FlaXmarZ

He can have bricked Broadways/ flushdraws. I expect alot of 99-QQ. Theory call, exploit fold.. Im calling But not a happy spot

It’s abit out of line to choose this combo, i wouldnt go this far without extreme understanding of his game. He also cbets into 2 players wich will narrow his range abit.
You have better hands to xr before this, A3/A4s 36/46 TQs/Q9s etc. Having a overcard and backdoor flushdraws is better( one over makes you hit toppair 8% of the time, But this combo only gives you turns with equity to continue bluffing). Then you can start using set blockers if we are certain he cant calldown with 1pairs. Just xr tripple 54 23s etc.
But i Defently like the fact that you look to exploit his 26 wtsd. I would say anything below 28 is pretty weak and he probably hate herocalling big pots :) the sample is not huge yet But its okay, i would Defently push my aggression frequency abit against him already.

Fine to just play a xc range on this flop. It’s possibole to play a x/r strategy aswell, that would be heavily around jq and bluffs like gs+ backdoor fd/ TJ/TQ.
Its such a narrow xr range so i’d prefer just xc all continues and x-r turns instead. This way you are also less capped on turns.
On this turn i think xr is the highest ev play especially against an none overbet size i expect this to be very aj aq heavy and you really want to build the pot before a bad card kills the action if’ hes strong now.

I think this works as a Pretty great turn jam! Enough fold equity for sure:) as for preflop, try to 4b same ratio u valuebet. Probably QQ+ here and equal combos bluff.

Board is just really good for squuezer so i think we can get away with some big folds. In addition to that, in my experience most players 3bet/sqz too tight from the BB and on this board i think that he is supposed to barrel hands like JQs TQs at a somewhat high frequency(correct me if Im wrong) wich is provably not common unless he is really skilled.

We are quite capped once checking back turn so betting large gets thin when oop still have nuts in range. If you added a smaller sizing i think it gets bet alot.

Missed ur description. That sample and his stats tells me nothing more than he is likely a reg, so defently 4bet

Agree with Kalupso Thats it’s a pure 4bet without some reads that he spews alot But fold to 4bet or something. But Thats very rare to know.
Im not playing this stake but i think at micro 4betting will be even More profitable, tighter 3b ranges and less fold to 4bets.

There are some merits jamming turn and i would prefer that option. But calling is fine

Thin bet on turn, prefer a check or smaller sizing. River we Defently not have to call this combo. Calling sets and having decent blockers to his value region makes better calls.

Easy call this is not even cloose :)

Jeff_ thx
Yeah sorry, i agree that 57 is not gonna be a bluff, i take it back.
Anyway i think he is gonna be quite careful on this river with bluffing frequencies. And i think it makes a safe river fold.

BigFiszh ty
I agree about turn its really cloose vs sizing. River i dont agree that its a call :)

iamallin
He probably have 89o, T7o i doubt.. His main bluffs i guess Will be 57o because i think he’s good enough to realize its Pretty easy for me to not underdefend this river..
ATo for sure, KTo/TQo probably mixed.

Im onboard with the cbet. But if they under raise the flop bet the float becomes extremly thin both flop and turn.

And i agree with nogamblenofuture about the river jam. He should clearly have a river jam even tho he should jam more frequent on other rivers. So this jam is not wierd at all.

Agree with Jeff about the AQ hand.. its a call otf against x/r depending on your flop strategy But turn seems pretty crazy to say its a defend again.. You have so many other hands to defend and going this far just seems bad. The A-Q is not gonna be clean extremly often either when he picks that sizing.

0EV if you got nothing invested

Not sure, i assume mp is some kind of fish. If bluffing i Had prefer a bigger bet 120-150% in my experience fish tends to call Ax here Otherwise. But close, k high got some sd value. Would def bluff q high

Not defending a ton of Ahx Khx vs utg 3x open. He got a tons of flushes tho, More than ep

Post the hand in other format would be good, to se cleary, RFI size etc.. Any info on SB? Very wierd spot, i lean towards XB against reg, and against some fishes i would just jam, if i expect calls from sets/2pairs. Fish also more likely to lead this spot

Generally easy call pre vs decent player, if he is nit, and because of the sizing, i guess fold is ok. As played just call river, he can show up with an Ax that bluffed pre and now wants to valuebet

I would call vs unknown russian, But not expecting it to win much.. AT i would snap, Tx with heart snap.. River sucks, But he is russian

Call vs though players, fold vs most nitregs

Standard on river is xb, we got fine showdown equity BvB and also you are mentioning he is abit of station wich makes it less appealing to bluff.
As played, not big fan of the river size. Go very big or xb- trying to get him off Tx thru KK wont get the job done for the size you pick. Also it makes more sense to have an overbet here, especially if you want to rep 8x exlusively, and you can have plenty 8x, and he should not. So he will hate life against overbet, but prob look you up to the smaller size.

Looks solid, but it should depend alot on wich RFI sizing your facing.. In a game where everyone is opening 2bb or if everyone opens 3bb as standard, then your defence frequencys are gonna be drastically different. But in most games those numbers are good

Take a note if he check calls 55-88, that would tell me he is checking to many strong hands in this spot, and his betting range Will be to bluff heavy

Intresting spot for sure. As some mention it’s utg:s line looks superstrong wich is not in our favour. If he’s really trappy otr because he think we get there with too many potential bluff combos i guess we should just giveup. But think Thats to assumptive that he Will just check strong allways. Also you should be squuezing fair amount of the possibole bluff combos pre, so its not like you have so many potential bluffs imo. Making him fold his A highs, splits and are very big win.

Bluff river for sure. Looks alot like he's just giving up.
Not sure if any other sizing than allin makes sense, your repping Kx+. Exploitatively a smaller size might be a thing as he's repping giveups/ the very occasional trap. The thing is if he's a good handreader he might herocall if you bet small and just hope you have exactly what u got.