DragOn_

hi, nice video. I like your style of thorough explanations for what you would do in x or y situation

37min AKo you would fold AK here vs a river bet, then what are we calling with? Even if villain is not betting AK himself, he can have bluffs as well and if we fold AKo it seems we are super exploitable to a triple barrel. We only have KQs and 5x, maybe QQ. Do you think villain will also underbluff this spot so we can fold exploitatively?

Thanks for the video!

2:20 J7s would you also raise this flop vs a regular who doesnt over cbet? Imo if we raise here we weaken our already weak calling ranges in the BB on such dry textures by not slowplaying strong hands, and become too exploitable to future barrels, what do you think? Same thing with KTo later in the video on TT5 or something, we in BB again.

20:30 A9s are you saying you are giving up solely because the villain doesnt like to fold, or because we dont have enough equity there to start betting vs most people?

Throughout the video and in previous ones ive seen you utilize a 1/3pot sizing strategy on flops where we have a range advantage. Could you explain why you feel that is better than a larger sizing? It seems counter intuitive to me, because with a larger size, we should be able to bluff more while being balanced, but with the 1/3bet we are also bluffing quite a lot and seem to be overbluffing, and if we are doing it with our whole range we are inflating the pot with some very weak hands with a bet size that requires villain to call frequently. Also when we do have a range advantage, surely we would want to be better bigger with our value hands to actually get value? On later streets I see that you start betting bigger and even overbetting, so im not sure why you dont apply the same logic to flop situations?

Great series, im really enjoying the 200z live format with your solid analysis.

Hey thanks for the video, good stuff as usual :)

24:10 98o why are u 3betting 98o? I would think its losing money against the button call range OOP. Assuming that its not losing money, wouldnt that mean that literally any suited connector or gapper, and many other hands are also making (more) money there, and that you should pick those over the offsuit hands? If you could explain the though process in your range construction there it would be great.

26:20 J9s why are the blockers good to bet turn? we block AJ and A9 but also JJ and 99 which we want to fold I think?

37:50 why is 53s good to overbet shove? The reasons I can think of are that we have zero showdown value, and we block 65, we dont block spades. But 65 may have folded turn (I dont know if its supposed to or not), and if we are 3x overbetting dont we want to pick bluffs that block sets? So in this case I guess 2x, since 8x might be a checkback. What would you be value betting in this situation?

39:15 66 what made you decide to bet roughly 3/4pot instead of overbetting your rivered house?

what preflop solver are you referring to?

what do you think of snowies preflop ranges, specifically its tendency to 3bet suited wheel aces in pretty much every situation? For example it would 3bet A5s-A2s MP vs UTG along with QQ+ and AK, and a couple broadways and bigger suited aces...but I dont see the value in that. Hands like AQo, KQo, KJs, QJs have a lot more equity and playability vs the defending range imo..and have blockers as well. Yet snowie folds these hands most of the time. It also emphasizes lower suited connectors and 1gappers over mid suited connectors in 3betting and BB flatting ranges for some reason

great video, as usual :) Nice to see your regular stakes this time

28:30 cold 4betting AQs vs UTG, you mentioned that your range there is only about 2%..so KK+ and AKs/AK..which if linear doesnt include AQs. So do you fold QQ and JJ? They seem like way stronger hands to me, unless youre expecting villain(s) to continue only with a range of KK+. Is the ace blocker that important?

46:40 75s BU/CO 4betting is good because of equity retention..but it has zero blockers and there are stronger hands that also retain equity such as suited connectors, no? Ive learned previously that blockers are the most important aspect in choosing 4bets, is that wrong? For example I would think that a hand like ATo/AJo/KJo/KQo would be a better 4bet bluff because of blockers, while if you wanted to have equity retention as well you could 4bet bluff stuff like A5s/A4s . And if connectedness and not having reverse implied odds (such as with weak Ax on an ace high board) is actually more important than blockers, why not 4bet with a hand such as 65s or 76s?

I also enjoyed the new theme and hope you make more similar!

great video, and an excellent series!

22:30 you say villain will fold AA or KK with a spade, and pretty much everything else, vs a 2x overbet...why you do believe this? It seems like youre saying villain will be massively exploitable without having any reads. Its hard to believe that the pool of 100nl regs would have a 100% folding range in any situation...im certainly not folding AAs there, and probably not KKs either.

26:00 Im curious what your method of determining BB defense ranges? You talk about both K6s vs UTG and Q6o vs SB being marginal defends vs 3x, but imo K6s is very very weak compared to a standard UTG range (I would never open it UTG, nor even MP), but Q6o is something I would open in SB, and BB vs SB we have position so we can defend significantly more hands as well. That indicates to me that we could defend a lot more relative to the opening range vs SB than vs UTG, but in your video I see the opposite, although admittedly with only a small sample to judge by.

53min are you suggesting that we check/raise all in, or check/raise smaller and fold, check/raise + call a shove with stuff like AA and KK. Also when we check raise are we checking range and never cbetting, and do we have a check/calling range or just raise/fold?

Thanks, have a good one

nice video!
@31:10 why fold KQo CO vs BB 3bet? is this not within a standard defense range?

Hi, great video again :)

I disagree with hand #1 and hand #3, but not because i disagree with the theory but I think our ranges are different. Im echoing IamIndifferent in my interest in your IP vs HJ calling range, because my own IP range retains an equity advantage on the J53 flop, and in fact its equity increases compared to no flop selected. If we are at a range disadvantage on the flop, we should check more often afaik so i picked answer A.

