? It looks like you would have a wide-ish value range, I wonder if you need to start bluffing some weak 5x because it's not like you have a lot of air.

In my experience at least, people tend to underbluff that spot (meaning, they almost always check back a FD or straight draw, instead of shoving and often getting a fold) once you check, even though I very rarely check a strong hand there. The fact villain would very often just take a free card with their draws makes me think that the EV of going all in is probably just better than checking by a good bit, and will remain so until people learn to be more balanced on those big pots.

Wouldn't a good exploitation of him not folding almost ever on that flop be something like, cbet almost all but not all of your range (x/f some stuff like A4dd that has no backdoors) and thus cbet a slightly stronger range, and bet something more like half pot, then shove turn a lot with hands like AK or any gutshot?

11:20 you mention that AThh would be an obvious bluff on the river for the OOP player, if you were to check back the turn. I don't think that can be correct. First of all, because even though you 3x BTN, he should have all combos of 65s, 76s, 75s along with a lot of Kxs, Jxs and Txs, not to mention A5 and A3, except of course when he chooses to 3bet these hands, though I think they certainly merit a call and that's the standard play. I don't think the BB player would have nearly enough value hands in his range should you check back turn to justify bluffing AT (a hand that will no doubt have some SDV), unless he made a huge overbet, and even then it would be really iffy IMO.

13:30 you make a gigantic cold 4b with AA, about 130 to win about 60. Would you actually ever 4b bluff to that size? It seems like it would need to work much more often than the % people actually fold there.

at 29.00, you turn Q9 into a bluff on the river on AQ6KT. Don't you think that you would have enough 6x (or even worse Qx) to bluff here so that Q9 is probably just a check back? Aren't you opening like any Qxs on BTN? Do you think Q9 has any more showdown value than worse Qx/6x?

I agree with either betting turn or checking back river with the AK. The typical dumb 200nl reg I think is likely to see turn as a bad calling spot, but calling the river after a turn check back as relatively profitable. In reality, they are way off about this but I suppose you should play in a way that exploits their tendencies rather than in a way that makes them profitable.

You look like a blond Ron Weasley IMO.

~14:00. Thanks!

Niceo video Ben. In the JTo hand where PFR shows up with 77 on the river, you say that you would be folding hands like Q8 on the flop, which would make hands like JT-J8 the very bottom of your range. Isn't that an argument for turning it into a bluff after turn goes x/x?