In hand #3, my BB vs BU 3betting range is stronger than my SB vs BU range, so I thought that I should be cbetting more from the BB. Ive constructed a linear SB range because im only 3betting, which means that my frequency should generally be higher than if I have the option of flatting as well. In the BB I can choose hands more selectively and only use those that benefit from being raised more than flatted, and since we are OOP with a good price to call I dont think its going to be nearly as high a frequency as the linear SB range. As well, being OOP we should have less "bluffing" hands in a polarized range compared to IP.

I really enjoyed this video format, my only complaint is that it was too short lol. Looking forward to more of the same too

Ok thanks for the answers. Hmm...so to clarify, usually you will have a merged range for 3betting in BB against regs who defend well enough?

Im assuming the -0.5bb is what your expectation is for flatting 64s. So arnt we already more profitable than that by 3betting with a 0bb expectation vs 69% folds? Im not sure I understand what you mean by the threshold being higher, afaik it would be lower..?

The way I see it, If we have an expectation for flatting with any hand that retains equity vs stronger ranges, that expectation would be higher by 3betting it and so we should 3bet it (unless it somehow made our ranges weaker overall). In the BB, we can flat hands that are losing as long as its less than -100bb/100, but if there was a hand that was say -101bb/100 by flatting and retained equity vs a stronger range, we could 3bet it and that would become +EV because of folds. So we could 3bet stuff like 52s/63s BB/UTG that presumably are too weak to flat, but could be making -90bb/100 when 3bet. But I rarely see anyone on RIO 3betting those kind of hands, so that strategy is likely not optimal.

In other positions, if we have a flatting range I believe the correct strategy is to polarize our 3betting range around the flatting range, 3betting "bluffing" with stuff that would be around zero EV or slightly negative when flatted, and prioritizing hands that retain equity. Is that strategy outdated/not optimal, or just does not apply to the BB?

Again, thnx for taking the time to answer. much appreciated. cheers

Hello, great video :)

37mins AA hand: Im confused about what you mean by villain having mostly ace high to call us there...wouldnt he have many pairs, like 88-QQ or so? And if we checkback it seems like we lose value from hands that would call 3 streets but not bet turn and call a raise and a shove. What are we repping as a bluff when we raise turn? The checkback line doesnt make much sense to me

Hey nice video :)
I have a couple questions:

First off, when overcalling compared to flatting a single RFI, would you change your defending ranges at all? We are getting a better price, but also facing two players instead of one, and our equity vs both ranges is less. Which factor (better pot odds vs stronger combined ranges) is more powerful, or do they kind of balance each other out? Does it depend on individual equity retention of each hand? For example we might fold more offsuit high card stuff but call more suited and semi connected stuff when overcalling because they retain equity vs stronger ranges. So we could be defending approximately the same frequency, but with a different range composition. Although in the BB, we may already be taking this into account since we are already at a range disadvantage and so adding even more weak suited/gapped hands past that may not be +EV. At the moment im just assuming that defending approximately the same ranges is good, but I could be dead wrong.

2nd, @ 7mins you talk about 64s being a good 3bet BB/UTG if he folds a certain amount to 3bets, but not if otherwise. So if hes defending properly, what is a good 3bet "bluff" in that spot? If you choose to flat hands such as 64s because they dont have enough equity when he calls a 3bet, im assuming that means you are also never 3betting hands weaker than that, and that your 3bet range cant be strictly polarized in that spot. Does the fact that you are in the BB and getting good pot odds not matter when 3betting? Like if you 3bet from the BB, I assume its +EV to 3bet any hand that loses you less than 1bb/hand, as it would be to flat. And that normally 3bet ranges should be polarized if we also have a flatting range, to maximize equity retained with each range afaik. So why would you not 3bet the bottom of your flatting range in that spot?

Also, you said we would want him to fold about 67% of the time to make our hand a profitable 3bet bluff with 33% equity. That confuses me, because afaik if he folds that much we should have a breakeven 3bet if we realize 0% of our equity postflop, so with ATC that have any amount of equity we should be profitable, and if we have 33% equity we are very profitable. So even vs someone who folds a bit less than that we should still be somewhat profitable I think. (According to my math if we 3bet to $90, its 90/130 = 69% for a breakeven 3bet bluff with no cards) Then when you again take into account that we are in the BB, and just need to lose less than 1bb/hand, we dont even need to have a positive expectation in that spot for it to be a "good" 3bet, so in order to not 3bet it, it must be a better flat than 3bet, but you also said that it retains equity well and that in those situations the better option is to raise, which imo would point towards 3betting it.

Sorry that turned into a wall of text lol. Id very much like to hear your thoughts on these topics. Thanks, and have a good one

Hello, good concept for a video :) Im interested in seeing part2 and I also have a few questions id love to hear your thoughts on.

Regarding the difference between squeezes and regular 3bets, would you generally squeeze the same range vs same opening position, for example say squeeze x range BU vs MP and CO, and 3bet x range BU vs MP as well (given that other factors such as stack depth and skill edge are constant)? Or would you alter your squeezing range to be stronger than your regular 3betting range, given that youre going to be facing stronger defending ranges. And if so, would you alter it by including less "bluff" hands while keeping the same value range, and skewing your value to bluff ratio more in favor of value, or would you rather keep the ratio the same while tightening up the value range and therefore "bluff" range as well. What value to bluff ratio do you think is optimal for 3betting IP, and 3betting OOP?

Also, when 3betting or squeezing light with the worst hand in any of our 3betting ranges, should we be expecting to show a profit with that hand, or simply be 3betting it to balance our value range and probably losing money with that hand, but increasing the value we get from getting more action when we have the stronger hands in our range?

I apologize if this is too many questions, I am a new member to runitonce. Ive watched most of your videos and found them to be very good, keep it up! :D